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Which Pats pick is most likely to change hands?

Discussion in 'Patriots Draft Talk' started by ctpatsfan77, Jan 30, 2011.

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  1. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Whether it be up, down, or out, not once has BB managed to make it through the end of the second round of the draft without making at least one trade.

    So, of the four picks in the first two rounds—17, 28, 33, 60—which one do you think he's most likely to move, and which way do you think he'll go?
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2011
  2. TriplecHamp

    TriplecHamp Rookie

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    If I had to guess it would be 28 because were back on the clock 4 picks later.
  3. everlong

    everlong Rookie

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    Without knowing who's on the board it's virtually impossible to predict. Also given BB's propensity to trade up and down I think the better question would be an over\under on how many of these will change hands. Would it shock anybody if 3 or even all four of these picks changed hands? Unlikely perhaps but certainly not out of the question. All that said I'll play and say 33 because of that picking being on the board overnight.
    Last edited: Jan 30, 2011
  4. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I wouldn't be surprised at all.

    In 2010 the Pats started with 22, 44, 47, and 53. They made a total of FIVE trades in the first two rounds, kept 53, and ended up with 27, 42, 62, and a whole lot of gravy.
  5. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    92

    There will be lots and lots of opportunities to use the pick to move up. We could trade inot next year, or we could move down.
  6. MaineMan

    MaineMan Rookie

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    I'm thinking that the #17 is the most likely candidate for a trade down. Once all the final rankings are worked out, I think there will likely be two prime candidates for the Pats roster near (but not at) the bottom of the first. This will allow us to move down a few spots and still get a guy we want plus a later pick. It would also allow our trading partner to move up a few spots to jump over a competitor without breaking their own pick bank.

    Next, I think the 33, with basically the same routine.

    After that, we maybe package our 60 or our 74 with one of our newly acquired picks to move UP to the mid-2nd to grab another guy we want.
  7. VJCPatriot

    VJCPatriot Rookie

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    #28. The difference between late 1st round grade talents and 2nd round talents is very small imo. #17 can land us an impact player. Really BB will trade any pick if he feels he can get value. But I think #28 potentially gives us most value with the least loss of talent for moving down.
  8. WhiZa

    WhiZa Rookie

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    You could relate this draft to the infamous 2007 draft when the Pats had two picks in the first round. They may end up drafting the guy they want at 17 and then trading 28 with 33 right around the corner as a backup.
  9. the wrothbroughterer

    the wrothbroughterer Rookie

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    I think(read as: I want) they'll use 33 and move back up into the first round. The dynamic of the draft changed with Day 1 being held exclusively for the first round. I'm a firm believer that teams like getting extra time to evaluate their position, needs, and the players left on the board after the first round. Strategies change on the fly on draft day and that break gives them the chance to adjust.
  10. VJCPatriot

    VJCPatriot Rookie

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    That sounds kind of backwards to me. IF the teams are using the 2nd day to evaluate prospects and 'restack' their draft board that means that the 1st day is already over. Therefore how does pick #33 being traded back up into the 1st round happen when that round is by definition already over the day previous?
  11. Patriot Missile

    Patriot Missile Rookie

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    17. There will be a player that has dropped that everyone is drewling over and he will trade out of the pick.;}
  12. CTHuskies

    CTHuskies Rookie

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    Without knowing if a CBA will be in place or who's on the board it's impossible to predict. BB loves to play the board (trading up and down). I would not be shocked with 2-5 of the picks in the first 4 rounds change hands. But that wasn’t the question.

    I hope the guy BB wants is still there at #17, so I think #28 will be first and I think #33 will be trade too. Someone will overpay!:rocker:
  13. alvinnf

    alvinnf Rookie

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    28 would be my pick. I could see them picking up another 2nd rounder a later pick in next years draft for 28. So a second and next years third for someone to move back up into the first.
  14. NewFeep

    NewFeep Rookie

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    all of them, starting with #17... I predict......
  15. patsfaninpittsburgh

    patsfaninpittsburgh Banned

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    17 makes the most sense.

    With so many teams desparate for 3-4 personnel, somebody will be there that will allow a trade. Also, the coveted "pass rush specialist" could also be available. The wildcard will be who takes QB's. I deally, there will be 1 or 2 studs left to maximize value.
  16. borg

    borg Rookie

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    Locking up a 1st rounder for 5 years vs. 4 years for a 2nd rounder has to be factored in. Considering the contract battles to lock their 1st rounders in the past to 6 year deals, I have to believe 28 looks MUCH better than 33.
    I vote they move back to the mid 2nd round using 33 and gaining a 3rd. The Pats then use 60 for 2012 considerations. And no doubt a 3rd will get pushed into 2012 as well.
  17. Fencer

    Fencer Rookie

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    Frankly, I think it's about a 10-way tie. :)

    #17 -- I expect a trade UP to keep somebody from leapfrogging the Pats.
    #28 -- Anything's possible. E.g., it's near the spot that got the Mayo pick.
    #33 -- Great spot to trade down from. Therefore, it's also a great spot to trade up from (because it's a pick somebody who wants to trade down would like to have access to).
    2b & 3rd-rounders -- now we're in the territory that can be packaged in other trades, flipped to next year, and so on.
    Anything later -- total trade-around fodder.
    Last edited: Jan 31, 2011
  18. FreeTedWilliams

    FreeTedWilliams pfadmins PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I have to say #33, someone unexpected could fall to 17 and the Pats might scoop him, and #28 is the range they like to pick in. But give BB the entire night to shop a pick, especially if one or more of the QBs are still on the board (Mallett, Capernick, Newton, etc.) and we all know that there are plenty of teams that NEED QBs. I could easily see that pick getting traded.

    Alos look to see in what rounds the Pats are award comp picks in, ( think Watson should land us a 4th rounder) the Pats have a history of moving there pick in a later round when they have an untradeable comp pick backing it up.
  19. Patriot Missile

    Patriot Missile Rookie

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    Seriously though. It could be 28. I could see Buffalo offering this years 2nd and next years 2nd to leap for a qb who has fallen. Ideally I would rather get their 2nd and next years first for 17 because it is Buffalo. We'll see how it unfolds.
  20. patsboy44

    patsboy44 Rookie

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    BB will turn any pick into gold. I'm not worried.
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