Coronavirus RESPECTFUL Discussion Only! (Mod edit: Closed)

KontradictioN said:

This might be it. On top of being long overdue for an economic correction, we’re also long overdue for a good, old fashioned purge. Some lady in Sanford just came up and visited the nearby beach town next to the one I live in, Atlantic Beach. Now she’s screaming that she thinks she has the Coronavirus. The news reported it and stores are already cleared out of hand sanitizer. At least they’ll have clean hands when they breathe in an airborne virus though.

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Ice_Ice_Brady said:

Woman in Sanford fears she has coronavirus, claims Health Department won’t test her for virus

I Googled this and wasn’t disappointed in the idiocy. This waste of oxygen has absolutely zero reason to believe she has the Coronavirus, doesn’t know what symptoms are consistent with the Coronavirus, is clearly lying about her contact with “sick Chinese citizens” and the news reports it anyway. Lmao. I’d bet anyone $10,000 and give them 10:1 odds that she does not have the disease. It’s obvious the Florida Health Dept wants to get her out of the hospital room and into the loony bin.

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Joker said:

OMG!!!!! I'm GONNA DIE!!!! (you hope, you freakin' whackjobs)

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denverpatsfan said:

Not sure what the panic is all about? For those of you with grand parents still around they might tell you (if their parents told them) about the Spanish Flu of 1918. "Bodies stacked like wood" If it gets that bad Ill worry. Till then we are operating normally at our house.

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Tunescribe said:

I have a heightened stake in this with a wife who touches sick people in a big hospital four days a week.

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LuRkeR1978 said:

That's exactly what is was like, and there was not a global travel system in place back then. They treated it like the common cold, and the already WW1 decimated population went down in flames.

My grandmother was 14-15 during that time, and somehow managed to survive to tell the tale. We are being stupid AF dealing with this. It will become 1918 all over again if folks don't pull their heads out of their collective asses, and drop their normalcy and optimism biases.

View attachment 26258
Those dots are only going to get bigger...
Source.

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QuantumMechanic said:

When a disease is in its exponential growth phase just dividing total deaths by total cases is incorrect and give a misleadingly low death rate, especially for a disease like this where if you end up dying it takes about 2 weeks or more from infection to death.

To get the true death rate you need to look at each day's reported deaths and divide them by the cases reported on the day two weeks earlier. That way you are dividing the deaths due to a block of infections by the actual since of that block of infections.

Here's an example of what I mean. Say you have a disease with a 100% per day growth rate, a 10% fatality rate, and if you die, you die after 3 days. (Picking all that to make the numbers simpler, not because those are the stats for this coronavirus. (For the love of god they better not be!)).

And we'll start with 100 infections on day 1
Day 1: 100 cases, 0 deaths, 100 total cases, 0 total deaths
Day 2: 200 cases, 0 deaths, 300 total cases, 0 total deaths
Day 3: 400 cases, 0 deaths, 700 total cases, 0 total deaths
Day 4: 800 cases, 10 deaths (these are the 10% of those infected on day 1), 1500 total cases, 10 total deaths
Day 5: 1600 cases, 20 deaths (10% of those infected on day 2), 3100 total cases, 30 total deaths
Day 6: 3200 cases, 40 deaths, (10% of those infected on day 3), 6300 total cases, 70 total deaths
etc

So on days 1-3 simple division makes it look like a 0% death rate
On day 4 it makes it look like a 0.67% death rate
On day 5 it makes it look like a 0.97% death rate
On day 6 it makes it look like a 1.1% death rate

But it's really 10%.

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LuRkeR1978 said:

We are being stupid AF dealing with this. It will become 1918 all over again if folks don't pull their heads out of their collective asses, and drop their normalcy and optimism biases.

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FCB02062 said:

We were all supposed to be drowned by rising sea levels in 2012....I think we'll be ok for football season in 7 months

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QuantumMechanic said:

https://twitter.com/lizspecht/status/1236095180459003909

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FCB02062 said:

We were all supposed to be drowned by rising sea levels in 2012....I think we'll be ok for football season in 7 months

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1. 1967: Dire Famine Forecast By 1975
2. 1969: Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989 (1969)
3. 1970: Ice Age By 2000
4. 1970: America Subject to Water Rationing By 1974 and Food Rationing By 1980
5. 1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020 or 2030
6. 1972: New Ice Age By 2070
7. 1974: Space Satellites Show New Ice Age Coming Fast
8. 1974: Another Ice Age?
9. 1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life
10. 1976: Scientific Consensus Planet Cooling, Famines imminent
11. 1980: Acid Rain Kills Life In Lakes
12. 1978: No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend
13. 1988: Regional Droughts (that never happened) in 1990s
14. 1988: Temperatures in DC Will Hit Record Highs
15. 1988: Maldive Islands will Be Underwater by 2018 (they’re not)
16. 1989: Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done by 2000
17. 1989: New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater by 2019 (it’s not)
18. 2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is
19. 2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
20. 2004: Britain will Be Siberia by 2024
21. 2008: Arctic will Be Ice Free by 2018
22. 2008: Climate Genius Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic by 2013
23. 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
24. 2009: UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’
25. 2009: Climate Genius Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014
26. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2015
27. 2014: Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’
28. 2019: We only have 12 years left!!

LuRkeR1978 said:

1. 1967: Dire Famine Forecast By 1975
2. 1969: Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989 (1969)
3. 1970: Ice Age By 2000
4. 1970: America Subject to Water Rationing By 1974 and Food Rationing By 1980
5. 1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020 or 2030
6. 1972: New Ice Age By 2070
7. 1974: Space Satellites Show New Ice Age Coming Fast
8. 1974: Another Ice Age?
9. 1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life
10. 1976: Scientific Consensus Planet Cooling, Famines imminent
11. 1980: Acid Rain Kills Life In Lakes
12. 1978: No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend
13. 1988: Regional Droughts (that never happened) in 1990s
14. 1988: Temperatures in DC Will Hit Record Highs
15. 1988: Maldive Islands will Be Underwater by 2018 (they’re not)
16. 1989: Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done by 2000
17. 1989: New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater by 2019 (it’s not)
18. 2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is
19. 2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
20. 2004: Britain will Be Siberia by 2024
21. 2008: Arctic will Be Ice Free by 2018
22. 2008: Climate Genius Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic by 2013
23. 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
24. 2009: UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’
25. 2009: Climate Genius Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014
26. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2015
27. 2014: Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’
28. 2019: We only have 12 years left!!

Yup, it's totally NOT a 50+ year hoax....nope nope.

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LuRkeR1978 said:

Yes, I'm a Russian bot from 2005 secretly waiting for 15 years to make that post...

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LuRkeR1978 said:

Yes, I'm a Russian bot from 2005 secretly waiting for 15 years to make that post...

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QuantumMechanic said:

https://twitter.com/lizspecht/status/1236095180459003909

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Ice_Ice_Brady said:

I marvel at the algorithm and programming for this bot. It even replies with sarcasm.

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