this idea is basically BS. look at the last few years:
in 2006, SB champion Colts went 2-3 in December, losing by 27 to the Jacksonville Jaguars and by three to a 6-10 Houston Texans team before narrowly beating a 6-10 Miami Dolphins team to finish the year. They went and won four straight...
Houston is a 7 point favorite over the Pats. clearly bettors expect the Pats to rest some key players while Houston goes all out...if this game had been played last week the Pats would have been favorites. so, the money says the Pats sandbag
ditto for the Bengals...they are 9 point dogs at...
would have been like this
1996 Big XII Championship game
Texas is up 3 at their own 28 with just over 2:30 left
They went for it on 4th and inches...and got it
"What a call by Mackovich!!!"
"You deserve to win the football game with guts like that"
this is what...
How about every single time
Interesting story, apropos of this 4 part study which tackles the problem of when teams should be going for it. it's a great read for the more analytically minded football fan out there.
there have been a few of these studies, and they all say the same thing really...
Cassel has not signed any new deal besides the 1 year franchise deal
I had assumed that any team trading for him would want a deal in place for the long term - otherwise they are risking a high draft pick for 1 year of a player, which is a disaster. this is of course what KC is currently...
there aren't any.
BB built arguably the best team of all time this year. play the SB 100 times, and we win 65.
things just didn't go our way Sunday, but that doesn't mean it was a flawed team or that the Giants are a better team. it just means that...things didn't go our way.
1 bad game...
from 2001 to 2004, the Pats led a pretty charmed existence. yes, they had terrible injuries in 2003 and 2004, but they won a remarkable number of close games where the key plays tended to go their way. they were the best team in the league in 2003 and 2004, but even the best team can't expect to...
Well, not exactly, but it's similar for one reason.
Versus the Ravens, we got the breaks. Versus the Giants, the Giants got them all.
some of the Ravens stuff was pure luck, like Ryan calling the TO. some of it was stuff that doesn't always happen, like the Refs having the good sense to...
all numbers are from, umm, a source
Super Bowl full game:
Pats -12 (-110)
Pats Over/Under 33
Giants Over/Under 21
Total Over/Under 53.5
1st Half #'s:
Pats O/U 17.5
Giants O/U 10
Total O/U 27.5
anybody have any ENTERTAINMENT wagers they will be making?
so far there is only 1 bet I...
this one of the key guys from Football Outsiders, really a knowledgeable football fan, and a key guy behind their advanced stats and game charting project. I know lots of folks on here don't like stats, you should listen to this guy to get an idea of his knowledge, etc.
maybe even better...
it's a long, detailed, X's and O's detailed gameplan to slow down the Pats offense. a very interesting read for those interested in such things.
Just a friendly suggestion here. when you start a thread whose main point is to discuss an article/video, I think good form to include a summary/excerpt of the article, or at least something to discuss besides a link.
OP's limited to this amount of content...
was not as much as some would have you believe.
Baltimore's RB's ran 36 times for 162 yards (4.5 Y/C).
Pittsburgh's RB's ran 27 times for 157 yards (5.8 Y/C)
Ben was 19/32, 187 yards, 1 TD.
Boller was 15/23 , 210, 2 TD, 1 INT.
of course, Baltimore...
it looks like the league is catching up to us. Brady was held wayyyyy below his TD average.
we'll have a top 5 pick, I say we use it on Tebow, who can both run AND pass, which is what Brady can't do.
that way defenses won't know what is coming