BPF
In the Starting Line-Up
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The "only" aspect of this that has any logic is the timing of a potential triple departure: Pioli, McDaniels, Cassel.
It's reasonable to assume Pioli likes the challenge of maintaining a perennial championship contender. "But," should he decide to leave, he would almost certainly be going into a rebuilding situation, one that needs some new blood fast. Being able to package his move with two people at "key" positions in his new organization would be a hellah smaht way to jump start your new program. "If" Pioli were to make a move, this would be an "ideal" time.
For example: let's consider the package deal concept using the Kansas City example from the article:
- Pioli can coordinate with McDaniel and Cassel, with the three presenting a united front to KC. Hire Pioli, dump Herm and hire McDaniel, trade for Cassel. A fairly straightforward prospect.
- KC currently is looking at the #3 pick in the draft, a useful tool.
--- Pioli can arrange for NE to Franchise Cassel and trade him to KC for the #3 pick; this is the salary cap model where Pioli gets KC out from under a Top 5 rookie contract.
--- Another model would use first round equivalency: KC trades their 2nd rounder in 2009 and their 2nd rounder in 2010, the equivalent of a 2009 3rd rounder (remember Goodall's fine for NE was a 1st Rd pick "or" a 2nd and 3rd; 2 + 3 = 1 in NFL draft math); this let's Pioli grab a Top 5 prospect this season to help Cassel, or even trade down with someone and pick up extra picks like NE does most drafts. Pioli strengthens his new club, while leaving Bob Kraft and BB a little thank you present (I for one would be seriously psyched to have KC's #2 in this draft, with another #2 in 2010). It's a good value move by Pioli for his new club, and he might even get something back by trading Brody Croyle or Tyler Thigpen, either of whom would be decent trade bait for teams like Detroit, Minnesota, Tampa Bay, Carolina...Pioli might even get his 2nd back.
- KC has a legit #1 WR and a TE who can fill the "Welker" chain mover role. Gaffney is UFA, sign him to give Mattyice some continuity and you have the nucleus of an excellent receiving corps. LJ should have at least one more good year to work with. KC drafted a Rd one LT last season, take Herm out of the equation and factor in McDaniels and Cassel, you immediately have a competitive offense.
- Now which former NE DC is on the hotseat as a HC this season? Okay both, but I'm thinking Romeo. Does anyone here seriously think Romeo gets another NFL HC shot? Here's a chance to rebuild his career and work with people who respect and trust him (nice change that would be for him - Phil Savage, sheesh!). KC's defense has some solid talent to work with, if Piolo could land Romeo and give him his head, KC would have a nasty D fairly quickly.
- KC has a solid ST's corps, hire a good ST's coach and your good.
"If" Pioli decides to move, this would set him up in a good situation. You also have to think that McDaniels and Cassel would both see the advantages to teaming up with Pioli for their next moves. The KC gig would be a serious win-win-win move for the threesome if they could make it together.
Things are never this tidy and easy in real life. You've put a lot of thought into it and it all seems very logical but as they say "the best-laid plans of mice and men often go awry."
I also can't envision Pioli ever leaving the Pats from comments he's made in the past. Of course he reserves the right to change his mind and anything is possible but with his philosophy on paying players and the value he places on continuity over money I don't see him going anywhere. He'd also look like a hypocrite if he did.