In the Starting Line-Up
Nah, look at Josh Allen's stats (QB Rating) year by year. He got better in year two, he got better in year three when he got Diggs. The leap in QB Rating was almost equal from year two to year three.Thats pretty much it. He certainly has improved in some areas as he has acquired experience but in terms of consistently delivering pass after pass in a basic pro-style offense...not really.
For example, if you look at BAL from 2019-2021 in 11 (3WR/1TE) personnel he passed more in 2021 but his effectiveness was pretty much the same which was not all that overly efficient.
Other more prolific passing teams fared much better. Even Mac had a 100Qb rating in 11 personnel in 2021 whereas LJ was 86 rating with twice as few attempts as Mac.
Can he improve? Sure. It's not like he doesn't know what he doing out there. He can read defenses, change plays, look off DBs, etc. But what needs to happen for him to get to Josh Allen's level? Maybe better WRs are the answer. Once he got Diggs he took off. Maybe he needs to trust what he sees more out there and have more patience consistently. Maybe it's fundamentals (which he has worked on)? Not sure.
In 2021 career low TD's, career high INT's, career high sacks, career low yards from scrimmage as a starter... he's become worse as a passer as teams got film on him.
Now he's having another career year... what's changed? Oh yeah, he's playing for a new contract. Fool's gold...
Can he improve? Sure... will he? Can he improve from his baseline enough to pass well in the pocket against playoff defenses? I seriously doubt it, but I was wrong about Josh Allen.