My latest list... although it seems to be in constant flux.
QB (3) Tom Brady, Brian Hoyer, Ryan Mallett - only way this doesn't happen is if a team like San Diego (who lost backup Whitehurst to injury) decides to trade for Hoyer, who BB has been dangling in a trade since before the draft. I have no idea where the idea of cutting Mallett is coming from. I think the chances of that are pretty close to zero. Whatever the rest of you think, BB likes the kid.
RB (4) Shane Vereen, Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, Spencer Larsen - I like the Bolden story, but it's premature. I'd have to believe that he will give the Pats more value than Branch, and he's not there for me yet.
WR (7) Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd, Jabar Gaffney, Deion Branch, Donte Stallworth, Julian Edelman, Matthew Slater - I've managed to keep them all. I think Branch is at the biggest risk, but turns out I've got the roster spot to give.
TE (3) Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, Visanthe Shiancoe - seems right, barring injury. I'm excited to see our 5 TE power-passing sets in 2013 when Fells and Ballard rejoin the roster. Seems clear that the staff have unusual plans for Hernandez this year; some kind of role as an offensive joker-- the ultimate mismatch.
T (4) Nate Solder, Sebastian Vollmer, Marcus Cannon, Mat Kopa - No position gives me more anxiety than OT. Solder is on a learning curve. Vollmer is a ? Cannon probably belongs at RG. I've chosen Kopa based on terse reports that he's the best of the young depth. Dante Scarnecchia, our SB aspirations are in your hands!
G (3) Brian Waters, Donald Thomas, Ryan Wendell - I'm starting Mankins on PUP, and betting that Waters joins in the last weeks of camp. I assume this is a veteran courtesy, but it's just as likely that BB asked Waters to no-show, to give the young-uns the reps in camp. Waters is a known quantity to the coaching staff, but I think he's getting the Junior Seau treatment reserved for past-prime veterans. I've cut Gallery and with very little remorse. BB always seems willing to cut a big name FA who doesn't fit (Joey Galloway, John Lynch), in preference to a no-name guy like Thomas who shows up. In fact, I think BB makes a special point of it as a motivational tactic to attract future UDFAs to Foxboro.
C (2) Dan Connolly, Dan Koppen - I sent McDonald back to PS with the expectation that he may rejoin the roster during the season. Depth from Wendell who I've listed at OG. If Waters retires, McDonald is back on (ahead of Gallery) and Connolly slides to OG.
DT (4) Vince Wilfork, Kyle Love, Ron Brace, Brandon Deaderick - Brace has played his way back onto the team, nice! That eases my regret in failing to draft Devon Still in the 2nd round. Tough cut here is Gerard Warren, who I respect. But if the kids show up to play, and so far they have, then they have to get the nod.
DE (3) Jonathan Fanene, Chandler Jones, Jake Bequette - categorizing the defensive front 7 is an impossible task these days, because everyone plays three positions. Fanene can play inside, and has during camp. But he's not the same kind of widebody that I've listed as DT, so I'll put him here with the rookie rush ends.
OLB(4) Jerod Mayo, Rob Ninkovich, Bobby Carpenter, Jermaine Cunningham - Surprise cut is Trevor Scott. I think Carpenter has outplayed him and Cunningham has had a strong offseason and it's showing up in drills. BB wont cut a guy who's shown tremendous effort and progress from the same time last year. BTW, I'm incredibly excited to see Mayo playing at Will.
ILB(4) Brandon Spikes, Donta Hightower, Dane Fletcher, Jeff Tarpinian - Love Fletcher and Tarp as quality depth who crush on ST. Suddenly we feel deep and talented at LB with Carpenter and Hightower coming onboard, and Spikes establishing himself as a pro. What a difference a year makes. Sayonara Gary Guyton! Some minor regrets over cutting Tracy White, but I"ll get over it. White will prob end up on the Jets roster, or something horrible like that.
CB (4) Devin McCourty, Ras-I Dowling, Kyle Arrington, Alfonzo Dennard - I like the potential from this group, but we need to see it on the game tape. I've listed Sterling at S because he played there last year, but that's arbitrary. He'll play both positions, I'm pretty sure.
SS (2) Patrick Chung, Tavon Wilson - Wilson can play SS, FS, CB even LB, but I'll list him here to keep the balance. I am perhaps Wilson's only fan in all of Patriots Nation. I want the kid to crush it, if only to prove once again that Kiper is an idiot...as if it wasn't already obvious. Surprise(?) cut here is Ebner, although I dont see why it should be a surprise. Late round pick, barely played in college, hasn't participated in TC, what makes anyone think that he's got the inside track for a roster spot again?
FS (3) Steve Gregory, Sterling Moore, Will Allen - I love Will Allen as a veteran presence in the secondary, and Gregory feels like the veteran field general that we were missing last season with Moore thrust into the limelight. Huge upgrades.
ST (3) Stephen Gostkowski, Danny Aiken, Zoltan Mesko - obvious
Total players: 53
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Pats Picker 2012