Ring 6
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2022 Weekly Picks Winner
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I don’t understand your last sentence.You're right that having the #1 pick isn't a guarantee of a great player.
I will say, though, that the odds are against the #1 pick being the best player when he gets followed by seven rounds of picks. Yet the #1 pick must be historically the most likely selection in the draft -- and by a significant amount -- to make a major contribution unless #2 or #3 somehow have more of a claim on great players.