If we get Rosen I have no doubt that he will end up better than all the QBs in this class other than Haskins and maybe Murray.
In 2020 we are most likely going to miss out on Tua/Fromm/Herbert.
I think this is a no-brainer. If we can get Rosen without overpaying we should be going after him hard.
Let's look at some first year stats between Rosen and TB. Let's start off by saying Rosen played for the worst Team in the League and Brady won the SB in 2001 so the talent is evident. Brady also had one camp under his belt and not a pure rookie. Rosen was thrown into the lions' den.
Brady started 12 games in 2001 and Rosen 15
Brady threw for 2,643 and Rosen 2,278
Brady average per catch was 6.9 yards and Rosen 5.8 yards
Brady had 18 TD's to 12 ints. Rosen was 11TD's and 14 ints.
Brady was sacked 41 times with a good OL. and 3 fewer starts. Rosen was sacked 45 times with a paper mache OL.
Brady's QBR this year was 68.8 and Rosen was 66.7
Brady rushed for 43 Yards in 2001 and Rosen 138 first year.
You can read nothing into this but I would say the "sacrifice" Rosen took this year could go well for his future with a good Team. The Pats will never have an opportunity to Draft a top talent QB as long as they are still a top team. Rosen is 20 years younger than Brady.......20 years!
Rosen is slightly more mobile than TB and perhaps one of the top half of starting QB's in the NFL as far as cerebral. BB demands smart guys.
At pick #32 we are talking Daniel Jones rated as the 51st bet player in the Draft. Grier is rated #157. That is NOT good value for #32.
That being said I think Kyler is going 1st. The Cards will trade and have been offered a 2nd rounder. They are holding out for a 1st.
The only other possibility I see is Haskins is dropping a little and Locke is ascending. I would not be surprised if Locke is taken in the top 12 and Haskins tumbles. To #32? I don't think so but I would still take Rosen who is only 3 months older than Haskins.
You also have Rosen as a 5 year guy 1 st rounder, There will not be a great value at QB in Round one (probably traded anyway) at pick #32 so if he goes Jones in Round 2, he is a 4 year guy. Rosen has the same contract.
Not that Hoyer is not a great Team player, but Rosen would be cheaper to keep as TB back up until the passing of the torch.
Let's look at this another way. Steve Young was picked up in a trade from Tampa to the 49ers to take over for Joe Montana.
Young's numbers in Tampa were ironically similar to Rosen's as a starter.
His Tampa Bay Team was 2-12, he threw for 2,282 yards. He threw 8 TD's and was intercepted 13 times. Young was very mobile and still sacked 47 times! His QBR was 65.5
The Buccaneers received second and fourth round draft picks in the
trade
Just sayin'
DW Toys