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Week 1 Preview, Picks ATS (Yours Truly)

Discussion in 'NFL Football Forum' started by Wide_Receiver, Sep 9, 2011.

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  1. Wide_Receiver

    Wide_Receiver Banned

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    Hey, guys, I write a column for a site my buddy and I started and I cover the NFL. Here are my week one picks against the spread as well as a preview of each game.

    Read the rest here.

    Week 1 NFL Picks « The Bleacher Beat
     
  2. supafly

    supafly PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    Nicely written analysis dude. Good job.

    I agree with some of the picks of course, but am somewhat leery of the 'unknowns' re: Dallas/NYJ, DEN/OAK, and Wash/NYG.

    I am not sure about the big -7 spread with CLE giving CIN that many pts either. I just can't pull the trigger on CLE minus 7.

    Interesting take on DET/TB, you have persuaded me to lean towards the Lions.

    Anyway, really nicely written. Hope you continue to post your links every week for those of us who like the picks for 'entertainment purposes.'
     
  3. Jlaff

    Jlaff On the Game Day Roster

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    I liked the article as well. Completely in line, aside from the SF/Seattle game.

    Just added to the consistently unwavering confidence I feel every weekend. The confidence I feel right up until the first few snaps on Sunday. I swear I got them all right this weekend!
     
  4. Deus Irae

    Deus Irae PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Some interesting takes, so I thought I'd respond to some of it...

    Tits over Jags

    I don't like that line with the Chiefs game. Cassel's got that rib issue, and the Chiefs lost Moeaki for the season already, with no replacement worth anything. I'll go with the Chiefs because it's at Arrowhead, but I don't like it. I'd stay away from this game if this were a real money bet.

    I love that you're taking the Rams in that game. I'm picking them, too. My reasoning is different than yours, though, because I think the Rams will pound the ball and then pass to the slot guys, and take advantage of the Eagles' weakness in that area.

    I like the Lions, too, because I see the Bucs falling back to Earth this season.

    I'll take the 49ers over the 'hawks. I won't trust Seattle's line until it makes me.

    I don't like the Giants game, either. Too many Giants injuries and Grossman's capable of moving the ball against that secondary. I'd avoid this one if this were for money, much like the Chiefs game, but I'll take the 'skins and the points here.

    Last I heard, Newman's out for the Cowboys, so I'll take the Jets. If Newman is declared in early enough, I might revisit this, but for now it's the Jests.

    Raiders over the Broncos
     
  5. supafly

    supafly PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    I was thinking the same thing Deus, in regards to the KC/BUF game. I wouldn't be completely shocked if BUF covered the points, for now it seems to be an unknown of sorts. Same thing with the NYG/WAS game. I agree with your thinking here too. I am not even close to being sold on the Giants this year, I think they may take a fall down the ranks. Then again, I don't feel too comfortable with Washington either...after all they are the Redskins ;)

    As much as I'll be rooting for DAL to win on Sunday night, I think the Jets win this one too. From what I understood (could be wrong), DAL is having some serious secondary issues with 2 of their top 3 CB's being hurt. I am expecting Jenkins to play, but that leaves a pretty big gap in talent below him.
     
  6. kurtinelson

    kurtinelson In the Starting Line-Up

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    #37 Jersey

    [​IMG]

    huh huh huh huh huh
     
  7. TheGodInAGreyHoodie

    TheGodInAGreyHoodie Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    So does Chad Henne. Dolphins went 1-7 @ Miami last year. ;)

    What is your basis for that claim. IMO he has faired worse in all of the following cities than MIA.

    NOR
    CAR
    WAS
    OAK
    BAL
    HOU
    TEN
    ARI
    KAN
    SDG
    CLE
    DEN
    DET

    Simple computation I took the passer rating for away games and did a simple avg. (as opposed to compute the passer rating for the combined stats which would have been more work) and in all of those cities his passer rating average is lower than Miami.
     
  8. Deus Irae

    Deus Irae PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club PatsFans.com Supporter

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    So far, the Tits/Jags were a push, I got the Lions game, lost the Rams game, and the Chiefs got crushed.

    Weird week so far, with suprising margins of victories in a lot of games.
     
  9. jmt57

    jmt57 Moderator Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    KC - Buffalo trivia: that was the worst loss by the Chiefs at home in 35 years. Considering KC has had several 2-3-4 win football teams during that time and what kind of teams Buffalo has had over the last decade, that's not a good sign for Haley and KC. I know it's just one game but they didn't look very good in preseason either.


    Beyond that I'll pat myself on the back for being right with the Texans>Colts, Lions>Bucs and Bears>Falcons but I'll have to admit I was way off on the Steelers-Ravens, and thought the Rams would at least cover, if not win straight up against the Eagles.
     
    Last edited: Sep 11, 2011
  10. everlong

    everlong Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    #12 Jersey

    Huge game for Ted Ginn. :p
     
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