{"id":2802,"date":"2015-11-11T23:00:07","date_gmt":"2015-11-12T04:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=2802"},"modified":"2015-11-11T23:54:36","modified_gmt":"2015-11-12T04:54:36","slug":"bills-at-jets-tnf-preview-prediction-and-pick-ats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2015\/11\/11\/bills-at-jets-tnf-preview-prediction-and-pick-ats\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills at Jets &#8211; TNF Preview, Prediction and Pick ATS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Week Ten NFL Thursday Night Football<\/strong><\/span> has an interesting AFC East matchup, as <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Rex Ryan<\/span> returns to Exit 16W for the first time since he was canned late last December, after losing eight straight games en route to a 4-12 record. The 4-4 Buffalo Bills travel to New Jersey to face the 5-3 New York Jets in a game with implications that go far beyond ego and bragging rights: the Jets currently hold the top wild card seed, fifth overall in the AFC, while Buffalo is just on the wrong side of the bubble, seventh overall in the conference. The game kicks off at 8:25 pm eastern time and is broadcast nationwide on NFLN. <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Jim Nantz<\/span> will call the play-by-play along with commentary by <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Phil Simms<\/span>, while <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Tracy Wolfson<\/span> reports from the sidelines.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Odds<\/span>:<\/strong> Early in the week the Jets were listed as three-point favorites, but as of Wednesday night most venues had brought the line down to <span style=\"color: #000080;\">NYJ -2\u00bd<\/span>. The point total has inched down a bit, from 44\u00bd to 42\u00bd; the typical money line has the Bills at +115 and the Jets -135.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>The Jets have been playing better than the Bills this season, but Buffalo is a lot healthier<\/strong><\/span>. QB <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Ryan Fitzpatrick<\/span> is not on the injury report, but rumors are being floated that on Friday he will undergo minor surgery, with the hope that in ten days he would be ready to start against Houston. Safeties <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Calvin Pryor<\/span> and <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Dion Bailey<\/span> are both out with ankle injuries, leaving <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Rontez Miles<\/span> to get his first NFL start opposite <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Marcus Gilchrist<\/span>. Corner <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Antonio Cromartie<\/span> (quad) has not practiced and is doubtful to play, and slot corner <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Buster Skrine<\/span> (shoulder, hand) is questionable, but will have to move to the outside to take Cro&#8217;s spot. CB <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Dee Milliner<\/span> came off in-season IR, but word is that he is not yet ready to play. <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Marcus Williams<\/span> will likely take Skrine&#8217;s place in nickel situations; he was awful two weeks ago in the loss at Oakland, but played much better last week against Jacksonville. On top of that RG <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Willie Colon<\/span> (knee) has been placed on injured reserve, center <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Nick Mangold<\/span> &#8211; though expected to play &#8211; is still recovering from a nasty neck injury, and third down back <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Bilal Powell<\/span> (doubtful, ankle) has barely been able to get on the field since week three.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Despite all those injuries, the Jets do have some hope<\/strong><\/span>. Buffalo is the road team with one less day to prepare, and New York still has a very good defense. The Jet defense ranks 4th in yardage (323 ypg), 9th in scoring (20.3 ppg), and is great against the run (80.6 ypg, 1st; 3.8 ypc, 7th). <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Chris Ivory<\/span> has struggled the last three weeks, but if Mangold is close to full strength then New York&#8217;s offensive lines is capable of opening up running lanes for Ivory like they did at the start of the season.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>While Jet players are dropping like flies, Buffalo is getting healthier<\/strong><\/span>. Their only injury of note is to DT <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Kyle Williams<\/span>, who is out with a knee injury. QB <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Tyrod Taylor<\/span> is back; the Bills are 4-2 in his starts, 0-2 when <span style=\"color: #000080;\">EJ Manuel<\/span> was under center. Taylor completed all but one pass last week (11-12, 181 yards, 1 TD, plus 44 yards rushing). Extrapolating to a full 16-game season, Taylor would project to throw for 3,408 yards with 71.8% completions, 27 touchdown passes, 11 interceptions, plus 616 yards rushing. RB <span style=\"color: #000080;\">LeSean McCoy<\/span> had his best game of the season last week (112 yards rushing, 7.0 yards per carry); though he did suffer a shoulder injury late in the game, he is probable for Thursday. Backup RB <span style=\"color: #000080;\">Karlos Williams<\/span> also had his best game of the year last week, averaging over 12 yards per carry while rushing for 110 yards and two touchdowns.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Early in the season things looked good for Buffalo<\/strong><\/span>. At the start of the season the Bills upset the Colts, lost by only eight to the Patriots, and then crushed the Dolphins 41-14. We soon found out that Indy and Miami were nowhere near as good as they were hyped to be in the off-season, and the Bills have yet to win consecutive games. This is the first of three straight (and five of the next six) games on the road for Buffalo; if they have any hope for the playoffs they really need to win this one. The Bills are catching a beat up Jet team at the right time, while at the same time their key players are getting healthier. Despite Buffalo&#8217;s penchant for undisciplined play under Ryan &#8211; the Bills lead the NFL in penalties (10.6 per game) and penalty yards (95.5 per game) &#8211; the Jets simply appear to be a bit too beat up right now.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000080;\"><strong>Prediction: Bills 24, Jets 20<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #369a3e;\">Picks: Bills +2\u00bd (one unit) . . . . . over 42\u00bd . . . . . Bills +115<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Week Ten NFL Thursday Night Football has an interesting has an interesting AFC East matchup, as Rex Ryan returns to Exit 16W for the first time since he was canned last December, after losing eight straight games en route to a 4-12 record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":1719,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[185,284,260,46,480,47,259,247,248,104,302,251,559],"class_list":["post-2802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-2015-nfl-season","tag-against-the-spread","tag-betting-line","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-game-preview","tag-new-york-jets","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-predictions","tag-rex-ryan","tag-thursday-night-football","tag-todd-bowles","tag-week-10"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.5 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bills at Jets - TNF Preview, Prediction and Pick ATS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Week Ten NFL Thursday Night Football has an interesting has an interesting AFC East matchup, as Rex Ryan returns to Exit 16W for the first time since he was\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2015\/11\/11\/bills-at-jets-tnf-preview-prediction-and-pick-ats\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bills at Jets - TNF Preview, Prediction and Pick ATS | PatsFans.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Week Ten NFL Thursday Night Football has an interesting has an interesting AFC East matchup, as Rex Ryan returns to Exit 16W for the first time since he was\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2015\/11\/11\/bills-at-jets-tnf-preview-prediction-and-pick-ats\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"PatsFans.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pfans\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-11-12T04:00:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-11-12T04:54:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/rex-ryan-scaled.jpg?fit=2560%2C1706&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1706\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"John Morgan\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@patsfans\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@patsfans\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.patsfans.com\\\/patriots\\\/blog\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/11\\\/bills-at-jets-tnf-preview-prediction-and-pick-ats\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.patsfans.com\\\/patriots\\\/blog\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/11\\\/bills-at-jets-tnf-preview-prediction-and-pick-ats\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"John Morgan\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.patsfans.com\\\/patriots\\\/blog\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/af5cc5dc09232fe6e9a6be05de0ba3b8\"},\"headline\":\"Bills at Jets &#8211; 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