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Archive for the ‘ overview ’ Category

Current status of 2013 Patriots ending roster as of January 21, 2015

The following tables attempt to show where the Patriots who were on the Patriots roster for the 2013 AFC Conference Championship game against the Denver Broncos are currently at.

Surname First End of 2013 Status Current Status
Aiken Danny 53 man roster 53 man roster
Allen Ryan 53 man roster 53 man roster
Amendola Danny 53 man roster 53 man roster
Armstead Armond NFI Retired
Arrington Kyle 53 man roster 53 man roster
Barker Chris 53 man roster Practice Squad
Beauharnais Steve 53 man roster Waived
Bequette Jake 53 man roster Practice Squad
Blount LeGarrette 53 man roster 53 man roster
Bolden Brandon 53 man roster 53 man roster
Boyce Josh IR 53 man roster
Brady Tom 53 man roster 53 man roster
Buchanan Michael 53 man roster IR
Cannon Marcus 53 man roster 53 man roster
Carter Andre 53 man roster Unsigned
Cave Braxston Practice Squad Waived
Collie Austin 53 man roster Unsigned
Collins Jamie 53 man roster 53 man roster
Connolly Dan 53 man roster 53 man roster
Davis Ja’Gared 53 man roster Waived
Davis Kanorris 53 man roster Waived
Dennard Alfonzo 53 man roster 53 man roster
Develin James 53 man roster 53 man roster
Devey Jordan Practice Squad 53 man roster
Dobson Aaron 53 man roster 53 man roster
Dunn Reggie Practice Squad Waived
Ebner Nate 53 man roster 53 man roster
Edelman Julian 53 man roster 53 man roster
Fletcher Dane 53 man roster Signed with Another Team
Forston Marcus Practice Squad Waived
Gostkowski Stephen 53 man roster 53 man roster
Green Justin 53 man roster Practice Squad
Gregory Steve 53 man roster Released
Grissom Cory IR Waived
Gronkowski Rob IR 53 man roster
Harmon Duron 53 man roster 53 man roster
Harrison Mark NFI Waived
Hightower Dont’a 53 man roster 53 man roster
Hoomanawanui Michael 53 man roster 53 man roster
Jones Chandler 53 man roster 53 man roster
Jones Chris 53 man roster 53 man roster
Kelly Tommy IR Released
Kline Josh 53 man roster 53 man roster
Mallett Ryan 53 man roster Traded
Mankins Logan 53 man roster Traded
Mattes R.J. Practice Squad Waived
Mayo Jerod IR IR
McCourty Devin 53 man roster 53 man roster
McGuffie Sam Practice Squad Waived
Moe T.J. IR Waived
Mulligan Matthew 53 man roster Signed with Another Team
Ninkovich Rob 53 man roster 53 man roster
Orton Greg Practice Squad IR
Reed Taylor Practice Squad Waived
Ridley Stevan 53 man roster IR
Ryan Logan 53 man roster 53 man roster
Siliga Sealver 53 man roster IR
Slater Matthew 53 man roster 53 man roster
Solder Nate 53 man roster 53 man roster
Sopoaga Isaac 53 man roster Released
Spikes Brandon IR Signed with Another Team
Svitek Will 53 man roster Unsigned
Talib Aqib 53 man roster Signed with Another Team
Thompkins Kenbrell 53 man roster Waived
Vellano Joe 53 man roster 53 man roster
Vereen Shane 53 man roster 53 man roster
Vollmer Sebastian IR 53 man roster
Wendell Ryan 53 man roster 53 man roster
White Chris 53 man roster 53 man roster
Wilfork Vince IR 53 man roster
Williams D.J. 53 man roster Released
Wilson Adrian IR Released
Wilson Tavon 53 man roster 53 man roster
Zusevics Markus IR Waived

Below is a summary.

53 man roster 53
53 man roster 31
IR 4
Practice Squad 3
Released 3
Signed with Another Team 4
Traded 2
Unsigned 2
Waived 4
IR 11
53 man roster 4
IR 1
Released 2
Signed with Another Team 1
Waived 3
NFI 2
Retired 1
Waived 1
Practice Squad 8
53 man roster 1
IR 1
Waived 6
Grand Total 74

Tracking New England Patriots Incentives after the AFC Championship game

LTBE bonuses count against the team’s salary cap in the year that they are scheduled to be earned, NLTBE bonuses do not.
At the end of the season, the NFL calculates how much each team had set aside for LTBEs that weren’t earned – or said differently, it figures out how much was charged to the team’s cap that was not actually spent. Similarly, the NFL calculates the amount of incentives designated NLTBE that were actually earned. If the unearned LTBEs are greater than the earned NLTBEs, then the following year’s salary cap for that team is increased by the net amount. Similarly, if the earned NLTBEs exceed the unearned LTBEs, then the team’s cap for the following year is lowered by that amount. You can see an example of the effect of cap adjustments at USA Today. The teams with negative cap adjustments had most likely earned more NLTBE incentives in 2013 than they did not earn LTBE incentives.

LTBE = Likely to Be Earned
NLTBE= Not Likely to be Earned

In 2014 the Patriots received a credit of $2,002,250 toward their 2014 cap number because of the LTBE/NTLBE calculation. The 2014 Patriots adjusted cap of $139,109,051 consists of $133,000,000 (League Cap) + $2,002,250 (LTBE/NLTBE adjustment) + $4,106,081 (rollover amount from 2013 season).

LTBE Incentives ($7,473,750 total)

  • Matthew Slater has a 300K LTBE Pro Bowl incentive _ Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s weight bonus – $300,000.
  • Vince Wilfork’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 1.
  • Brandon Browner’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 5
  • Rob Ninkovich’s playing time incentive – $250,000 if he plays in at least 75% of the defensive snaps in 2014. Ninkovich played in 95.5% of the defensive snaps in 2013. Ninkovich has played in 93.8% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014 – Earned
  • Michael Hoomanawanui’s playing time incentive – $400,000. Hoomananawanui played in 57.5% of the offensive snaps in 2013. Based on Ben Volin’s 12/28 report that one of the playing-time thresholds is 40% an guessing that there are 3 levels (30 percent or higher - $100,000; 40 percent or higher – $200,000; 50 percent or higher- $400,000). Hoomanawanui has played in 41.7% of the offensive snaps so far in 2014.   30 percent – Earned;40 percent- Earned; 50 percent – Unearned
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s 70% playing-time incentive- $1,000,000. In November the Patriots and Sebastian Vollmer agreed to lower the playing-time levels needed to earn incentives. Quoting the CBA – Any new or altered incentive bonuses renegotiated in a preexisting contract after the start of the regular season in which they may be earned automatically will be deemed “likely to be earned” during that season”. Therefore, this incentive is considered LTBE not because Vollmer made the incentive in 2013 but because the incentive was changed during the 2014 regular season.

46-man per-game roster bonuses – As of December 26, 9:00 AM, the Patriots have $4,223,750 in 46-man active roster bonuses that are now counting against their 2014 cap.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 per active game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $1,200,000 ($150,000*8). Browner has been active for nine games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $350,000 ($87,500*4). Wilfork has already reached this incentive since he has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Darrelle Revis had a $33,333 per game roster bonus that maxes at $500,000 (15 games). Revis played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000. Revis has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $375,000 ($31,250*12). Amendola has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Julian Edelman has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Edelman played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000 ($31,250*16). Edelman has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $187,500 ($31,250*6). Mayo has already reached this incentive since he had been active for 6 games this year.
  • Rob Ninkovich has a $15,625 per game roster bonus. Ninkovich played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $250,000 ($15,625*16). Ninkovich has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $180,000 ($15,000*12). Chung has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Brandon Lafell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Lafell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Lafell has been active for all 16 possible games this year.
  • Ryan Wendell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Wendell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Wendell has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $81,250 ($6,250 *13). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 16 games this year

NLTBE Incentives ($9,766,250 total)

  • Rob Ninkovich has a 200K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Kyle Arrington has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned – Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for reminding me of this incentive.
  • Sebastian Vollmer has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Jerod Mayo has a 300K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive- Not Earned
  • Stephen Gostkowski has a 50,000 NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Earned. Like to thank Field Yates to bringing the Ghost’s Pro Bowl incentive to the attention of Patriots nation.
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s playing time incentive – another $1 million if he plays in 80% of the offensive snaps. Vollmer has placed in 94.5% of the offensive snaps this year. – Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s Playing-time incentives:
    • If he plays 50 percent of the defensive snaps: $500,000 – Earned
    • If he plays 60 percent of the defensive snaps: $1.25 million- Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps: $2 million – Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team makes the divisional round of the playoffs, he makes $2.5 million -Earned
    • If Wilfork plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team is top 10 in points allowed, he earns $500,000 – Earned

    Vince Wilfork has played in 73.6% of the defensive snaps this year. Patriots are 8th in points allowed.

  • Brandon Browner can earn up to $1.25 million in playing-time incentives. Do not know the trigger levels at this time.Brandon Browner played in 43.5% of the snaps in 2013. He has played in 52.5% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014
  • Danny Amendola has a $500,000 NLTBE incentive that is tied to receptions. Do not know the exact trigger levels at this time but presume that the trigger level is no less than 64 receptions since that is the number of catches Amendola had with the Rams in 2012. Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for informing me of this incentive.Danny Amendola has had 23
    receptions so far in 2014 – Unearned.
  • Julian Edelman has a $500,000 NTLBE incentive that can be earned in one of the following four ways:
    1. 1,057 receiving yards – Unearned
    2. 70 receptions plus seven TDs – Unearned
    3. 80 receptions plus 13 wins – Unearned
    4. 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance – Earned

    After 16 games, Julian has 92 receptions totaling 972 yards. He has 4 receiving touchdowns and the Patriots have won twelve games. The Patriots are GOING to the Super Bowl.

Per the CBA, “Any roster bonus which is deemed not “likely to be earned” based upon the player’s performance during the prior year shall immediately be included in Team Salary when earned” so as the below players play in more games in 2014 than they did in 2013 the Patriots will lose cap space in the amount of the 46-man active roster bonus. Example – Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013. He has played in 15 games in 2014. The Patriots have lost $962,500 ($87,500 *11) in cap space so far this season.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $600,000 ($150,000*4). Browner has been been active for 9 games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 46-man active per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $1,050,000 ($87,500*12). Wilfork has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $125,000 ($31,250*4). Amendola has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $60,000 ($15,000*4). Chung has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $18,750 ($6,250*3). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $312,500 ($31,250 * 10). Mayo was active for 6 games this year.
Amount Event Likelihood
$50,000 Gostkowski making the Pro Bowl Earned
$200,000 Ninkovich making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Arrington making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Vollmer making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$300,000 Mayo making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$1,000,000 Vollmer exceeding 80% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 50% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 60% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots making to the divisional round Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots finishing in Top 10 in Points allowed Earned
$1,250,000 Browner’s exceeding playing-time incentives Possible
$500,000 Amendola’s receptions incentive Not Earned
$200,000 Lafell having at least 800 receiving yards Earned
$100,000 Lafell having at least 900 receiving yards Earned
$500,000 Edelman has four different ways to earn this incentive.
1.) 1,057 receiving yards
2.) 70 receptions plus seven TDs
3.) 80 receptions plus 13 wins
4.) 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance
Earned
$1,050,000 Wilfork being on the 46-man active roster for more than 4 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$125,000 Amendola being on the 46-man active roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$60,000 Chung being on the 46-man active roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$18,750 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man active roster for more than 13 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$150,000 Browner being on the 46-man active roster for more than 8 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$200,000 Lafell having at least 800 yards in receiving Earned
$100,000 Lafell having at least 900 yards in receiving Earned
$6,250 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Earned
$312,500 Mayo being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Not Earned
$450,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 12 games. Not Earned
Not Earned $2,112,500
Possible Total $1,250,000
Probable Total
Earned Total $4,850,000
NLTBE Incentive Total $9,766,250

As far as I know, the Patriots will not be credited with any unreached LTBE incentives (Wendell’s being inactive for two games, for example) in 2014. What will happened is that any unreached LTBE incentives will be used to offset NLTBE incentives that were actually earned by other players at the end of the year and there will be an adjustment made to the Patriots 2015 cap number.

After AFC Conference championship game
Negative means that the player reached a NLTBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not earned a LTBE incentive

  • Lafell’s receiving yards (-$300,000)
  • Edelman’s receptions (-$500,000)
  • Gostkowski’s Pro Bowl bonus (-$50,000)
  • Wilfork’s playing more than 70% (- $2,000,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps AND the Patriots make it to the divisional round (-$500,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps and the Patriots defense finishing in the Top 10 in points allowed (-$500,000)
  • Vollmer’s playing-time incentive (- $1,000,000)
  • Wendell’s per-game roster bonus ($25,000)
  • Edelman’s per-game roster bonus ($62,500)
  • Hoomanawanui’s playing-time incentive ($200,000)
  • Totals (-$4,562,500)

The $4,562,500 LTBE/NLTBE adjustment will be included in the Patriots 2015 adjusted salary cap number calculation as a debit.

New England Patriots Salary Cap Calendar

Customizing the NFL calendar for the best team of the NFL salary cap era – the New England Patriots.

December 29 Clubs may begin signing free agent players for the 2015 season. Patriots have already signed Rufus Johnson, Dion Lewis, and Antonio Johnson to 2015 contracts
December 29 Patriots may renegotiate or extend the rookie contract of a drafted rookie who was selected in the 2012 NFL Draft (Chandler Jones, Dont’a Hightower, Tavon Wilson, Nate Ebner, and Alfonzo Dennard). Any permissible renegotiated or extended player contract will not be considered a rookie contract, and will not be subject to the rules that limit rookie contracts.
December 29 Option exercise period begins for fifth-year option for first-rounds elections from the 2012 NFL Draft (Chandler Jones, Dont’a Hightower). To exercise the option, the club must give written notice to the player on or after December 29, 2014 but prior to May 3, 2015.
February 2 Waiver system begins for 2015
February 10 Beginning at 12 noon, New York time, NFL clubs may begin to sign players whose 2014 CFL contracts have expired. Players under contract to a CFL club for the 2015 season or who have an option for the 2015 season are not eligible to be signed.
March 2 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, deadline for Patriots to designate a Franchise or Transition Player. If tagged, Stephen Gostkowski’s 2015 cap number would be $4,440,000, a 120% increase of his 2014 cap number. A player’s franchise tag number is the higher of 120% of his prior cap number or the number achieved from the franchise tag number calculation.
On October 12th, 2014 CBS Sportline’s Jason LaCanfora reported that the percentage that will be used to determine the franchise tag number for safeties will be 6.713%. The below table lists the possible franchise tag numbers for McCourty if the league cap is between $140 million and $144 million.

League Cap Safety Franchise Tag Number
$140,000,000 $9,398,000
$141,000,000 $9,465,000
$142,000,000 $9,532,000
$143,000,000 $9,600,000
$144,000,000 $9,667,000
March 7-10 Patriots are permitted to contact, and enter into contract negotiations with the certified agents of players who will become Unrestricted Free Agents upon the expiration of their 2014 contracts at 4:00 p.m., New York time, on March 10. However, a contract cannot be executed with a new club until 4:00 p.m., New York time, on March 10
March 10 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, clubs must exercise options for 2015 on all players who have option clauses in their 2014 contracts. Darrelle Revis has a $12 million option. (9 million of which is payable on March 10, $3 million is due in March 16)
March 10 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, the Patriots must submit a Minimum Salary Tender to retain exclusive negotiating rights to their players with expiring 2014 contracts and who have fewer than three accrued seasons of free agency credit (Greg Orton – $510,000;James Morris – $510,000; Brian Tyms – $585,000; James Develin – $660,000; Sealver Siliga – $660,000)
March 10 Vince Wilfork is due a $4 million roster bonus. Brandon Browner is due a $2 million roster bonus. Nate Solder’s $7.438 million salary becomes fully guaranteed. Rob Gronkowski’s $4.75 million salary and $205
March 10 Top-51 Begins. All clubs must be under the 2015 salary cap prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time
March 10 All 2014 player contracts expire at 4:00 p.m., New York time
March 10 The 2015 league year and free agency period begin at 4:00 p.m., New York time. The first day of the 2015 league year will end at 11:59:59 p.m., New York time, on March 10. Clubs will receive a personnel notice that will include all transactions submitted to the league office during the period between 4:00 p.m., New York time, and 11:59:59 p.m., New York time, on March 10
March 10 Trading period for 2015 begins at 4:00 p.m., New York time, after expiration of all 2014 contracts
March 14 $1 million of Rob Ninkovich’s 2015 salary becomes fully guaranteed. LaGarrette Blount is due a $100,000 roster bonus. Michael Hoomanawanui is due a $300,000 roster bonus
April 24 Deadline for Patriots to sign Restricted Free Agents to offer sheets
April 30 – May 2 2015 NFL Draft, Chicago, Illinois.
May 2 Patriots can start signing undrafted players. In 2014 the Patriots could offer their UDFAs a total of $80,362 in signing bonuses. Actual total was $47,000
May 2 Patriots can start signing their drafted players. Because of the Top 51 rule signing the 2014 Patriots draft class took up $1,206,373 in cap space. Therefore, it seems safe to project that the Patriots will need between $1.2 and $2 million in cap space to sign its 2015 draft picks. Admajt13 wrote what I consider the best explanation of the rookie pool.. Please refer to it if you have any questions.
May 3 Option exercise period ends for fifth-year option for first-rounds elections from the 2012 NFL Draft (Chandler Jones, Dont’a Hightower). To exercise the option, the club must give written notice to the player prior to May 3, 2015.
June 1 For any Patriot removed from the club’s roster or whose contract is assigned via waivers or trade on or after June 1, any unamortized signing bonus amounts for future years will be included fully in team salary at the start of the 2016 League Year. These Patriots are currently signed past the 2015 season so they would be affected by the June 1 amortization rule (Tom Brady, Jerod Mayo, Vince Wilfork, Rob Gronkowski, Sebastian Vollmer, Danny Amendola, Brandon Browner, Kyle Arrington, Julian Edelman, Rob Ninkovich, Brandon Lafell, Marcus Cannon, Patrick Chung, Matthew Slater, Dominique Easley, Brandon Bolden, Jamie Collins, Aaron Dobson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Logan Ryan, Duron Harmon, Bryan Stork, James White, Michael Buchanan, Cameron Fleming, Chris Jones, Zach Moore, Cameron Gordon, Malcolm Butler, and Tyler Gaffney)
June 1 Deadline for prior club to send “June 1 Tender” to its unsigned Unrestricted Free Agents. If the player has not signed a contract with a club by July 22 or the first scheduled day of the first NFL training camp, whichever is later, he may negotiate or sign a contract from that date until the Tuesday following the 10th weekend of the regular season, at 4:00 p.m., New York time, only with his prior club.
July 22 Signing Period ends for unrestricted Free Agents to whom a “June 1 Tender” was made by prior club. After this date and until 4:00 p.m., New York time, on the Tuesday following the 10th weekend of the regular season, prior club has exclusive negotiating rights.
July 22 Signing period ends for Transition Players with outstanding tenders. After this date and until 4:00 p.m., New York time, on the Tuesday following the 10th weekend of the regular season, prior club has exclusive negotiating rights.
August 5 Deadline for players under contract to report to their clubs to earn an Accrued Season for free
August 5 If a drafted rookie has not signed with his club by this date, he cannot be traded to any other club in 2015, and may sign a player contract only with the drafting club until the day of the draft in the 2016 League Year.
August 26 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, clubs must reduce their rosters to a maximum of 75 players
August 27 All tryouts on this date and for the remainder of the season must be reported to the League
August 30 Prior to 6:00 p.m., New York time, clubs must reduce rosters to a maximum of 53 players on the Active/Inactive List.
August 30 Simultaneously with the cut-down to 53, clubs that have players in the categories of Active/Physically Unable to Perform or Active/Non-Football Injury or Illness must select one of the following options: place player on Reserve/Physically Unable to Perform or Reserve/Non- Football Injury or Illness, whichever is applicable; request waivers; terminate contract; trade contract; or continue to count the player on the Active List.
August 31 Claiming period for players placed on waivers at the final roster reduction will expire at 12:00
August 31 Beginning at 12:00 p.m., New York time, clubs may establish a Practice Squad of ten players.A player is eligible if he does not have an accrued season of NFL experience. Players gain an accrued season by being on the active roster for at least six games.If a player has one accrued season, they can still be practice squad eligible if they were on the 46-man active game-day roster for less than nine regular season games.Under the new 2014 NFL rules, teams may sign no more than two players up to two accrued seasons.A player is deemed to have served a season on the practice squad if he remains on the practice squad for at least six weeks. Players are eligible to be on the practice squad for two seasons.Players can be eligible for a third practice squad season if their team maintains no less than 53 players on the active/inactive list at all times. The minimum salary for a practice squad player is  $6,600. $6,600 * 10 * 17 = $1,122,000. Since the Patriots have typically pay some of their practice squad players more than the minimum and sometimes have less than 10 players on their practice squad, I will use $1.25 million for budgeting purposes.
August 31 Final day of preseason training camp for all clubs, as defined in CBA Article 23, Section 9.
September 1 After 4:00 p.m., New York time, a club is permitted to place a player on Reserve/Injured as “Designated for Return.”
September 2 At 4:00 p.m., New York time, deadline for all NFL Player Contracts, Practice Player Contracts, tender offers, and miscellaneous amounts to
fit within each Club’s 2015 Salary Cap, in anticipation of the midnight expiration of the Top 51 Rule. The Pats will need to have $1.25 million in cap space
for their practice squad players. The Patriots will need another $870,000 in cap space to pay the salaries of players 52, and 53. The Patriots typically have a $2 million cushion to replace players placed on IR. The Patriots usually sign 1 to 2 players to extensions during the regular season taking anywhere between 1 to 2 million in cap space. Based on what happened last year the Patriots will have a $2 million cushion for NLBE incentives that are likely to be earned in 2015.

  • Browner’s playing-time incentive – $500,000
  • Vollmer’s Pro Bowl bonus – $250,000
  • Browner’s 46-man active roster bonus – $700,000
  • Mayo’s 46-man active roster bonus – $312,500
  • Vollmer’s 46-man active roster bonus – $62,500
  • Edelman’s 46-man active roster bonus – $93,750
  • Wendell’s 46-man active roster bonus – $25,000

Therefore, the Patriots would probably like to enter Week 1 with about 5 to 6 million in cap space.

September 3 At 12:00 a.m., New York time, the Top 51 Rule expires for all NFL Clubs.
September 22 Beginning on the Tuesday following the third weekend of regular season games, the claiming priority is based on the inverse order of the standing of clubs in the current season’s games.
October 12 Beginning the day after the conclusion of the sixth regular season weekend and continuing through the day after the conclusion of the 11th regular season weekend, clubs are permitted to begin practicing players on Reserve/Physically Unable to Perform and Reserve/Non-Football Injury or Illness for a period not to exceed 21 days. Players may be activated during the 21-day practice period or prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, on the day after the conclusion of the 21- day period.
October 26 All trading ends for 2015 at 4:00 p.m., New York time.
October 27 Players with at least four previous pension-credited seasons are subject to the waiver system for the remainder of the regular season and postseason.
November 10 At 4:00 p.m., New York time, signing period ends for Franchise Players who are eligible to receive Offer Sheets.
November 10 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, deadline for clubs to sign their unsigned Franchise and Transition Players, including Franchise Players who were eligible to receive Offer Sheets until this date. If still unsigned after this date, such players are prohibited from playing in the NFL in 2015.
November 10 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, deadline for clubs to sign their Unrestricted Free Agents to whom the “June 1 Tender” was made. If still unsigned after this date, such players are prohibited from playing in the NFL in 2015.
November 10 Prior to 4:00 p.m., New York time, deadline for Clubs to sign their drafted rookies. If such players remain unsigned after this date, they are prohibited from playing in NFL in 2015.
November 28 Deadline at 4:00 p.m., New York time, for reinstatement of players in Reserve List categories of Retired, Did Not Report, and Exclusive Rights, and of players who were placed on Reserve/Left Squad in a previous season.
December 27 17th Week of Regular Season Games.
December 28 Clubs may begin signing free agent players for the 2016 season.
December 28 Earliest permissible date for clubs to renegotiate or extend the rookie contract of a drafted rookie who was selected in any round of the 2013 NFL Draft. Any permissible renegotiated or extended player contract will not be considered a rookie contract, and will not be subject to the rules that
limit rookie contracts.

Tracking New England Patriots Incentives after the Divisional Round Games

LTBE bonuses count against the team’s salary cap in the year that they are scheduled to be earned, NLTBE bonuses do not.
At the end of the season, the NFL calculates how much each team had set aside for LTBEs that weren’t earned – or said differently, it figures out how much was charged to the team’s cap that was not actually spent. Similarly, the NFL calculates the amount of incentives designated NLTBE that were actually earned. If the unearned LTBEs are greater than the earned NLTBEs, then the following year’s salary cap for that team is increased by the net amount. Similarly, if the earned NLTBEs exceed the unearned LTBEs, then the team’s cap for the following year is lowered by that amount. You can see an example of the effect of cap adjustments at USA Today. The teams with negative cap adjustments had most likely earned more NLTBE incentives in 2013 than they did not earn LTBE incentives.

LTBE = Likely to Be Earned
NLTBE= Not Likely to be Earned

In 2014 the Patriots received a credit of $2,002,250 toward their 2014 cap number because of the LTBE/NTLBE calculation. The 2014 Patriots adjusted cap of $139,109,051 consists of $133,000,000 (League Cap) + $2,002,250 (LTBE/NLTBE adjustment) + $4,106,081 (rollover amount from 2013 season).

LTBE Incentives ($7,473,750 total)

  • Matthew Slater has a 300K LTBE Pro Bowl incentive _ Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s weight bonus – $300,000.
  • Vince Wilfork’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 1.
  • Brandon Browner’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 5
  • Rob Ninkovich’s playing time incentive – $250,000 if he plays in at least 75% of the defensive snaps in 2014. Ninkovich played in 95.5% of the defensive snaps in 2013. Ninkovich has played in 93.8% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014 – Earned
  • Michael Hoomanawanui’s playing time incentive – $400,000. Hoomananawanui played in 57.5% of the offensive snaps in 2013. Based on Ben Volin’s 12/28 report that one of the playing-time thresholds is 40% an guessing that there are 3 levels (30 percent or higher - $100,000; 40 percent or higher – $200,000; 50 percent or higher- $400,000). Hoomanawanui has played in 41.7% of the offensive snaps so far in 2014.   30 percent – Earned;40 percent- Earned; 50 percent – Unearned
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s 70% playing-time incentive- $1,000,000. In November the Patriots and Sebastian Vollmer agreed to lower the playing-time levels needed to earn incentives. Quoting the CBA – Any new or altered incentive bonuses renegotiated in a preexisting contract after the start of the regular season in which they may be earned automatically will be deemed “likely to be earned” during that season”. Therefore, this incentive is considered LTBE not because Vollmer made the incentive in 2013 but because the incentive was changed during the 2014 regular season.

46-man per-game roster bonuses – As of December 26, 9:00 AM, the Patriots have $4,223,750 in 46-man active roster bonuses that are now counting against their 2014 cap.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 per active game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $1,200,000 ($150,000*8). Browner has been active for nine games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $350,000 ($87,500*4). Wilfork has already reached this incentive since he has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Darrelle Revis had a $33,333 per game roster bonus that maxes at $500,000 (15 games). Revis played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000. Revis has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $375,000 ($31,250*12). Amendola has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Julian Edelman has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Edelman played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000 ($31,250*16). Edelman has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $187,500 ($31,250*6). Mayo has already reached this incentive since he had been active for 6 games this year.
  • Rob Ninkovich has a $15,625 per game roster bonus. Ninkovich played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $250,000 ($15,625*16). Ninkovich has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $180,000 ($15,000*12). Chung has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Brandon Lafell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Lafell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Lafell has been active for all 16 possible games this year.
  • Ryan Wendell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Wendell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Wendell has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $81,250 ($6,250 *13). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 16 games this year

NLTBE Incentives ($9,766,250 total)

  • Rob Ninkovich has a 200K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Kyle Arrington has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned – Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for reminding me of this incentive.
  • Sebastian Vollmer has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Jerod Mayo has a 300K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive- Not Earned
  • Stephen Gostkowski has a 50,000 NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Earned. Like to thank Field Yates to bringing the Ghost’s Pro Bowl incentive to the attention of Patriots nation.
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s playing time incentive – another $1 million if he plays in 80% of the offensive snaps. Vollmer has placed in 94.5% of the offensive snaps this year. – Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s Playing-time incentives:
    • If he plays 50 percent of the defensive snaps: $500,000 – Earned
    • If he plays 60 percent of the defensive snaps: $1.25 million- Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps: $2 million – Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team makes the divisional round of the playoffs, he makes $2.5 million -Earned
    • If Wilfork plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team is top 10 in points allowed, he earns $500,000 – Earned

    Vince Wilfork has played in 73.6% of the defensive snaps this year. Patriots are 8th in points allowed.

  • Brandon Browner can earn up to $1.25 million in playing-time incentives. Do not know the trigger levels at this time.Brandon Browner played in 43.5% of the snaps in 2013. He has played in 52.5% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014
  • Danny Amendola has a $500,000 NLTBE incentive that is tied to receptions. Do not know the exact trigger levels at this time but presume that the trigger level is no less than 64 receptions since that is the number of catches Amendola had with the Rams in 2012. Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for informing me of this incentive.Danny Amendola has had 23
    receptions so far in 2014 – Unearned.
  • Julian Edelman has a $500,000 NTLBE incentive that can be earned in one of the following four ways:
    1. 1,057 receiving yards – Unearned
    2. 70 receptions plus seven TDs – Unearned
    3. 80 receptions plus 13 wins – Unearned
    4. 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance

    After 16 games, Julian has 92 receptions totaling 972 yards. He has 4 receiving touchdowns and the Patriots have won twelve games.

Per the CBA, “Any roster bonus which is deemed not “likely to be earned” based upon the player’s performance during the prior year shall immediately be included in Team Salary when earned” so as the below players play in more games in 2014 than they did in 2013 the Patriots will lose cap space in the amount of the 46-man active roster bonus. Example – Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013. He has played in 15 games in 2014. The Patriots have lost $962,500 ($87,500 *11) in cap space so far this season.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $600,000 ($150,000*4). Browner has been been active for 9 games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 46-man active per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $1,050,000 ($87,500*12). Wilfork has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $125,000 ($31,250*4). Amendola has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $60,000 ($15,000*4). Chung has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $18,750 ($6,250*3). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $312,500 ($31,250 * 10). Mayo was active for 6 games this year.
Amount Event Likelihood
$50,000 Gostkowski making the Pro Bowl Earned
$200,000 Ninkovich making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Arrington making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Vollmer making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$300,000 Mayo making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$1,000,000 Vollmer exceeding 80% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 50% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 60% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots making to the divisional round Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots finishing in Top 10 in Points allowed Earned
$1,250,000 Browner’s exceeding playing-time incentives Possible
$500,000 Amendola’s receptions incentive Not Earned
$200,000 Lafell having at least 800 receiving yards Earned
$100,000 Lafell having at least 900 receiving yards Earned
$500,000 Edelman has four different ways to earn this incentive.
1.) 1,057 receiving yards
2.) 70 receptions plus seven TDs
3.) 80 receptions plus 13 wins
4.) 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance
Possible
$1,050,000 Wilfork being on the 46-man active roster for more than 4 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$125,000 Amendola being on the 46-man active roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$60,000 Chung being on the 46-man active roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$18,750 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man active roster for more than 13 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$150,000 Browner being on the 46-man active roster for more than 8 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$200,000 Lafell having at least 800 yards in receiving Earned
$100,000 Lafell having at least 900 yards in receiving Earned
$6,250 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Earned
$312,500 Mayo being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Not Earned
$450,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 12 games. Not Earned
Not Earned $2,112,500
Possible Total $1,750,000
Probable Total
Earned Total $4,350,000
NLTBE Incentive Total $9,766,250

As far as I know, the Patriots will not be credited with any unreached LTBE incentives (Wendell’s being inactive for two games, for example) in 2014. What will happened is that any unreached LTBE incentives will be used to offset NLTBE incentives that were actually earned by other players at the end of the year and there will be an adjustment made to the Patriots 2014 rollover amount

After Week 17 projection
Negative means that the player reached a NLTBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not earned a LTBE incentive

  • Lafell’s receiving yards (-$300,000)
  • Gostkowski’s Pro Bowl bonus (-$50,000)
  • Wilfork’s playing more than 70% (- $2,000,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps AND the Patriots make it to the divisional round (-$500,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps and the Patriots defense finishing in the Top 10 in points allowed (-$500,000)
  • Vollmer’s playing-time incentive (- $1,000,000)
  • Wendell’s per-game roster bonus ($25,000)
  • Edelman’s per-game roster bonus ($62,500)
  • Hoomanawanui’s playing-time incentive ($200,000)
  • Totals (-$4,062,500)

The $4,062,500 LTBE/NLTBE adjustment will be included in the Patriots 2015 adjusted salary cap number calculation as a debit.

How the New England Patriots can create cap space for the 2015 season

As of January 8, I have the Patriots 2015 total cap commitments as $149,509,797. The $149,509,747 total presumes that the Patriots will sign all of its practice squad players to 2015 contracts as well as tender all 7 ERFAs.  There are several projections for the 2015 League cap. For the time being, I am using $142 million. I project that that the Patriots adjusted cap number will be about $2.300,000 higher than the league cap number. So, as of January 8 I project the Patriots to be over their projected cap number by about $5.2 million. So it appears that the Patriots will need to create cap space by releasing veterans or renegotiating existing contracts. There are plenty of opportunities to do both, thereby opening up millions of dollars under the cap.

When determining the cap savings from releasing players, keep in mind the Rule of 51. When a player from the top 51 is released or traded, the base salary of the player with the 52nd-highest cap number is added to the cap. For example, if Amendola was released, his cap number would be lowered by $2,100,000, although the actual team savings would be only $1,590,000 because another player’s $510,000 base salary would be added to the team cap.

These numbers are in millions
Player Salary Bonuses Cap Number Dead Money Cap Savings after Top 51 effect
Darrelle Revis $7.5 $17.5 $25 $5 $19.49
Tom Brady $8 $6 $14 $18 (-$4.51)
Jerod Mayo $6.25 $4 $10.2875 $6 $3.7775
Vince Wilfork $3 $5.9 $8.9 $.9 $7.6
Rob Gronkowski $4.75 $3.9 $8.65 $3.3 $2.84
Sebastian Vollmer $2.25 $5.8 $8.02 $4.2 $3.34
Nate Solder $7.438 $0 $7.438 $0 $6.928
Danny Amendola $4 $1.7 $5.7 $3.6 $1.59
Brandon Browner $1.9 $2.9 $4.8 $0 $4.29
Kyle Arrington $3 $1.625 $4.625 $3.5 $.865
Julian Edelman $2.25 $1.9 $4.2 $5.75 (-$2.10375)
Rob Ninkovich $2.1 $1.85 $3.95 $2.5 $.94
Brandon Lafell $1.8 $1.7 $3.5 $2 $.99
Marcus Cannon $1.2 $1.4 $2.6 $2.1 $0
Matthew Slater $1 $.666 $1.666 $2.3 (-$1.08)
Ryan Wendell $1 $.6 $1.6 $.425 $.665
Michael Hoomanawanui $.8 $.78 $1.58 $.18 $.89
Alfonzo Dennard $1.528 $0.014462 $1.54 $0.014462 $1.018
Tavon Wilson $.8 $.78 $1.58 $.18 $.89
LaGarrette Blount $.75 $.25 $1 $0 $.49

Some notes on the above numbers

  • Darrelle Revis’ dead money increases to $17,000,000 the beginning of the 2015 League Year because his $12 million roster bonus is due then.
  • Jerod Mayo’s dead money increases to $10.5 million if release is injury-related. $4.5 million of Mayo’s 2015 salary is guaranteed for injury.
  • Rob Gronkowski’s dead money increases to $10,300,000 the beginning of the 2015 League Year because his $4.75 million salary and $250,000 offseason workout bonus money become fully guaranteed that day. Plus, the Patriots would have to count the 2015 proration of his 2016 $10 million option bonus as dead money if they released Gronk after the start of the 2015 League Year.
  • Vince Wilfork’s dead money increases to $4,866,667 the begininng of the 2015 League Year because he is due a $4 million roster bonus then
  • Nate Solder’s dead money increases to $7,438,000 the beginning of the 2015 League Year because his $7.438 million becomes fully guaranteed then
  • Brandon Browner’s dead money increases to $2,000,000 the beginning of the 2015 League Year because he is due a $2 million roster bonus then
  • Matthew Slater’s dead money drops to $1,333,334 if traded because his $1 million salary is fully guaranteed
  • Julian Edelman’s dead money drops to $3,750,000 if traded because $2 million of his 2015 salary is fully guaranteed and his new team would be responsible for it.
  • Rob Ninkovich’s dead money increases to $3,500,000 the 5th day of the 2015 League Year because $1 million of his salary becomes fully guaranteed that day
  • Michael Hoomananawui’s dead money increases to $480,000 the 5th day of the 2015 League Year because he is due a $300,000 roster bonus then
  • LaGarrette Blount’s dead money increases to $100,000 the 5th day of the 2015 League Year because he is due a $100,000 roster bonus then
  • Ryan Wendell’s 2015 cap number may be increased if any part of his $1.25 million in playing-time incentives are classified as LTBE for the 2015 season.
  • Brandon Lafell’s 2015 cap number may be increased if any more part of his 2015 incentives are classified as LTBE for the 2015 season.

Here are some possible ways that the Pats could free up cap space. Please note that I am NOT advocating that the Patriots do all of these salary-cap maneuvers. The bolded maneuvers are my current predictions for that particular player. Am NOT predicting that the Patriots will do all of the bolded moves, just that if they do a move with a player, that it will be the bolded one. There is no need for the Patriots to do all of the bolded moves. The players are listed in descending 2015 cap number. Please note that following some option will result in increasing the player’s cap numbers for future seasons.

  1. Extend Darrelle Revis I outline several possible extensions between the Patriots and Darrelle Revis in this blog post.. My preferred deal would create $10 million in cap space
  2. Release Darrelle Revis for a net cap savings of $19,490,000
  3. Redo Jerod Mayo’s deal similar to the 2014 Vince Wilfork restructure for a cap savings of $4,016,667Reaching a Wilfork-type deal with Jerod Mayo
  4. Release a healthy Jerod Mayo for a net cap savings of $3,777,500.
  5. Release an injured Jerod Mayo for a net cap loss of (-$722,500).
  6. Release Vince Wilfork for a net cap savings of $7,556,667.
  7. Extend or Restructure Vince Wilfork’s deal giving him a signing bonus in return for a lower salary in 2015 and eliminating the $4 million roster bonus due him on March 10 – net cap savings of between $3 million and $5 million
  8. Extend Sebastian Vollmer through the 2017 season for a net cap savings from 2 to 3 million.
  9. Extend Nate Solder for a net cap savings of $4.389 million. I would use the deal struck between the Arizona Cardinals and Jared Veldheer in March of 2014 as a template. 5 year, $35 million deal. $6.25 million signing bonus. 500,000 each year in 46-man active roster bonuses.
    • 2015 – $6.25m signing bonus, $1.25m fully guaranteed salary, $500,000 in 46-man active roster bonuses. 3 million cap number
    • 2016 – $5.5 million salary. $3 million guaranteed for injury at start of deal, becomes fully guaranteed at the start of 2016 season. $500,000 in 46-man active roster bonuses. $7.25 million cap number
    • 2017/2018/2019 – $6.5 million salary. $500,000 in 46-man active roster bonuses. $8.25 million cap number.

    As rich as this deal sounds, this would put Solder among the lowest paid left tackles who are NOT on a rookie contract.

  10. Release Nate Solder for a net cap savings of $6.928 million.
  11. Lower Danny Amendola’s salary from $4 million to $1.9 million – net cap savings of $2,100,000 which is $510,000 more than what would be achieved by releasing him. Amendola’s 2015 cap number would then be $3.6 million. Releasing Amendola before June 2nd would cause a dead money hit of $3.6 million. For the same amount of cap space as releasing him the Patriots would have on their roster a capable backup for Edelman. I outline other cap scenarios for the Patriots and Danny Amendola in this blog post.
  12. Release Danny Amendola for a net cap savings of $1,590,000
  13. Lower Danny Amendola’s salary from $4 million to $745,000, the lowest minimum salary for a player with Danny Amendola’s experience for a cap savings of $3,255,000. I just doubt that Amendola would agree to such a paycut.
  14. Release Ryan Wendell for a net cap savings of $665,000. Net cap savings would be increased if any portion of Wendell’s 2015 playing-time incentives are classified LTBE
  15. Extend or Restructure Brandon Browner’s deal giving him a signing bonus in return for a lower salary in 2015 and eliminating the $2 million roster bonus due him on March 10 – net cap savings of between $1.5 million and $2 million
  16. Release Kyle Arrington for a net cap savings of $865,000
  17. Release Michael Hoomanawanui for a net cap savings of $890,000
  18. Waive Alfonzo Dennard – net cap savings of about $1 million. Because Alfonzo earned a Proven Performance Escalator, his 2015 salary will increase to the lowest RFA tender which is currently projected to be $1.528 million. Since it seems that both Logan Ryan and Malcolm Butler have passed Dennard on their depth chart, there are better uses for Dennard’s $1.528 million salary especially when Dennard has a minuscule dead money hit of $14,462.
  19. Trade Alfonzo Dennard after the league year starts.
  20. Release Tavon Wilson for a net cap savings of $455,166
  21. Release LaGarrett Blount for a net cap savings of $490,000

As you can see from above, the Pats could create $32 million in cap space if they chose to do all of my bolded predictions. The Pats could create $28 million in cap space WITHOUT releasing a single player. The Pats could create over $43 million in cap space without increasing future cap hits.

Here are the moves that I think that will happen


  1. Extend Revis
  2. Restructure Mayo
  3. Restructure Wilfork
  4. Lower Danny Amendola’s salary
  5. Waive Alfonzo Dennard
  6. Release Michael Hoomanawanui

The Patriots may wait to do the other bolded moves for when they need to create cap space.

2015 Patriots Free Agents – Predicting who stays and who goes and at what price

January 6, 2015 update – Learned that Josh Boyce and Darius Fleming are already signed for the 2015 season so they will not be ERFAs.

Listing the 18 free agents that the Patriots will have after the end of the 2014 season.

  1. ERFA – Greg Orton, WR – Expect Orton to be tendered for the 2015 season at a salary of $510,000
  2. ERFA – James Morris, LB – Expect Morris to be tendered for the 2015 season at a salary of $510,000.
  3. ERFA – Brian Tyms, WR – Expect Tyms to be tendered in 2015 at a salary of $585,000.
  4. ERFA – James Develin, FB – Expect Develin to be tendered in 2015 at a salary of $660,000
  5. ERFA – Sealver Siliga, DT – Expect Siliga to be tendered in 2015 at a salary of $660,000
  6. RFA – Brandon Bolden, RB – Do not expect the Patriots to make Brandon Bolden a RFA tender offer. The current projection for the lowest RFA tender is $1.528 million. Bolden is not worth that much salary
  7. UFA – Danny Aiken, LS – Expect Aiken to be signed to another veteran minimum salary deal in 2015
  8. UFA – Akeem Ayers, LB – If Ayers continues to play at a high level, he will probably be looking to increase his salary from $1.1 million and therefore I expect that he will be moving on from the Patriots.
  9. UFA – Alan Branch, DT – Would not be surprised if this is the only year that Branch is on the Patriots roster as the Patriots try to go younger and cheaper on the defensive line.
  10. UFA – Jonathan Casillas, LB – Expect Casillas to be signed to a two or three year-deal in the $1.5m to $2m range after incentives.
  11. UFA – Patrick Chung, S – Patrick on his second go-around with the Pats is probably going to sign a two or three year deal that will pay him in the $1.25 to $2 million range after incentives.
  12. UFA – Dan Connolly, G – Connolly will probably have to take a paycut from his 2014 $3 million salary to be on the Patriots on an one-year deal in 2015.
  13. UFA – Stephen Gostkowski, K – Expect the Ghost to be extended before the start of the 2015 League Year to a deal that averages between $3.75m and $4m per year in cap value.
  14. UFA – Steve Maneri, TE – Expect Steve Maneri to sign a veteran minimum salary benefit deal something this spring.
  15. UFA – Devin McCourty, S – As he gets closer to free agency, the cost to extend him increases. McCourty is the one Patriot free agent who could be franchised in 2015. I talk about his comparables and propose a contract extension in this blog post.
  16. UFA – Stevan Ridley, RB – Expect Stevan Ridley to sign an one-year incentive-laden prove-it deal as he increase his value after his season-ending injury.
  17. UFA – Shane Vereen, RB – See Vereen leaving the Patriots in 2015 after he finds out before the start of free agency that there are couple of teams that will outbid the Patriots for his services.
  18. UFA – Chris White – Expect White to be signed to a veteran minimum salary benefit deal before the start of the 2015 League Year

Summary

  • Greg Orton – Stays – 2015 cap number – $510,000
  • James Morris – Stays – 2015 cap number – $510,000
  • Josh Boyce – Stays – 2015 cap number – $510,000
  • Brian Tyms – Stays – 2015 cap number – $585,000
  • James Develin – Stays – 2015 cap number – $660,000
  • Sealver Siliga – Stays – 2015 cap number – $660,000
  • Brandon Bolden – not tendered
  • Danny Aiken – Stays – 2015 cap number – $665,000
  • Akeem Ayers – Leaves
  • Alan Branch – Leaves
  • Jonathan Casillas – Stays – 2015 cap hit – $1 million
  • Patrick Chung – Stays – 2015 cap hit – $1.2 million
  • Dan Connolly  -  Either leaves for another team on a two-year deal or stays with the Pats on an one-year deal with a cap value of $2 million with incentives that could increase the total value to between $3 and $3.5 million
  • Stephen Gostkowski – Stays – 2015 cap hit  of $2.7 million
  • Steve Maneri – Stays – 2015 cap number – $665,000
  • Devin McCourty – Stays – 2015 cap number – $4 million
  • Stevan Ridley  - Stays – 2015 cap number – $1 million
  • Shane Vereen – Leaves
  • Chris White – Stays – 2015 cap number – $600,000

Please note that the the cap numbers for the eight italicized players are already included in my numbers found at my salary cap page – http://www.patscap.com

For the record – I did a poor job at predicting what would happen with the 2014 Patriots free agents.

Current Status of the 2013 New England Patriots Ending roster – as of December 29

Surname First End of 2013 Status Current Status
Aiken Danny 53 man roster 53 man roster
Allen Ryan 53 man roster 53 man roster
Amendola Danny 53 man roster 53 man roster
Armstead Armond NFI Retired
Arrington Kyle 53 man roster 53 man roster
Barker Chris 53 man roster Practice Squad
Beauharnais Steve 53 man roster Waived
Bequette Jake 53 man roster Practice Squad
Blount LeGarrette 53 man roster 53 man roster
Bolden Brandon 53 man roster 53 man roster
Boyce Josh IR 53 man roster
Brady Tom 53 man roster 53 man roster
Buchanan Michael 53 man roster IR
Cannon Marcus 53 man roster 53 man roster
Carter Andre 53 man roster Unsigned
Cave Braxston Practice Squad Waived
Collie Austin 53 man roster Unsigned
Collins Jamie 53 man roster 53 man roster
Connolly Dan 53 man roster 53 man roster
Davis Ja’Gared 53 man roster Waived
Davis Kanorris 53 man roster Waived
Dennard Alfonzo 53 man roster IR
Develin James 53 man roster 53 man roster
Devey Jordan Practice Squad 53 man roster
Dobson Aaron 53 man roster IR
Dunn Reggie Practice Squad Waived
Ebner Nate 53 man roster 53 man roster
Edelman Julian 53 man roster 53 man roster
Fletcher Dane 53 man roster Signed with Another Team
Forston Marcus Practice Squad Waived
Gostkowski Stephen 53 man roster 53 man roster
Green Justin 53 man roster Practice Squad
Gregory Steve 53 man roster Released
Grissom Cory IR Waived
Gronkowski Rob IR 53 man roster
Harmon Duron 53 man roster 53 man roster
Harrison Mark NFI Waived
Hightower Dont’a 53 man roster 53 man roster
Hoomanawanui Michael 53 man roster 53 man roster
Jones Chandler 53 man roster 53 man roster
Jones Chris 53 man roster 53 man roster
Kelly Tommy IR Released
Kline Josh 53 man roster 53 man roster
Mallett Ryan 53 man roster Traded
Mankins Logan 53 man roster Traded
Mattes R.J. Practice Squad Waived
Mayo Jerod IR IR
McCourty Devin 53 man roster 53 man roster
McGuffie Sam Practice Squad Waived
Moe T.J. IR Waived
Mulligan Matthew 53 man roster Signed with Another Team
Ninkovich Rob 53 man roster 53 man roster
Orton Greg Practice Squad IR
Reed Taylor Practice Squad Waived
Ridley Stevan 53 man roster IR
Ryan Logan 53 man roster 53 man roster
Siliga Sealver 53 man roster 53 man roster
Slater Matthew 53 man roster 53 man roster
Solder Nate 53 man roster 53 man roster
Sopoaga Isaac 53 man roster Released
Spikes Brandon IR Signed with another Team
Svitek Will 53 man roster Signed with another Team
Talib Aqib 53 man roster Signed with Another Team
Thompkins Kenbrell 53 man roster Waived
Vellano Joe 53 man roster Practice Squad
Vereen Shane 53 man roster 53 man roster
Vollmer Sebastian IR 53 man roster
Wendell Ryan 53 man roster 53 man roster
White Chris 53 man roster 53 man roster
Wilfork Vince IR 53 man roster
Williams D.J. 53 man roster Released
Wilson Adrian IR Released
Wilson Tavon 53 man roster 53 man roster
Zusevics Markus IR Waived

Below is a summary.

53 man roster 53
53 man roster 30
IR 4
Practice Squad 4
Released 3
Signed with Another Team 4
Traded 2
Unsigned 2
Waived 4
IR 11
53 man roster 4
IR 1
Released 2
Signed with Another Team 1
Waived 3
NFI 2
Retired 1
Waived 1
Practice Squad 8
53 man roster 1
IR 1
Waived 6
Grand Total 74

Tracking New England Patriots incentives after Week 17

LTBE bonuses count against the team’s salary cap in the year that they are scheduled to be earned, NLTBE bonuses do not. At the end of the season, the NFL calculates how much each team had set aside for LTBEs that weren’t earned – or said differently, it figures out how much was charged to the team’s cap that was not actually spent. Similarly, the NFL calculates the amount of incentives designated NLTBE that were actually earned. If the unearned LTBEs are greater than the earned NLTBEs, then the following year’s salary cap for that team is increased by the net amount. Similarly, if the earned NLTBEs exceed the unearned LTBEs, then the team’s cap for the following year is lowered by that amount. You can see an example of the effect of cap adjustments at USA Today. The teams with negative cap adjustments had most likely earned more NLTBE incentives in 2013 than they did not earn LTBE incentives.

In 2014 the Patriots received a credit of $2,002,250 toward their 2014 cap number because of the LTBE/NTLBE calculation. The 2014 Patriots adjusted cap of $139,109,051 consists of $133,000,000 (League Cap) + $2,002,250 (LTBE/NLTBE adjustment) + $4,106,081 (rollover amount from 2013 season).

LTBE Incentives ($7,473,750 total)

  • Matthew Slater has a 300K LTBE Pro Bowl incentive _ Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s weight bonus – $300,000.
  • Vince Wilfork’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 1.
  • Brandon Browner’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 5
  • Rob Ninkovich’s playing time incentive – $250,000 if he plays in at least 75% of the defensive snaps in 2014. Ninkovich played in 95.5% of the defensive snaps in 2013. Ninkovich has played in 93.8% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014 – Earned
  • Michael Hoomanawanui’s playing time incentive – $400,000. Hoomananawanui played in 57.5% of the offensive snaps in 2013. Based on Ben Volin’s 12/28 report that one of the playing-time thresholds is 40% an guessing that there are 3 levels (30 percent or higher - $100,000; 40 percent or higher – $200,000; 50 percent or higher- $400,000). Hoomanawanui has played in 41.7% of the offensive snaps so far in 2014.   30 percent – Earned;40 percent- Earned; 50 percent – Unearned
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s 70% playing-time incentive- $1,000,000. In November the Patriots and Sebastian Vollmer agreed to lower the playing-time levels needed to earn incentives. Quoting the CBA – Any new or altered incentive bonuses renegotiated in a preexisting contract after the start of the regular season in which they may be earned automatically will be deemed “likely to be earned” during that season”. Therefore, this incentive is considered LTBE not because Vollmer made the incentive in 2013 but because the incentive was changed during the 2014 regular season.

46-man per-game roster bonuses – As of December 26, 9:00 AM, the Patriots have $4,223,750 in 46-man active roster bonuses that are now counting against their 2014 cap.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 per active game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $1,200,000 ($150,000*8). Browner has been active for nine games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $350,000 ($87,500*4). Wilfork has already reached this incentive since he has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Darrelle Revis had a $33,333 per game roster bonus that maxes at $500,000 (15 games). Revis played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000. Revis has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $375,000 ($31,250*12). Amendola has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Julian Edelman has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Edelman played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000 ($31,250*16). Edelman has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $187,500 ($31,250*6). Mayo has already reached this incentive since he had been active for 6 games this year.
  • Rob Ninkovich has a $15,625 per game roster bonus. Ninkovich played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $250,000 ($15,625*16). Ninkovich has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $180,000 ($15,000*12). Chung has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Brandon Lafell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Lafell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Lafell has been active for all 16 possible games this year.
  • Ryan Wendell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Wendell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Wendell has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $81,250 ($6,250 *13). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 16 games this year

NLTBE Incentives ($9,766,250 total)

  • Rob Ninkovich has a 200K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Kyle Arrington has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned – Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for reminding me of this incentive.
  • Sebastian Vollmer has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Jerod Mayo has a 300K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive- Not Earned
  • Stephen Gostkowski has a 50,000 NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Earned. Like to thank Field Yates to bringing the Ghost’s Pro Bowl incentive to the attention of Patriots nation.
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s playing time incentive – another $1 million if he plays in 80% of the offensive snaps. Vollmer has placed in 94.5% of the offensive snaps this year. – Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s Playing-time incentives:
    • If he plays 50 percent of the defensive snaps: $500,000 – Earned
    • If he plays 60 percent of the defensive snaps: $1.25 million- Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps: $2 million – Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team makes the divisional round of the playoffs, he makes $2.5 million -Earned
    • If Wilfork plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team is top 10 in points allowed, he earns $500,000 – Earned

    Vince Wilfork has played in 73.6% of the defensive snaps this year. Patriots are 8th in points allowed.

  • Brandon Browner can earn up to $1.25 million in playing-time incentives. Do not know the trigger levels at this time.Brandon Browner played in 43.5% of the snaps in 2013. He has played in 52.5% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014
  • Danny Amendola has a $500,000 NLTBE incentive that is tied to receptions. Do not know the exact trigger levels at this time but presume that the trigger level is no less than 64 receptions since that is the number of catches Amendola had with the Rams in 2012. Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for informing me of this incentive.Danny Amendola has had 23
    receptions so far in 2014 – Unearned.
  • Julian Edelman has a $500,000 NTLBE incentive that can be earned in one of the following four ways:
    1. 1,057 receiving yards – Unearned
    2. 70 receptions plus seven TDs – Unearned
    3. 80 receptions plus 13 wins – Unearned
    4. 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance

    After 16 games, Julian has 92 receptions totaling 972 yards. He has 4 receiving touchdowns and the Patriots have won twelve games.

Per the CBA, “Any roster bonus which is deemed not “likely to be earned” based upon the player’s performance during the prior year shall immediately be included in Team Salary when earned” so as the below players play in more games in 2014 than they did in 2013 the Patriots will lose cap space in the amount of the 46-man active roster bonus. Example – Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013. He has played in 15 games in 2014. The Patriots have lost $962,500 ($87,500 *11) in cap space so far this season.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $600,000 ($150,000*4). Browner has been been active for 9 games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 46-man active per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $1,050,000 ($87,500*12). Wilfork has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $125,000 ($31,250*4). Amendola has been active for all 16 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $60,000 ($15,000*4). Chung has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $18,750 ($6,250*3). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 16 games this year
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $312,500 ($31,250 * 10). Mayo was active for 6 games this year.
Amount Event Likelihood
$50,000 Gostkowski making the Pro Bowl Earned
$200,000 Ninkovich making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Arrington making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Vollmer making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$300,000 Mayo making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$1,000,000 Vollmer exceeding 80% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 50% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 60% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots making to the divisional round Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots finishing in Top 10 in Points allowed Earned
$1,250,000 Browner’s exceeding playing-time incentives Possible
$500,000 Amendola’s receptions incentive Not Earned
$200,000 Lafell having at least 800 receiving yards Earned
$100,000 Lafell having at least 900 receiving yards Earned
$500,000 Edelman has four different ways to earn this incentive.
1.) 1,057 receiving yards
2.) 70 receptions plus seven TDs
3.) 80 receptions plus 13 wins
4.) 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance
Possible
$1,050,000 Wilfork being on the 46-man active roster for more than 4 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$125,000 Amendola being on the 46-man active roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$60,000 Chung being on the 46-man active roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$18,750 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man active roster for more than 13 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$150,000 Browner being on the 46-man active roster for more than 8 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$200,000 Lafell having at least 800 yards in receiving Earned
$100,000 Lafell having at least 900 yards in receiving Earned
$6,250 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Earned
$312,500 Mayo being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Not Earned
$450,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 12 games. Not Earned
Not Earned $2,112,500
Possible Total $1,750,000
Probable Total
Earned Total $4,350,000
NLTBE Incentive Total $9,766,250

As far as I know, the Patriots will not be credited with any unreached LTBE incentives (Wendell’s being inactive for two games, for example) in 2014. What will happened is that any unreached LTBE incentives will be used to offset NLTBE incentives that were actually earned by other players at the end of the year and there will be an adjustment made to the Patriots 2014 rollover amount

After Week 17 projection
Negative means that the player reached a NLTBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not earned a LTBE incentive

  • Lafell’s receiving yards (-$300,000)
  • Gostkowski’s Pro Bowl bonus (-$50,000)
  • Wilfork’s playing more than 70% (- $2,000,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps AND the Patriots make it to the divisional round (-$500,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps and the Patriots defense finishing in the Top 10 in points allowed (-$500,000)
  • Vollmer’s playing-time incentive (- $1,000,000)
  • Wendell’s per-game roster bonus ($25,000)
  • Edelman’s per-game roster bonus ($31,250)
  • Hoomanawanui’s playing-time incentive ($200,000)
  • Totals (-$4,062,500) The $4,062,500 LTBE/NLTBE adjustment will be included in the Patriots 2015 adjusted salary cap number calculation as a debit.

Tracking New England Patriots Incentives after the Pro Bowl announcements

LTBE bonuses count against the team’s salary cap in the year that they are scheduled to be earned, NLTBE bonuses do not. At the end of the season, the NFL calculates how much each team had set aside for LTBEs that weren’t earned – or said differently, it figures out how much was charged to the team’s cap that was not actually spent. Similarly, the NFL calculates the amount of incentives designated NLTBE that were actually earned. If the unearned LTBEs are greater than the earned NLTBEs, then the following year’s salary cap for that team is increased by the net amount. Similarly, if the earned NLTBEs exceed the unearned LTBEs, then the team’s cap for the following year is lowered by that amount. You can see an example of the effect of cap adjustments at USA Today. The teams with negative cap adjustments had most likely earned more NLTBE incentives in 2013 than they did not earn LTBE incentives.

In 2014 the Patriots received a credit of $2,002,250 toward their 2014 cap number because of the LTBE/NTLBE calculation. The 2014 Patriots adjusted cap of $139,109,051 consists of $133,000,000 (League Cap) + $2,002,250 (LTBE/NLTBE adjustment) + $4,106,081 (rollover amount from 2013 season).

LTBE Incentives ($7,473,750 total)

  • Matthew Slater has a 300K LTBE Pro Bowl incentive _ Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s weight bonus – $300,000.
  • Vince Wilfork’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 1.
  • Brandon Browner’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 5
  • Rob Ninkovich’s playing time incentive – $250,000 if he plays in at least 75% of the defensive snaps in 2014. Ninkovich played in 95.5% of the defensive snaps in 2013. Ninkovich has played in 95.1% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui’s playing time incentive – $400,000. Hoomananawanui played in 57.5% of the offensive snaps in 2013. Based on Ben Volin’s 12/28 report that one of the playing-time thresholds is 40% an guessing that there are 3 levels (30 percent or higher - $100,000; 40 percent or higher – $200,000; 50 percent or higher- $400,000). Hoomanawanui has played in 41.4% of the offensive snaps so far in 2014.
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s 70% playing-time incentive- $1,000,000. In November the Patriots and Sebastian Vollmer agreed to lower the playing-time levels needed to earn incentives. Quoting the CBA – Any new or altered incentive bonuses renegotiated in a preexisting contract after the start of the regular season in which they may be earned automatically will be deemed “likely to be earned” during that season”. Therefore, this incentive is considered LTBE not because Vollmer made the incentive in 2013 but because the incentive was changed during the 2014 regular season.

46-man per-game roster bonuses – As of December 26, 9:00 AM, the Patriots have $4,223,750 in 46-man active roster bonuses that are now counting against their 2014 cap.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 per active game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $1,200,000 ($150,000*8). Browner has been active for nine games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $350,000 ($87,500*4). Wilfork has already reached this incentive since he has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Darrelle Revis had a $33,333 per game roster bonus that maxes at $500,000 (15 games). Revis played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000. Revis has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $375,000 ($31,250*12). Amendola has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Julian Edelman has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Edelman played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000 ($31,250*16). Edelman has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $187,500 ($31,250*6). Mayo has already reached this incentive since he had been active for 6 games this year.
  • Rob Ninkovich has a $15,625 per game roster bonus. Ninkovich played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $250,000 ($15,625*16). Ninkovich has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $180,000 ($15,000*12). Chung has been active for all 15 games this year
  • Brandon Lafell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Lafell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Lafell has been active for all 15 possible games this year.
  • Ryan Wendell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Wendell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Wendell has been active for 13 games this year.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $81,250 ($6,250 *13). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 15 games this year

NLTBE Incentives ($9,466,250 total)

  • Rob Ninkovich has a 200K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Kyle Arrington has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned – Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for reminding me of this incentive.
  • Sebastian Vollmer has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Not Earned
  • Jerod Mayo has a 300K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive- Not Earned
  • Stephen Gostkowski has a 50,000 NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Earned. Like to thank Field Yates to bringing the Ghost’s Pro Bowl incentive to the attention of Patriots nation.
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s playing time incentive – another $1 million if he plays in 80% of the offensive snaps. Vollmer has placed in 94.5% of the offensive snaps this year. – Earned
  • Vince Wilfork’s Playing-time incentives:
    • If he plays 50 percent of the defensive snaps: $500,000 – Earned
    • If he plays 60 percent of the defensive snaps: $1.25 million- Earned
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps: $2 million
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team makes the divisional round of the playoffs, he makes $2.5 million
    • If Wilfork plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team is top 10 in points allowed, he earns $500,000

    Vince Wilfork has played in 74.2% of the defensive snaps this year. Patriots are 8th in points allowed.

  • Brandon Browner can earn up to $1.25 million in playing-time incentives. Do not know the trigger levels at this time.Brandon Browner played in 43.5% of the snaps in 2013. He has played in 55.5% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014
  • Danny Amendola has a $500,000 NLTBE incentive that is tied to receptions. Do not know the exact trigger levels at this time but presume that the trigger level is no less than 64 receptions since that is the number of catches Amendola had with the Rams in 2012. Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for informing me of this incentive.Danny Amendola has had 23
    receptions so far in 2014 – Unearned.
  • Julian Edelman has a $500,000 NTLBE incentive that can be earned in one of the following four ways:
    1. 1,057 receiving yards
    2. 70 receptions plus seven TDs
    3. 80 receptions plus 13 wins
    4. 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance

    After 15 games, Julian has 92 receptions totaling 972 yards. He has 4 receiving touchdowns and the Patriots have won twelve games.

Per the CBA, “Any roster bonus which is deemed not “likely to be earned” based upon the player’s performance during the prior year shall immediately be included in Team Salary when earned” so as the below players play in more games in 2014 than they did in 2013 the Patriots will lose cap space in the amount of the 46-man active roster bonus. Example – Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013. He has played in 15 games in 2014. The Patriots have lost $962,500 ($87,500 *11) in cap space so far this season.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $300,000 ($150,000*2). Browner has been been active for 9 games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 46-man active per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $1,050,000 ($87,500*12). Wilfork has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $125,000 ($31,250*4). Amendola has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $60,000 ($15,000*4). Chung has been active for all 15 games this year
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $18,750 ($6,250*3). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 15 games this year
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $312,500 ($31,250 * 10). Mayo was active for 6 games this year.
Amount Event Likelihood
$200,000 Ninkovich making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Arrington making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$250,000 Vollmer making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$300,000 Mayo making the Pro Bowl Not Earned
$1,000,000 Vollmer exceeding 80% playing time Earned
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 50% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 60% playing time Earned
$750,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time Probable
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots making to the divisional round Probable
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots finishing in Top 10 in Points allowed Probable
$1,250,000 Browner’s exceeding playing-time incentives Possible
$500,000 Amendola’s receptions incentive Not Earned
$500,000 Edelman has four different ways to earn this incentive.
1.) 1,057 receiving yards
2.) 70 receptions plus seven TDs
3.) 80 receptions plus 13 wins
4.) 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance
Probable
$962,500 Wilfork being on the 46-man roster for more than 4 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$96,750 Amendola being on the 46-man roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$45,000 Chung being on the 46-man roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$87,500 Wilfork being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Probable
$31,250 Amendola being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Possible
$15,000 Chung being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Probable
$150,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 10 games. Probable
$6,250 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Probable
$312,500 Mayo being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Not Earned
$300,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 12 games. Not Earned
Not Earned $2,112,500
Possible Total $1,250,000
Probable Total $2,540,000
Earned Total $3,563,750
NLTBE Incentive Total $9,466,250

As far as I know, the Patriots will not be credited with any unreached LTBE incentives (Wendell’s being inactive for two games, for example) in 2014. What will happened is that any unreached LTBE incentives will be used to offset NLTBE incentives that were actually earned by other players at the end of the year and there will be an adjustment made to the Patriots 2014 rollover amount

After Week 16 projection
Negative means that the player reached a NLTBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not earned a LTBE incentive

  • Edelman’s receptions (-$500,000)
  • Gostkowski’s Pro Bowl bonus (-$50,000)
  • Wilfork’s playing more than 70% (- $2,000,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps AND the Patriots make it to the divisional round (-$500,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps and the Patriots defense finishing in the Top 10 in points allowed (-$500,000)
  • Vollmer’s playing-time incentive (- $1,000,000)
  • Wendell’s per-game roster bonus ($25,000)
  • Edelman’s per-game roster bonus ($31,250)
  • Hoomanawanui’s playing-time incentive ($200,000)
  • Totals (-$4,293,750) I project that the Patriots will end the 2014 regular season with $4,629,472 in cap space. The $4,293,750 LTBE/NLTBE adjustment million will be subtracted from that resulting in a previous year carryover amount of $335,722.

Tracking New England Patriots incentives after Week 16

LTBE bonuses count against the team’s salary cap in the year that they are scheduled to be earned, NLTBE bonuses do not. At the end of the season, the NFL calculates how much each team had set aside for LTBEs that weren’t earned – or said differently, it figures out how much was charged to the team’s cap that was not actually spent. Similarly, the NFL calculates the amount of incentives designated NLTBE that were actually earned. If the unearned LTBEs are greater than the earned NLTBEs, then the following year’s salary cap for that team is increased by the net amount. Similarly, if the earned NLTBEs exceed the unearned LTBEs, then the team’s cap for the following year is lowered by that amount. You can see an example of the effect of cap adjustments at USA Today. The teams with negative cap adjustments had most likely earned more NLTBE incentives in 2013 than they did not earn LTBE incentives.

In 2014 the Patriots received a credit of $2,002,250 toward their 2014 cap number because of the LTBE/NTLBE calculation. The 2014 Patriots adjusted cap of $139,109,051 consists of $133,000,000 (League Cap) + $2,002,250 (LTBE/NLTBE adjustment) + $4,106,081 (rollover amount from 2013 season).

LTBE Incentives ($7,473,750 total)

  • Matthew Slater has a 300K LTBE Pro Bowl incentive
  • Vince Wilfork’s weight bonus – $300,000.
  • Vince Wilfork’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 1.
  • Brandon Browner’s 53-man roster bonus – $500,000 – Earned Week 5
  • Rob Ninkovich’s playing time incentive – $250,000 if he plays in at least 75% of the defensive snaps in 2014. Ninkovich played in 95.5% of the defensive snaps in 2013. Ninkovich has played in 95.1% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui’s playing time incentive – $400,000. Hoomananawanui played in 57.5% of the offensive snaps in 2013. Hoomanawanui has played in 41.4% of the offensive snaps so far in 2014.
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s 70% playing-time incentive- $1,000,000. In November the Patriots and Sebastian Vollmer agreed to lower the playing-time levels needed to earn incentives. Quoting the CBA – Any new or altered incentive bonuses renegotiated in a preexisting contract after the start of the regular season in which they may be earned automatically will be deemed “likely to be earned” during that season”. Therefore, this incentive is considered LTBE not because Vollmer made the incentive in 2013 but because the incentive was changed during the 2014 regular season.

46-man per-game roster bonuses – As of December 8, 9:00 AM, the Patriots have $4,223,750 in 46-man active roster bonuses that are now counting against their 2014 cap.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 per active game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $1,200,000 ($150,000*8). Browner has been active for nine games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $350,000 ($87,500*4). Wilfork has already reached this incentive since he has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Darrelle Revis had a $33,333 per game roster bonus that maxes at $500,000 (15 games). Revis played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000. Revis has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $375,000 ($31,250*12). Amendola has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Julian Edelman has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Edelman played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $500,000 ($31,250*16). Edelman has been active for 14 games this year.
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $187,500 ($31,250*6). Mayo has already reached this incentive since he had been active for 6 games this year.
  • Rob Ninkovich has a $15,625 per game roster bonus. Ninkovich played in 16 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $250,000 ($15,625*16). Ninkovich has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $180,000 ($15,000*12). Chung has been active for all 15 games this year
  • Brandon Lafell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Lafell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Lafell has been active for all 15 possible games this year.
  • Ryan Wendell has a $12,500 per game roster bonus. Wendell played in 16 games last year so his LTBE amount is $200,000 ($12,500 *16). Wendell has been active for 13 games this year.
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his LTBE amount is $81,250 ($6,250 *13). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 15 games this year

NLTBE Incentives ($9,416,250 total)

  • Rob Ninkovich has a 200K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive
  • Kyle Arrington has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive – Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for reminding me of this incentive.
  • Sebastian Vollmer has a 250K NLTBE Pro Bowl incentive
  • Jerod Mayo has a 300K NLTBE Pro Bowk incentive
  • Sebastian Vollmer’s playing time incentive – another $1 million if he plays in 80% of the offensive snaps. Vollmer has placed in 94.5% of the offensive snaps this year.
  • Vince Wilfork’s Playing-time incentives:
    • If he plays 50 percent of the defensive snaps: $500,000
    • If he plays 60 percent of the defensive snaps: $1.25 million
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps: $2 million
    • If he plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team makes the divisional round of the playoffs, he makes $2.5 million
    • If Wilfork plays 70 percent of the defensive snaps and the team is top 10 in points allowed, he earns $500,000

    Vince Wilfork has played in 74.2% of the defensive snaps this year. Patriots are 8th in points allowed.

  • Brandon Browner can earn up to $1.25 million in playing-time incentives. Do not know the trigger levels at this time.Brandon Browner played in 43.5% of the snaps in 2013. He has played in 55.5% of the defensive snaps so far in 2014
  • Danny Amendola has a $500,000 NLTBE incentive that is tied to receptions. Do not know the exact trigger levels at this time but presume that the trigger level is no less than 64 receptions since that is the number of catches Amendola had with the Rams in 2012. Like to thank the Boston Globe’s Ben Volin for informing me of this incentive.Danny Amendola has had 23
    receptions so far in 2014.
  • Julian Edelman has a $500,000 NTLBE incentive that can be earned in one of the following four ways:
    1. 1,057 receiving yards
    2. 70 receptions plus seven TDs
    3. 80 receptions plus 13 wins
    4. 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance

    After 15 games, Julian has 92 receptions totaling 972 yards. He has 4 receiving touchdowns and the Patriots have won twelve games.

Per the CBA, “Any roster bonus which is deemed not “likely to be earned” based upon the player’s performance during the prior year shall immediately be included in Team Salary when earned” so as the below players play in more games in 2014 than they did in 2013 the Patriots will lose cap space in the amount of the 46-man active roster bonus. Example – Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013. He has played in 15 games in 2014. The Patriots have lost $962,500 ($87,500 *11) in cap space so far this season.

  • Brandon Browner has a $150,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Browner played in 8 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $300,000 ($150,000*2). Browner has been been active for 9 games this year.
  • Vince Wilfork has a $87,500 46-man active per game roster bonus. Wilfork played in 4 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $1,050,000 ($87,500*12). Wilfork has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Danny Amendola has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Amendola played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $125,000 ($31,250*4). Amendola has been active for all 15 games this year.
  • Patrick Chung has a $15,000 46-man active per game roster bonus. Chung played in 12 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $60,000 ($15,000*4). Chung has been active for all 15 games this year
  • Michael Hoomanawanui has a $6,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Hoomanawanui played in 13 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $18,750 ($6,250*3). Hoomanawanui has been active for all 15 games this year
  • Jerod Mayo has a $31,250 46-man active per game roster bonus. Mayo played in 6 games in 2013 so his NLTBE amount is $312,500 ($31,250 * 10). Mayo was active for 6 games this year.
Amount Event Likelihood
$200,000 Ninkovich making the Pro Bowl Possible
$250,000 Arrington making the Pro Bowl Unlikely
$250,000 Vollmer making the Pro Bowl Possible
$300,000 Mayo making the Pro Bowl Impossible
$1,000,000 Vollmer exceeding 80% playing time Earned
$2,000,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time Probable
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots making to the divisional round Probable
$500,000 Wilfork exceeding 70% playing time and Patriots finishing in Top 10 in Points allowed Probable
$1,250,000 Browner’s exceeding playing-time incentives Possible
$500,000 Amendola’s receptions incentive Impossible
$500,000 Edelman has four different ways to earn this incentive.
1.) 1,057 receiving yards
2.) 70 receptions plus seven TDs
3.) 80 receptions plus 13 wins
4.) 80 receptions plus Super Bowl appearance
Probable
$962,500 Wilfork being on the 46-man roster for more than 4 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$96,750 Amendola being on the 46-man roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$45,000 Chung being on the 46-man roster for more than 12 games. Earned and already counting against 2014 cap
$87,500 Wilfork being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Probable
$31,250 Amendola being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Possible
$15,000 Chung being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Probable
$150,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 10 games. Probable
$6,250 Hoomanawanui being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Probable
$312,500 Mayo being on the 46-man roster for all 16 games. Impossible
$300,000 Browner being on the 46-man roster for 12 games. Impossible
Impossible $1,412,500
Unlikely Total $250,000
Possible Total $1,700,000
Probable Total $3,790,000
Earned Total $2,263,750
NLTBE Incentive Total $9,416,250

As far as I know, the Patriots will not be credited with any unreached LTBE incentives (Wendell’s being inactive for two games, for example) in 2014. What will happened is that any unreached LTBE incentives will be used to offset NLTBE incentives that were actually earned by other players at the end of the year and there will be an adjustment made to the Patriots 2014 rollover amount

After Week 16 projection
Negative means that the player reached a NLTBE incentive
Positive means that the player did not earned a LTBE incentive

  • Edelman’s receptions (-$500,000)
  • Wilfork’s playing more than 70% (- $2,000,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps AND the Patriots make it to the divisional round (-$500,000)
  • Wilfork playing more than 70% of the defensive snaps and the Patriots defense finishing in the Top 10 in points allowed (-$500,000)
  • Vollmer’s playing-time incentive (- $1,000,000)
  • Wendell’s per-game roster bonus ($25,000)
  • Edelman’s per-game roster bonus ($31,250)
  • Hoomanawanui’s playing-time incentive ($400,000)
  • Totals (-$4,043,750) I project that the Patriots will end the 2014 regular season with $4,629,472 in cap space. The $4,043,750 LTBE/NLTBE adjustment million will be subtracted from that resulting in a previous year carryover amount of $585,722.


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