bormio
Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
- Joined
- May 9, 2016
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You do not just factor in the chance of converting, but what are the chances you do anything if you convert (and the risk of failing). That is why going for it on 4th and 5 at your own 30 is usually a bad play. You still are a long ways from scoring even if you convert, whereas failure puts the other team on the doorstep of scoring.Not exactly but pretty close. 4th and 4-5 is what they say in most situations IIRC between the 20s. Sometimes more and sometimes less.