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Reiss game by game predictions for 2018: 11-5


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15-1

One loss to Miami. The rest are comfy 20 point wins
 
. It’s not easy to consistently beat a high powered team like that year after year, especially on their home field. I’m not saying they’ll beat us, but I’m just not as sure as you are about penciling it in as an automatic win based simply on past results.

I am not simply basing it on past results. I am basing it on Tomlin's destiny ever since he offended the football Gods. The Pats are the team his owner, players and fans most want to beat, ergo the football Gods will not allow it. Beating New England is his Sisyphean Rock

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That's some high end polytheistic reasoning jete right there, nothing simple about it.
 
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This team will be lucky to win 9 games
 
They were 10-6 last year against a weak schedule.

Fake news

Jax played 4 games vs 2017 post season teams plus the 49ers during their 5 game win streak.

The Jaguars beat the Steelers twice on the road and gave NE all they could handle. With Coughlin at GM they show no signs of slowing down.
 
Fake news

Jax played 4 games vs 2017 post season teams plus the 49ers during their 5 game win streak.

The Jaguars beat the Steelers twice on the road and gave NE all they could handle. With Coughlin at GM they show no signs of slowing down.
The combined records of the teams they faced was 111-145. .434 winning percentage.
That by definition is a weak schedule.
 
Schedule strength is the dumbest thing to look at in the nfl.

It’s all about matchups and coming to play. Come out flat and you’ll get your lunch handed to you by inferior teams
 
We lose 1 game and that would be the final game...
 
The combined records of the teams they faced was 111-145. .434 winning percentage.
That by definition is a weak schedule.

No, that is WRONG.

Jax faced 6 under 500 teams.
NE faced 6 under 500 teams.

The average win % per team of the 16 opponents that faced Jax is 324.86
The average win % per team of the 16 opponents that faced NE is 406.50. Slightly higher by 81.64%

1 more win (.62%) by 2 of the 4 Jax 9 - 7 opponents places their schedule more difficult than NEs. Was NEs schedule weak? You do not need to be a homer to answer absolutely not.

The obvious difference between the 2 schedules is that Jax played Cleveland and NE played New Orleans. Clevelands win % drags Jaxs score down and New Orleans win % elevates NEs.

All the FACTs are locate at ProFootball Reference and Jax will not go .500 per your prediction baring unforeseen injuries.
 
It's not a place to go in full Patriots gear, IMO, without expecting A LOT of heckling, if not worse. It's not Oakland or Philly, but there appears to be something in the water (beer?) to convert the normally-chill south Florida folks into goons.
It's called GoodellPropagandaCorruptionNFLMediaPatriotsAreCheatersItis
 
No, that is WRONG.
How can a fact about their opponents schedule be wrong?


Jax faced 6 under 500 teams.
NE faced 6 under 500 teams.

The average win % per team of the 16 opponents that faced Jax is 324.86
The average win % per team of the 16 opponents that faced NE is 406.50. Slightly higher by 81.64%
Yeah those numbers make no sense. How can an average win percent be 324?
However using your numbers the patriots faced a 25% harder schedule.
The true number is patriot opponents were124-132 so yes the patriots had an easy schedule, however when you remove their own record against those teams it would be average.
Pro football reference actually does have a strength of schedule metric so there was no need for you to make it up.
The patriots are at -1.44 while Jacksonville was at -2.77 with zero meaning avawrage and the higher the + meaning hardest and the higher the- integer meaning easier.

1 more win (.62%) by 2 of the 4 Jax 9 - 7 opponents places their schedule more difficult than NEs. Was NEs schedule weak? You do not need to be a homer to answer absolutely not.
One more win by 2 jville opponents would make it 113-143 vs 124-132 so your point here is ludicrous.


The obvious difference between the 2 schedules is that Jax played Cleveland and NE played New Orleans. Clevelands win % drags Jaxs score down and New Orleans win % elevates NEs.

All the FACTs are locate at ProFootball Reference and Jax will not go .500 per your prediction baring unforeseen injuries.
I corrected your “facts”.
Jacksonville had a very easy schedule. The patriots had a reasonably easy one. There really isn’t even a debate.
 
The Giants organization, anointed many moons ago by a fawning local media as one of the NFL's “model franchises,” the definition of “class,” etc...

Yes, the franchise whose hometown boy, Brooklyn-born assistant was "never" going to promoted to head coach due to prejudice against his Italian heritage. So, Vince Lombardi packed up his family and moved them off to woebegone Green Bay.

The franchise which had by far the worst record in the NFL in the 70's yet the "laughingstock" was up in Foxborough...where indeed, the Patriots had the worst record in the league in 1981...their one losing season in a stretch of 13 years.

The franchise which stepped off the plane in Arizona dressed in black for the Patriots' "funeral" prior to Super Bowl 42, the last game of a Patriots season dedicated to Marquise Hill, who lost his life after saving a young woman's...weeks after Sean Taylor was honored like a head of state.
 
11-5 seems low. Pats always seem to get atleast 12 wins

I don't see Houston coming into NE and getting a win. I think the Texans are highly overrated. Has their defense improved? It was dreadful last year.

Brady will carve them up
 
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