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He also was pretty bad during the last part of last season. Over the last 6 games of the year he had 7 TDs and 5 INTs. Before that he'd only thrown 2 picks all season.
Follow that up with two INTs in the first two games this season for 9TDs vs 7INTs over the past 8 games.
Arm strength is generally overrated but not unimportant. A certain amount of velocity is necessary. Brees has never had great arm strength and has still managed to be very successful, but...
Brees’s arm strength now (starting at the cutoff last season you referenced) appears to be significantly diminished even from his normal levels. His underthrows and inability to get the ball into small windows in 10-15 yard range has been glaring. Pumped up stats with dump offs to Kamara and throwing to Michael Thomas are keeping his reputation up.
I don’t think this is a hiccup, and I think Brees will be out by 2021 at the latest.
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