{"id":13779,"date":"2017-11-26T06:00:32","date_gmt":"2017-11-26T11:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/?p=13779"},"modified":"2017-11-26T01:36:14","modified_gmt":"2017-11-26T06:36:14","slug":"nfl-week-12-odds-predictions-picks-spread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patsfans.com\/patriots\/blog\/2017\/11\/26\/nfl-week-12-odds-predictions-picks-spread\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 12 Odds, Predictions and Picks against the spread"},"content":{"rendered":"

More than half of the remaining NFL Week 12 games have odds of seven or more points. On paper there are few competitive games, but that doesn’t mean a whole lot. Last week the Chiefs were double-digit favorites but lost to a one-win Giants club in disarray. Washington was an injury riddled 7\u00bd point road dog up against a hot team on a seven game winning streak. The 4-5 Skins were up by 15 with less than two minutes to play and nearly upset the Saints before losing in overtime in one of the season’s most exciting games. On the other hand there are the Patriots, who have not lost since October 1st – and have covered the spread four weeks in a row.<\/p>\n

Should the Patriots-Dolphins game turn into a blowout, there may be some competitive games in the early time slot. Buffalo is at KC in a battle between two fading teams. Tampa Bay at Atlanta could be interesting should the Falcons have a letdown after winning at Seattle. In the late time slot the Saints at Rams should be a great game. The night games are nothing special. Green Bay at Pittsburgh would have been a good game if Aaron Rodgers was the QB rather than Brett Hundley. Monday night it is Houston at Baltimore. The only reason to watch that is to witness a potential John Harbaugh meltdown and another Baltimore loss.<\/p>\n

Unfortunately New England fans are once again saddled with Ian Eagle and the incompetent Dan Fouts as the broadcast crew for Sunday’s game. It boggles my mind that somebody at CBS considers this pair to be their second best set of announcers. How can anyone possibly consider those two to be better than Greg Gumbel and Trent Green, or Kevin Harlan and Rich Gannon? <\/p>\n

For a full list of announcers and to see what games are being broadcast in your are, please check JP Kirby’s 506 Sports<\/span><\/a>.<\/p>\n

Early Games on CBS<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

4-6 Miami Dolphins at 8-2 New England Patriots<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/span>
\nPatriots favored by 16\u00bd; over\/under 47\u00bd points; money line -1900, +1000<\/p>\n

The Patriots have often struggled against quarterbacks that they have little film to review for tendencies and weaknesses. Does that mean that Matt Moore will lead the Dolphins to an upset? Of course not. The offense is clicking despite several injuries, and the defense has made a 180 turn from the first month of the season.<\/p>\n

Pick: Patriots 38, Dolphins 17<\/span><\/strong>
\nNew England +16\u00bd, over 47\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

0-10 Cleveland Browns at 4-6 Cincinnati Bengals<\/strong><\/span>
\nBengals favored by 8; over\/under 38 points; money line -410, +340<\/p>\n

DeShone Kizer has thrown 14 interceptions, most in the NFL. Cleveland’s defense has been decent, but having to overcome all those turnovers is too much to ask for.<\/p>\n

Pick: Bengals 24, Browns 13<\/span><\/strong>
\nCincinnati -8, under 38<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

5-5 Buffalo Bills at 6-4 Kansas City Chiefs<\/strong><\/span>
\nChiefs favored by 10; over\/under 46\u00bd points; money line -500, +400<\/p>\n

Buffalo HC Sean McDermott may be in over his head. With a 5-4 record and the Bills holding onto a wild card spot, he inexplicably benched QB Tyrod Taylor. Taylor is not an elite quarterback by any means, but the replacement was a 5th round rookie going on the road to make his first NFL start. Nathan Peterman proceeded to throw an interception on four of the first five drives, and was mercifully yanked after his fifth pick. McDermott’s reasoning was that he wanted to see what Peterman had and how he could do. Isn’t that what a blowout game in the fourth quarter is for? Or preseason? Or games in December after you have been eliminated from the playoffs, as opposed to a midseason game when you have a winning record?<\/p>\n

Pick: Chiefs 31, Bills 20<\/span><\/strong>
\nKansas City -10, over 46\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Early Games on Fox<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n

3-7 Chicago Bears at 9-1 Philadelphia Eagles<\/strong><\/span>
\nEagles favored by 14; over\/under 44\u00bd points; money line -1100, +700<\/p>\n

Philly has won eight in a row and is coming off a huge win over division rival Dallas. The Eagles will be on the road for the next three games, playing the Rams, Seahawks and Giants. The Bears have already taken advantage of superior opponents in trap games twice, defeating the Steelers and Panthers. While an upset would be shocking, A close game would not be a surprise.<\/p>\n

Pick: Eagles 24, Bears 20<\/span><\/strong>
\nChicago +14, under 44\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

4-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 6-4 Atlanta Falcons<\/strong><\/span>
\nFalcons favored by 9\u00bd; over\/under 48\u00bd points; money line -475, +375<\/p>\n

In their victory last week at Miami the Bucs allowed three pass plays of over 40 yards. That kind of pass defense is going to be in a world of hurt against Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and the Atlanta offense.<\/p>\n

Pick: Falcons 30, Bucs 21<\/span><\/strong>
\nTampa Bay +9\u00bd, over 48\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

7-3 Carolina Panthers at 4-6 New York Jets<\/strong><\/span>
\nPanthers favored by 5\u00bd; over\/under 40 points; money line -250, +210<\/p>\n

Will Carolina be well rested or rusty coming off the bye? If the Panthers are looking ahead to next week’s game at New Orleans, the fundamentally sound Jet defense could cause enough problems to pull off an upset.<\/p>\n

Pick: Panthers 20, Jets 17<\/span><\/strong>
\nNew York Jets +5\u00bd, under 40<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

6-4 Tennessee Titans at 3-7 Indianapolis Colts<\/strong><\/span>
\nTitans favored by 3; over\/under 45\u00bd points; money line -165, +145<\/p>\n

The Titans bounce back from last Thursday’s loss to Pittsburgh by feasting on an inferior opponent.<\/p>\n

Pick: Titans 24, Colts 17<\/span><\/strong>
\nTennessee -3, under 45\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Late Afternoon Games<\/span><\/h2>\n

6-4 Seattle Seahawks at 1-9 San Francisco 49ers<\/strong><\/span>
\n4:05 ET on Fox
\nSeahawks favored by 6\u00bd; over\/under 45\u00bd points; money line -300, +250<\/p>\n

The 49ers may be able to keep it close thanks to all the injuries on Seattle’s defense. The Niners just don’t have enough talent to beat the Seahawks though.<\/p>\n

Pick: Seahawks 27, Niners 20<\/span><\/strong>
\nSeattle -6\u00bd, over 45\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

8-2 New Orleans Saints at 7-3 Los Angeles Rams<\/strong><\/span>
\n4:25 ET on CBS
\nRams favored by 2\u00bd; over\/under 53\u00bd points; money line -145, +125<\/p>\n

By far the best game of the week. The Rams have beaten only one good team all season (Jacksonville), and were a bit disappointing in last week’s loss at Minnesota. I’m expecting them to bounce back at home against New Orleans. The Saints defense has been opportunistic (ten interceptions, 13 takeaways) but could be overpowered here. New Orleans gave up 31 points at home to the injury riddled Redskins last week, and haven’t faced an offense this good since their week two loss to the Patriots. <\/p>\n

Pick: Rams 31, Saints 27<\/span><\/strong>
\nLA Rams -2\u00bd, over 53\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

7-3 Jacksonville Jaguars at 4-6 Arizona Cardinals<\/strong><\/span>
\n4:25 ET on CBS
\nJaguars favored by 5\u00bd; over\/under 38 points; money line -240, +200<\/p>\n

The Jaguar defense is allowing just 14.1 points per game, by far the lowest in the NFL. Jacksonville should be able to feast on Blaine Gabbert and an anemic Arizona offense that has scored more than 21 points just twice all year.<\/p>\n

Pick: Jaguars 20, Cardinals 13<\/span><\/strong>
\nJacksonville -5\u00bd, under 38<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

3-7 Denver Broncos at 4-6 Oakland Raiders<\/strong><\/span>
\n4:25 ET on CBS
\nRaiders favored by 5; over\/under 43 points; money line -240, +200<\/p>\n

Remember when the experts declared the AFC West to be the best division in the NFL before the 2017 season began? Not much of that talk now, thanks to these two disappointing teams that failed to live up to the hype. Denver has lost six in a row, their worst losing streak since 1990. They could actually benefit from Tim Tebow at this point.<\/p>\n

Pick: Raiders 24, Broncos 21<\/span><\/strong>
\nDenver +5, over 43<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Prime Time Games<\/span><\/h2>\n

5-5 Green Bay Packers at 8-2 Pittsburgh Steelers<\/strong><\/span>
\nSunday night at 8:30 pm ET on NBC
\nSteelers favored by 14; over\/under 43\u00bd points; money line -1000, +600<\/p>\n

Last week Pittsburgh was able to stop Tennessee’s running game, force the Titans into predictable pass plays, and take advantage of poor down-and distance situations. That resulted in four Marcus Mariotta interceptions and a 40-17 victory. The same formula worked for Baltimore last week in their 23-0 rout over the Packers as Green Bay turned the ball over five times. No reason to believe this game won’t be more of the same.<\/p>\n

Pick: Steelers 31, Packers 10<\/span><\/strong>
\nPittsburgh -14, under 43\u00bd<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

4-6 Houston Texans at 5-5 Baltimore Ravens<\/strong><\/span>
\nMonday night at 8:30 pm ET on espn
\nRavens favored by 7; over\/under 38 points; money line -320, +260<\/p>\n

Tom Savage has ten turnovers (3 picks, 7 fumbles) in just 125 pass attempts. He has been sacked 13 times and is averaging a league-worst 4.54 yards per dropback. This all plays right into the strength of Baltimore’s defense, to force turnovers (an NFL-best 23).<\/p>\n

Pick: Ravens 24, Texans 13<\/span><\/strong>
\nRavens -7, under 37<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

More than half of the remaining NFL Week 12 games have odds of seven or more points. On paper there are few competitive games, but that doesn’t mean a whole lot. Last week the Chiefs were double-digit favorites but lost to a one-win Giants club in disarray. Washington was an injury riddled 7\u00bd point road dog up against a hot team on a seven game winning streak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":2354,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_pfeai_meta_description":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1535,1198,1519,11],"tags":[1335,284,272,655,422,1147,315,260,46,155,271,610,324,325,277,122,306,478,278,141,286,276,1245,45,307,44,116,47,1630,1631,1632,328,259,8,270,379,201,468,374,1580,707,252,326,308,609,1638,1639],"class_list":["post-13779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2017-patriots-season","category-nfl-commentary","category-nfl-news","category-patriots-commentary","tag-2017-nfl-season","tag-against-the-spread","tag-announcers","tag-arizona-cardinals","tag-atlanta-falcons","tag-ats","tag-baltimore-ravens","tag-betting-line","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-carolina-panthers","tag-cbs","tag-chicago-bears","tag-cincinnati-bengals","tag-cleveland-browns","tag-denver-broncos","tag-espn","tag-fox","tag-green-bay-packers","tag-houston-texans","tag-indianapolis-colts","tag-jacksonville-jaguars","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-los-angeles-rams","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-nbc","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-new-orleans-saints","tag-new-york-jets","tag-nfl-line-week-12","tag-nfl-lines-week-12","tag-nfl-week-12-odds","tag-oakland-raiders","tag-odds","tag-patriots","tag-pats","tag-philadelphia-eagles","tag-pittsburgh-steelers","tag-san-francisco-49ers","tag-seattle-seahawks","tag-sunday-night-football","tag-tampa-bay-bucs","tag-television","tag-tennessee-titans","tag-tv","tag-week-12","tag-week-12-nfl-lines","tag-week-12-nfl-odds"],"yoast_head":"\nNFL Week 12 Odds, Predictions and Picks against the spread<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"More than half of the remaining NFL Week 12 games have odds of seven or more points. 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