glm
In the Starting Line-Up
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- May 13, 2009
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I was reading this article on PFR blog about win expectancy in the playoffs, which they basically looked at how the run game and defense performed and if the QB should have won or loss based on the support around him. They split it up into five different categories: Gimmes, Easy, Neutral, Difficult, and Impossible. (For the record, Tommy has won two impossible games, both in 2002. They were against the Chiefs and the last Dolphin game)
Article:
Quarterback post-season records and Simpson’s Paradox » Pro-football-reference.com blog » Blog Archive
I did this for every game of Tommy's career and ranked the seasons, here they are (First number is actual wins, second is expected wins):
07 Brady: 16 - 9.72 = 6.28.
10 Brady: 14 - 7.90 = 6.10.
11 Brady: 13 - 7.34 = 5.66.
03 Brady: 14 - 10.01 = 3.99.
02 Brady: 9 - 5.08 = 3.92.
04 Brady: 14 - 10.62 = 3.38.
05 Brady: 10 - 7.07 = 2.93.
01 Brady: 11 - 8.17 = 2.83.
09 Brady: 10 - 8.79 = 1.21.
06 Brady: 12 - 10.92 = 1.08.
Article:
Quarterback post-season records and Simpson’s Paradox » Pro-football-reference.com blog » Blog Archive
I did this for every game of Tommy's career and ranked the seasons, here they are (First number is actual wins, second is expected wins):
07 Brady: 16 - 9.72 = 6.28.
10 Brady: 14 - 7.90 = 6.10.
11 Brady: 13 - 7.34 = 5.66.
03 Brady: 14 - 10.01 = 3.99.
02 Brady: 9 - 5.08 = 3.92.
04 Brady: 14 - 10.62 = 3.38.
05 Brady: 10 - 7.07 = 2.93.
01 Brady: 11 - 8.17 = 2.83.
09 Brady: 10 - 8.79 = 1.21.
06 Brady: 12 - 10.92 = 1.08.