- Joined
- Apr 3, 2006
- Messages
- 26,109
- Reaction score
- 52,116
If you'd shown me the slomo of the play to this point and asked me what the probable result of this play was, I have guessed 30% TD, 20% caught and stopped short (which is bad too for this situation), 49% incomplete, and 1% or less turnover. I want my QB to throw that. A QB who needs to see a receiver open before he'll throw is trending to Luke Falk territory.
If you showed a snapshot of Brady right before he threw the miracle deflected pass to Edelman in the Falcons Super Bowl you'd be horrified. Why's he throwing into tight triple coverage? Or most back shoulder throws. They don't look open but based on design, understanding of defenses, and practice, you assume they'll be completed a high enough percentage of the time. But sometimes the defender makes superlative plays.
My only point is that the execution failed. Bevell can’t do anything at that point. The QB is the last “kill switch” so to speak, as only he can change the concept post-snap. From that angle, it is not a promising result. Could have thrown it lower...Butler is supposed to be blocked out of the play and is completely untouched bearing down on the exact trajectory of the ball. Again, I think a lot of QBs would have recognized the danger there. While the Butler interception was extremely unlikely, a deflected ball that pops in the air was not that unlikely. Agree to disagree? I understand and appreciate your point.