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The first pick of day 2 of the draft should be the Patriots via Carolina.

Discussion in 'Patriots Draft Talk' started by cupofjoe1962, Nov 19, 2010.

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  1. cupofjoe1962

    cupofjoe1962 Rookie

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    Carolina looks like they are going to get the 1st overall pick.
    They have a tough schedule the remainder of the season and they have a
    ton of injuries.

    I remember last year there was a lot of trade talk around that Rams top
    2nd round pick prior to day 2 of the draft.

    I would not be suprised to see Belichick trade that pick to a poor team for a
    1st in 2012.

    There are always a couple of players who slip into the 2nd round who
    were ranked in the top 20 prior to the draft.
  2. patsfaninpa

    patsfaninpa Rookie

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    Guess which team doesn't have a 1st this year? And, probably thinks they're headed to the Super Bowl next year. Hmmmm
  3. HomerSchooled

    HomerSchooled Rookie

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    I'm all for trying to get another first for 2012. I've loved the past few years of having multiple picks in each of the first few rounds. Heck, I'd even like to see that Minnesota third become a second for next year.

    My only concern is the pick is basically a 1st anyway and it wouldn't be worth it to move ahead just a few picks. But the front office has shown a strange talent for evaluating who's going to have a down year. Lately, every time we trade into next year, the pick seems to overperform. See San Diego, Tennessee, Minnesota, etc.
  4. Off The Grid

    Off The Grid On the Roster

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    #3 Jersey

    Huh! I could've sworn it was in here that somebody else brought this up, yesterday, but I can't find it...Maybe it was at the other Site. :confused:

    In any case: Excellent idea for a Thread.

    What I'm sure you're thinking about, when you bring this up, is the 2009 trade between the Jets and Lions, where the Lions traded the first pick of the second day of the draft ~ the first pick of the 3rd Round ~ after the Jets had had all night to work themselves into a lather about it.

    The Lions traded #65 to the Jets for #76, #115, and #228, if I have it right.

    As a Lion Fan ~ I have about a dozen Surrogate Teams :p ~ and as a Jet Hater, I was delighted about the trade ~ which was the Jets going after HB Shonn Greene, you'll recall ~ but I must admit that I was surprised, just now, at how little a Premium the Jets payed, at least according to The Grid:

    The Grid!!

    265 points for 277 points. Not a rich Premium at ALL. :eek:

    Even so: I believe that the true impact of such trades far exceeds the values suggested by The Grid: Depth of Talent is an utterly vital component of The Championship Quest, one that Coach Bill The Mad has repeatedly shown that he has mastered, and whose true Import is yet to be appreciated, I believe.

    The continued shockingly stellar play of QB Ryan FitzPatrick, the surprisingly scrappy tenacity of the Bills, themselves, the emotional boost of finally getting that first win...and the dire road ahead for the Panthers, as you point out...definitely paints us as a prime candidate for that CatBird position.

    It's a very interesting subject, indeed. :cool:
  5. FreeTedWilliams

    FreeTedWilliams pfadmins PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #75 Jersey

    So the Pats will have back to back picks at 32 and 33, great! Yeah the 33rd pick in this latest version of the draft has become quite vaulable. St. Louis kept it last year, but give BB a night with 31 other teams calling, and he will spin that into something.
  6. Off The Grid

    Off The Grid On the Roster

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    #3 Jersey

    Indeed: Carolina itself, of course, and that spectacular San Fran pick in 2008.

    Me, I'd prefer to invest the LOT, this year. As it's a virtual dead certainty that this will be the very last year before a Rookie Salary Cap is imposed ~ and the one in BasketBall cut the Premium salaries in HALF, if my understanding, is correct :eek: ~ then Juniors and Red Shirt Sophomores will be STAMPEDING FOR THE EXITS!! :D

    ...which would, of course, leave a barren and desolate WasteLand of a 2012 Draft Class.

    Were Coach Bill to do so, anyway, though, my recommendations would be to target the following teams:

    Prime Candidates

    Washington
    Chicago

    Possible Candidates

    Kansas City
    Tampa
    Seattle

    1 ~ The RedSkins and Bears are run by Fools with rich recent histories of flushing Premium Picks down the toilet, and both are thin teams that have every chance of putting up a 10 Loss Stinker, next year.

    2 ~ The Chiefs, SwashBucklers, and SeaHawks are all young teams, experiencing Break Out Years, which makes them perfect candidates: The expectations of such teams are usually LOFTY after such years, making them particularly vulnerable to the allure of getting one more impact player...and more often then not, they usually fall flat on their FACES, that second year.

    ***

    If we actually make such a trade, an "even up" deal would be #33 for a 2012 1st Rounder from a team that rated #13 in 2011. A deal with any team finishing with a better record than that would warrant an additional pick, as was the case in both the Baltimore trade in 2003 and the San Fran trade in 2007.
  7. patsinthesnow

    patsinthesnow PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #87 Jersey

    I hope Carolina finishes last because the #33rd pick is GOLD in two ways:

    1.) Like you stated, teams will overpay for the pick to get someone on their board via a next year 1st or multiple picks during the draft.

    2.) The pats get first dibs on any stud that has slipped out of the first round.
  8. patsfaninpa

    patsfaninpa Rookie

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    Just wondering. If we pick 32, do we have to use that pick on Thursday Night. Or, can we wait until Friday night starts?

    I wouldn't be doing to lower someone's salary. Just gives you an extra 19 hours to evaluate whom you are going to select instead of 10 minutes.
  9. Lamanai

    Lamanai Rookie

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    Interesting. My knee jerk reaction was to say that of course they are on the clock and have to use it. But in the event of a team missing their time allotment, the next team up typically gets on the clock. Wouldn't that be...the Pats? So, 19 hours do pick/trade two consecutive picks...?
  10. Lamanai

    Lamanai Rookie

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    Carolina certainly looks like a bottom-dweller this year and should vie for the worst record. However, if they are tied for the worst record don't they rotate the order after the 1st round? For instance, if Carolina tied for the worst record with two other teams, and Carolina gets the top pick, wouldn't they get the 3rd pick of the 2nd round? Or is that only in the case of having the same strength of schedule ?
    Last edited: Nov 19, 2010
  11. patchick

    patchick Moderatrix Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #11 Jersey

    Wow, that's an ingenious twist! It's never happened, but I don't see anything stopping a team with the last pick of day 1 and the first of day 2 from pulling that off. Just imagine Belichick wheeling and dealing overnight with 2 consecutive picks to start the next day!
  12. Metaphors

    Metaphors Rookie

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    I would think the 1st round wouldn't end until 32 picks are completed. I think this means that the Pats would have 20 minutes (10 for #32 and 10 for #33) before pick #34 would be on the clock.

    So technically Belichick could delay making the pick, but I don't think he could effectively "move" it to day 2. Anyway, I would think that anyone having consecutive picks across days would get a polite reminder from the Commish to play nice in front of the cameras.
  13. Sciz

    Sciz PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    So if the Pats get the 33rd pick, we'll all try to figure out who will be picked, only to see Bill trade down/into next year...
  14. patsfaninpa

    patsfaninpa Rookie

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    They rotate the picks for teams that finish with the same record. For example, if Carolina and Buffalo both finish 1-15. The team with the 2nd pick in the 1st round would get the top pick in the 2nd round.
  15. Box_O_Rocks

    Box_O_Rocks PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    33 or 34 makes little difference in the main, another Chung-like value selection or some freewheeling trading will keep me entertained next April.
  16. patsfaninpa

    patsfaninpa Rookie

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    I was hoping for 33 just so we have the pick all night to wheel/deal. Not to hope a specific player falls.
  17. kurtinelson

    kurtinelson Rookie

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    #37 Jersey

    Works for me.
  18. FreeTedWilliams

    FreeTedWilliams pfadmins PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #75 Jersey

    The NFL said last year that the night would not end until the Saints made the 32nd pick, they said that if the Saint did not pick within the 15 minutes, then the Rams (who hled #33 would be on the clock and the draft would not break unitl 32 [picks were made. SO the short answer is "no" the NFL will not allow it.
  19. patsfaninpa

    patsfaninpa Rookie

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    Thanks Ted. My mind was spinning after all of our wheeling and dealing and the McCourty pick. Kind of tuned it out after that. Would love to have a wiretap in BB's phone once that first round ends.
  20. FreeTedWilliams

    FreeTedWilliams pfadmins PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #75 Jersey

    I would too, can you imagine what he is going to do with an entire night of playing teams off each other. If the Pats end up with #33, I can almost guarentee that BB trades the pick (because hopefully they will have pick #32) for a King's ransom in picks/players.
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