It seems to me that one of the biggest reasons that the evaluation of Picks causes so much rancorous debate is that folks often fail to make a distinction between two completely aspects of a single subject: 1 ~ The Quality of the Pick at the moment it is made. 2 ~ The Results. The Quality of The Pick What many don't get ~ respectfully submitted ~ is that this will never, ever change. The Pick was either a good one or a bad one ~ IF that was distinguishable ~ the instant it was made... Thus, it is possible to make an A+ Pick, and get an F- Result. Or the reverse. More commonly, the highly subjective quality of a Pick may be a B-...which is equally capable of providing Results that are an A OR an F. But that does mean that the Pick was ever anything but a B-. As to whether or not it WAS a good pick... The cold, hard truth is that in the vast, vast majority of cases, it was subjective...and can only ultimately be accurately described in shades of grey. Case in Point: The Putt Heard Round The World!! Danny Noonan lines up the shot that ~ as you all know ~ launched his tremendous and illustrious career. He hits it with the same touch, the same aim, the exact same PSI...but GroundsKeeper Carl ~ shortly before launching his legendary career as The Masters Champion ~ was sleeping off a Drunk and failed to set off the pivotal half dozen or so rounds of dynamite that caused the trembling that gave Brother Noonan just enough extra to sink that putt!! Same Aim. Same Touch. Same PSI. Same Putt. Completely different results: "You...You're not good." "Now I know why Tigers eat their young." "Don't worry about it!! The world needs ditch diggers, too!!" "So you've got THAT goin' for ya...which is nice."