Patriots trade Hollister to the Seahawks

wynpalmer said:

As an ex-mathematician (and apparently also a hopeless pedant) I just have to point out that there really isn't anything called the "Law of Averages". It's generally just a layman's inaccurate attempt to encapsulate probabilistic concepts in a simple to understand way and does not capture any biases in the intrinsic probability distribution of the system.
What is generally meant by this is something closer to the weak "Law of large Numbers" where, in the case of the coin, the expected value is likely 0.5, but does not include any contribution due to the slightly asymmetric distribution of mass in the coin or indeed any other source of bias.
So, obviously, if Hollister had some tendency towards a particular injury or injuries (as Gronk had towards back injuries etc.) then the "Law of Averages" would absolutely not apply and the concept of being injury prone is a valid one.

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Elijah said:

Wow, how did I miss such a long series of posts with people talking about the "law of averages" like it's a real thing?

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patchick said:

7th-round picks are certainly cheap, but UDFAs are cheaper.

Each team is allotted a modest amount of cash above rookie minimum, roughly equal to the slotted bonus of a 7th-round pick, for their entire UDFA class. If a team really wants to lure in an especially desirable UDFA they can guarantee part of their salary, but by and large UDFAs make minimum salary, period.

EDIT: For example, last year 7th-round pick Keion Crossen got a $75k bonus, priority UDFA J.C. Jackson got $10K.

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wynpalmer said:

As an ex-mathematician (and apparently also a hopeless pedant) I just have to point out that there really isn't anything called the "Law of Averages". It's generally just a layman's inaccurate attempt to encapsulate probabilistic concepts in a simple to understand way and does not capture any biases in the intrinsic probability distribution of the system.
What is generally meant by this is something closer to the weak "Law of large Numbers" where, in the case of the coin, the expected value is likely 0.5, but does not include any contribution due to the slightly asymmetric distribution of mass in the coin or indeed any other source of bias.
So, obviously, if Hollister had some tendency towards a particular injury or injuries (as Gronk had towards back injuries etc.) then the "Law of Averages" would absolutely not apply and the concept of being injury prone is a valid one.

Click to expand...

wynpalmer said:

As an ex-mathematician (and apparently also a hopeless pedant) I just have to point out that there really isn't anything called the "Law of Averages". It's generally just a layman's inaccurate attempt to encapsulate probabilistic concepts in a simple to understand way and does not capture any biases in the intrinsic probability distribution of the system.
What is generally meant by this is something closer to the weak "Law of large Numbers" where, in the case of the coin, the expected value is likely 0.5, but does not include any contribution due to the slightly asymmetric distribution of mass in the coin or indeed any other source of bias.
So, obviously, if Hollister had some tendency towards a particular injury or injuries (as Gronk had towards back injuries etc.) then the "Law of Averages" would absolutely not apply and the concept of being injury prone is a valid one.

Click to expand...

Seacoast Fan said:

Pretty average post.

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Urgent said:

He’s due for a good one.

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