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The weakest link in Steelers offense is their lack of reliable depth and....Big Ben?


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First and foremost: Ben definitely hasn't had a great year by his standards. I think some may be overstating the extent of the problem (he's not devolved into Brock Osweiler, or Peyton circa 2015!), but he's been more streaky and less accurate overall than his '14 and '15 campaigns.

That said, there's another factor in play here, and it's arguably been Pitt's biggest offensive issue this year.

As Deus mentioned, Pitt essentially lost its four best receiving options to take pressure off of Brown in the passing game. Bryant was suspended; Wheaton barely played before getting IR'd; Ladarius Green was actually terrific when he did play, but could only stay healthy for a few games; Sammie Coates was injured after a promising start and hasn't developed as hoped.

The Steelers have plugged in a bunch of low-round picks and/or UDFAs in their places. Players like Eli Rogers (UDFA), Jesse James (5th rounder last year), Cobi Hamilton (UDFA/midseason callup), and Demarcus Ayers (7th rounder/late season practice squad callup) have been very pleasant suprises...but no one should confuse their talent or (most importantly) experience with that first group. Since no one in the current group opposite Brown keeps DCs up at night, so teams have rolled coverage heavily to Brown's side all year.

The bottom line is that the young guys aren't always where they're supposed to be in their routes. A few times each game, there are clear issues where they zig when Ben is expecting them to zag. (Think of how Brady's passes went to Michael Floyd last game and you'll understand).

So I think Ben has not thrown as confidently as in years' past--he can either try to squeeze balls in between double teams on Brown's side, or toss it to one of the 1st year guys and hope that they're where they should be.

This is not to say that Ben's been terrible, or that the offense hasn't been good or even great at times. But they are NOT the juggernaut they were at times last year, when they were explosive even against teams like Seattle and Denver. They have two blue chip threats in Bell and Brown, but the dropoff to this year's supporting cast (rogers/James/Hamilton/Ayers) is vast when compared to 2015's group (Bryant/Wheaton/Miller).
 
The weakest link is anyone who is not Ben, Bell or Brown.
 
First and foremost: Ben definitely hasn't had a great year by his standards. I think some may be overstating the extent of the problem (he's not devolved into Brock Osweiler, or Peyton circa 2015!), but he's been more streaky and less accurate overall than his '14 and '15 campaigns.

That said, there's another factor in play here, and it's arguably been Pitt's biggest offensive issue this year.

As Deus mentioned, Pitt essentially lost its four best receiving options to take pressure off of Brown in the passing game. Bryant was suspended; Wheaton barely played before getting IR'd; Ladarius Green was actually terrific when he did play, but could only stay healthy for a few games; Sammie Coates was injured after a promising start and hasn't developed as hoped.

The Steelers have plugged in a bunch of low-round picks and/or UDFAs in their places. Players like Eli Rogers (UDFA), Jesse James (5th rounder last year), Cobi Hamilton (UDFA/midseason callup), and Demarcus Ayers (7th rounder/late season practice squad callup) have been very pleasant suprises...but no one should confuse their talent or (most importantly) experience with that first group. Since no one in the current group opposite Brown keeps DCs up at night, so teams have rolled coverage heavily to Brown's side all year.

The bottom line is that the young guys aren't always where they're supposed to be in their routes. A few times each game, there are clear issues where they zig when Ben is expecting them to zag. (Think of how Brady's passes went to Michael Floyd last game and you'll understand).

So I think Ben has not thrown as confidently as in years' past--he can either try to squeeze balls in between double teams on Brown's side, or toss it to one of the 1st year guys and hope that they're where they should be.

This is not to say that Ben's been terrible, or that the offense hasn't been good or even great at times. But they are NOT the juggernaut they were at times last year, when they were explosive even against teams like Seattle and Denver. They have two blue chip threats in Bell and Brown, but the dropoff to this year's supporting cast (rogers/James/Hamilton/Ayers) is vast when compared to 2015's group (Bryant/Wheaton/Miller).

Not trying to exaggerate Big Ben's problems. He's had moments this season where he's played lights out. But his inconsistency, his poor numbers on the road, and rising interceptions point to many of the issues he has with the lack of quality depth on offense.

The question, so brilliantly described in a different thread, is how confident does Roethlisberger feel in relying on his #3 #4 or #5 option to make plays? And will his hesitancy force him into making bad decisions, resulting in turnovers?

@Ice_Ice_Brady broke it down much more clearly than I have:

The idea is that Ben won't have confidence to throw to them, even if the matchups are favorable, or that he will try to force it to Brown/Bell resulting in turnovers. And frankly, there has not been a lot of times this season when Ben has been willing to get their third, fourth, and fifth options involved. Last year they had Bryant and Wheaton out there, with Williams often the second RB. This year it has basically been Ben, Bell, and Brown. It will be interesting to see just how confident Ben is in his abilities rather than his superstar players, which is what I think has always been the difference between him and better QBs. Think Manning last year throwing two TDs to a broken down Owen Daniels because he went with the coverage and matchup rather than the star playmakers. And obviously I don't need to give examples of Brady beating teams with depth options.
 
Their biggest weakness on OFF is our DEF biggest strength:

Red Zone Efficiency
 
How much do the Steelers depend on Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown?

The Steelers’ #3, #4, and #5 threats on the field are Eli Rogers, Jesse James, and either Cobi Hamilton or Sammie Coates. Rogers is the only player of that group that could have a big game against the Patriots barring coverage breakdowns although Hamilton and Coates have flashed potential in certain games.

Bell has accumulated 85.6% of his team’s carries when on the field. As a receiver Bell has been targeted 94 times, which is 2nd on the team behind Antonio Brown. Bell is often used as a checkdown or short yardage, but that doesn’t mean the Steelers won’t use him on wheel routes similar to how the Patriots utilize James White out of the backfield.

Bell’s 355 combined carries and targets take up the Steelers 1026 plays, or 34.6% of their plays from scrimmage. Over 12 games, that’s been an average of 30 touches a game. The Patriots should definitely be expecting that, especially with Bell having the most success of his career to date with 170 YFS per game in his two postseason games. The Patriots cannot stack the box with 8 defenders because it leaves them vulnerable to single coverage against Antonio Brown, which is never a good game plan.

The Steelers top overall receiving threat, Antonio Brown has 154 targets and 3 carries, totaling 157 touches. Brown is 2nd in the team in scrimmage yards with 1,293, or 86.2 per game. Brown is the #1 target in the Steelers offense and Ben Roethlisberger’s go-to-guy in single coverage. The Steelers, and Roethlisberger in particular, love to take shots to Brown in single coverage, which is why stopping the run with just the Front 7 is paramount for the Patriots defense. Brown has 1,284 receiving yards on 106 catches, so whatever teams have tried has not worked consistently.

Totaling up the number of times the Steelers attempted to get the ball to both Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, the Steelers targeted or handed them the ball 512 times. The Steelers ran 1026 plays on the season, which means the Steelers attempted to get Bell and Brown on about half of their offensive plays. In the Patriots case, you do as much as you can to limit those two, as the Patriots 3rd, 4th, and 5th defenders can handle the Steelers 3rd, 4th, and 5th receivers.
 
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I haven't gone through every post but I just saw that Ben had 14 rushing yards ALL season. He had negative here and positive here with a long of 14.

This is more telling than anything else. He isn't moving anywhere near what he was and he is breaking down. For reference TB12 had 64 total rushing yards with a long of 15.

So TB12 had 50 more yards total and a one yard longer run. He's not mobile anymore which should make it easier on the Pats D.
 
PFF lists Big Ben as the biggest possible liability for Pittsburgh (assuming he plays at his worst)

Top liability for each remaining playoff team | PFF

Pittsburgh Steelers: QB Ben Roethlisberger
This can be firmly counted among things I didn’t expect to be the case in 2016, but Ben Roethlisberger has been a problem for the Steelers at times this season. His overall grade in 2015 was 93.5, third in the NFL; this year, it has slipped to just 80.5, his lowest since the 2008 season.

It’s not that Roethlisberger has just been consistently worse, it’s that his season has been a series of inconsistent swings. He has seven games this season with a grade of 80.0 or higher, but four games with a grade under 50.0, including one mark of 31.4, and one more at 51.6.

Roethlisberger has thrown five interceptions in his last three games, eight in his last five and nine in his last six. He has been a major turnover machine in that time span. In some of those games, he has been able to offset those turnovers with big plays and production, but in others, he hasn’t.

Against the Miami Dolphins, we saw the swings in his play in quick sequence. For instance, he threw the ball directly to a defensive lineman dropping into coverage, only to see it end up as a completed pass when the defender couldn’t bring it in; next he was able to make a nice play by avoiding traffic in the pocket and hitting his receiver across the middle—only to see that pass dropped and intercepted.

Right now, the Steelers have the league’s best offensive line. They also have Le’Veon Bell running the ball well, and a defense that is rounding into form. They are a team that suddenly looks very hard to find a weakness on, but all of a sudden, they have a QB capable of losing them the game with poor decisions and costly turnovers.

No quarterback has been kept clean as often as Ben Roethlisberger this season, with 77.0 percent of his dropbacks seeing him clean in the pocket. Including the playoffs, though, he has now thrown 11 interceptions without pressure being a factor, and those plays can be the difference in the postseason when games are tight.
 
Paul Zeise: Is Ben Roethlisberger the Steelers' biggest liability?

Roethlisberger was solid against the Dolphins, with a 105.2 rating and two touchdown passes, but the Miami defense was decimated. He threw two interceptions and really should have thrown a third. His game against the Chiefs was very average, throwing for 224 yards, no touchdowns and an interception. In last year’s playoff loss to Denver, Roethlisberger threw for 339 yards but zero touchdowns as the Steelers scored only 16 points. In the 2014 loss to Baltimore, he put up 334 yards, but a lot of those came in garbage time. He threw two interceptions and only one touchdown as the Steelers failed to score 20 points. Only once in his past eight playoff games (last year against Cincinnati) has he thrown for more touchdowns than interceptions.

If you look at all of his playoff games, the last time he was special was the 2010 wild-card win against Baltimore when he threw for 226 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions and had a quarterback rating of 101. At that point in his career, he had thrown 17 postseason touchdown passes and only 12 interceptions. Since then, he has thrown 10 postseason interceptions and only seven touchdowns. The Steelers offense has failed to crack 20 points in four of its past five playoff games.

I’m not jumping on the “Roethlisberger is a liability” bandwagon because I think that really overstates things. The fact remains, though, that his reputation as a great playoff performer was largely built in his first 11 playoff games, mostly because he led his team to two Super Bowl wins in his first five seasons. Even then, he had some stinkers along the way — like Super Bowl XL — but he had a number of truly special games as well.

The Steelers won’t beat the Patriots if Roethlisberger isn’t the elite quarterback he is capable of being and they won’t win if he makes bad decisions and throws interceptions. It helps that he has his full arsenal of weapons available and the Patriots aren’t great at putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks. But ultimately, this game will fall on Roethlisberger’s shoulders.

 
Here is what a Steelers fan wrote in response to PFF's article

steelerfury.com • View topic - Ben Dissed By PFF as the Biggest Liability

I am not surprised by PFF ranking him low because I can see what Ben has been doing this second half of the season for myself. I posted this in another thread but this has been a tale of two seasons for Ben.

The Big Ben that we know and love who did this in his first 8 games:

205 of 317, 2357, 20 TDs and 7 INTs, 98.8 passer rating.

Ben in his last 8 games (that includes two playoff games):

156 of 241, 1883 yards, 11 TDs and 9 INTs, passer rating of 88.2, playing at an Alex Smith level.

But if you go by his last 5 games those numbers are even more troubling:

95 of 149, 1206 yards, 6 TDs and 8 INTs, a passer rating of 79.9, playing at a Mark Sanchez level.

Now my theory is that at the midway point of the season he hurt his shoulder in some fashion, because his play has been deteriorating right before our eyes in the second half of this season. I see more passes tipped, I see so many passes that are too high or just off target enough to result in an incompletion, I have seen him unable to throw the ball with FINESSE. You can have a hurt shoulder and throw a deep strike, but that injury is going to ruin your finesse, your soft touch in being able to change up with the football. I have seen throws by Ben in this second half of the season where it is just a routine 10 yard pass and it goes incomplete.

I don't buy the young guys excuse any longer. We are about to play our 19th game of the season. Wheaton was hurt in the offseason, hurt during the preseason and did not play much if at all during the regular season. Ayers was not just some bum that we picked up off of somebodies roster, we drafted him, he was here for minicamp, training camp on the roster the whole year. Same with most of the other guys. Rogers, Hamilton, Jesse James, Grimble, they have all played this season and have come through at various points during this season, to say that Ben just doesn't have enough experience with them yet is baloney.

The passing game has regressed so badly, that one of our best pass catchers has produced just 4 catches for 3 yards the past two games. Who is that player? Bell.

Levon Bell, who was running WR routes in Ben's great first half of the season, and having games where he was catching 8,9, and 10 passes in a game, now he just good for these lame check downs. 4 catches for 3 yards in these last two playoff games.

Ben has to snap out of it, he has to find that first half of the season Ben, and Haley needs to find that pass catching Bell. People can moan all they want about Coates and the deep game but Bell and the threat of his pass catching has all but disappeared.
 
NFL1000: Can Ben Roethlisberger Right the Ship in Time for Patriots Challenge?

[Click here for full entry and clips for film review]

Roethlisberger's boom-or-bust style does have its drawbacks. He has been prone to streaks of iffy play throughout his career, just as he has had stretches in which he looks nearly invincible. Unfortunately for the Pittsburgh Steelers, he's been going through one of those rough patches over the last month of the regular season and into the playoffs.


More distressingly, the things that usually work about his game have been off.

Roethlisberger was one of the NFL's best deep passers in the regular season, leading the league with 13 touchdowns on passes of 20 yards or more in the air with just three picks. In the postseason, however, he's completed just one such pass on four attempts. To put that in perspective, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has nine deep completions on 23 attempts. And New England Patriots signal-caller Tom Brady, who Roethlisberger will see in the AFC Championship Game, completed six of 11 deep passes in one playoff game.

Roethlisberger has also been unusually balky under pressure (one completion and one interception in four attempts under pressure in the playoffs), and the Steelers have abandoned the play-action passing game in the postseason—Roethlisberger has completed two of three play-action attempts for just 22 yards. In an offense where play action off a dominant run game should be an open invitation for deep-shot plays, that's alarming.

I asked Cian Fahey, our NFL1000 quarterbacks scout, for his take on Roethlisberger's recent regression.

"Ben Roethlisberger has quickly become one of the least predictable quarterbacks in the NFL. He is still capable of consistent brilliance and is one of the most intimidating quarterbacks in the league, but his decision-making week-to-week has been puzzling," Fahey said.

"Look at the Miami Dolphins game two weeks ago—his interception in the fourth quarter was inexplicable considering the situation, but also considering how long he held the ball to allow [Dolphins defensive end] Cameron Wake to hit him. Against Kansas City he was managed well because the offense primarily relied on Le'Veon Bell, but his inability to throw with precision once the field tightened was a big reason for their inability to score a touchdown.
 
Here is another crucial piece of data on Ben Rothliesberger's postseason performance, and it suggests that forcing him to rely on passing is key to winning the game
 
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