You do know that if there is a new CBA, both Hobbs and Kaczur will likely be UFA's and playing elsewhere?
THE DEFENSE
Let's discuss each of the defensive units. You seems to presume that we can simply keep whatever free agents we wish to keep.
You talk about how great the defensive line is. Are you just presuming that we will extend Wilfork, Seymour and Green? Are you assuming a re-signing of Wright? Even assuming a franchise or extension of Wilfork (for 2009 and 2010), we still have needs at DE. It does take time to learn Belichick's defense.
I am one who does agree with you with regard to lesser need at linebacker. However, almost all here (including me) would be happy with a developmental addition in the first three rounds.
Are you really fine with the safety situation? As of now, Spann is one of the two starters, and we have ZERO backup safeties.
Do you just assume that Wilhite and Wheatley will step up and contribute in 2009 and that we'll sign a 4th corner in free agency? Even if if all that happened, Hobbs will likely be gone after the season.
BOTTOM LINE - EIGHT NEEDS ON DEFENSE
Yes, there is a lot to see in free agency. However, we do have a few needs on defense.
1) backup defensive end to replace Wright (or re-sign Wright)
2) backup defensive end to replace Green or Seymour in 2010
3) a developmental linebacker (at either ILB or OLB)
4) a starting safety (FS or SS; Meriweather will play the other).
5) a backup free safety with special team skills (could be Spann)
6) a backup strong safety with special team skills
7) a corner to compete for starting positions in 2009 and 2010
8) a backup veteran corner for 2009
9) a backup NT
The problem in this team is NOT on offense. The offense was solid in 2008, even without Brady. For 2009, we need three re-signings or equal-talent replacements to be one of the best offenses in the league: Gaffney, Evans and Hochstein.
Mgtiech,
Reality is what you described on Offense. it can be almost neglected for two or three seasons. The 2007 rebuilding and the 2008 augmentation, is still fresh. The continued rebuilding of the Defense is where the concentration will be.
But some how you think if a guys contract is up in two years we need to find a replacement now, urgently. That is not reality.
I see the team adding an ILB and and DE-->OLB candidate as well as a DB or two, along with an OL in the draft. That adds up to five picks. We are through Round Three. They have 11, picks. What do they do with the other 6 picks? Throw them away? So add a backup NT. Still counting.
BTW the Pats average finding a 1 UDFA per year in each draft. Recent years exceed that average. That makes 7. Lets say a couple draftees are cut. Name me 8 or 9 positions that they will dump existing players to make room for the newcomers.
Tedy, Alexander, Larry Okie, , and um...Webster, and then, ....Yates,, and of course um,... It is pretty damn difficult. In this discussion, you have been moaning about players to be needed now, that can start in two or three years.
This Team is L-O-A-D-E-D. And getting even younger, faster and more loaded.
Turning to the Defensive line. Seymour's CAP number this year is almost $10 million dollars. What makes you think that a re-signing is going to cost much more? All it will do is extend his contract, perhaps drop salary the first year, as he receives his SB, and extend years. Probably at a net saving in CAP in 2009. Probably enough to pay for Wright's added costs. Is there any indication in recent play, that Greene's salary will increase or more likely decrease or stay the same in an extension? I would guess the roster/option bonus wil be turned into a SB, and a few years added. His effective salary will increase marginally, but the 2009 CAP should decline by a few million. When Tedy announces his retirement, so does his $2 million dollar cap allocation.
I simply don't see any money problems to the Pats keeping everyone they want to keep. And that includes Cassel too, for 2009.