Thanks Roger! Stat guys at 538 conclude Brady's break has helped the Pats

[aluminum seats]

Even Down Two QBs, The Patriots Are Playing With House Money

Fun, short read. Money quote:

"In fact, it’s now likely that they’ll make it through Brady’s suspension with a better record than we’d have expected if Brady had played all along."

Hee.

 

[TBR]

it’s now likely that they’ll make it through Brady’s suspension with a better record than we’d have expected if Brady had played all along."

What?

 

[aluminum seats]

What?

Remember, statistics people--just go with it.

 

[Nitro]

fivethirtyeight .com? Who?

 

[Simple Jack's Brother]

Yeah that doesn't make sense

 

[aluminum seats]

fivethirtyeight .com? Who?

You haven't heard of the site? Led by Nate Silver...not that obscure, really.

 

[aluminum seats]

Yeah that doesn't make sense

You guys are actually seeming a little too baffled here, kind of taking the fun out of it. (Although I see you're Simple Jack's brother, so...)

Again, it's all kinds of formulas and things if you're into that. I mean, I don't see the Pats winning 1.2 times over the next two games, for example.

 

[Rob0729]

I have been saying for a while that if the Pats intend to trade Garoppolo, the Brady suspension is going to blow up in Goodell's face. Without the game and a half that Garoppolo played, the Pats would have trouble even getting the second round pick back. Now they might not only recoup the first and fourth rounders they lost (at higher draft positions), but might get even more.

I would love to see Goodell's face if and when the Pats get something like two firsts (one of the firsts being a top five pick) and a second for Garoppolo after the season. Especially if the Pats go 3-1 or 4-0 in the next two weeks.

 

[PatsFanSince74]

You guys are actually seeming a little too baffled here, kind of taking the fun out of it. (Although I see you're Simple Jack's brother, so...)

Again, it's all kinds of formulas and things if you're into that. I mean, I don't see the Pats winning 1.2 times over the next two games, for example.

Well, if they cheat, they could...just sayin'.


PS: nice try!

 

[The Gr8est]

I have been saying for a while that if the Pats intend to trade Garoppolo, the Brady suspension is going to blow up in Goodell's face. Without the game and a half that Garoppolo played, the Pats would have trouble even getting the second round pick back. Now they might not only recoup the first and fourth rounders they lost (at higher draft positions), but might get even more.

I would love to see Goodell's face if and when the Pats get something like two firsts (one of the firsts being a top five pick) and a second for Garoppolo after the season. Especially if the Pats go 3-1 or 4-0 in the next two weeks.

If THAT happens, the video where the news gets broken to Goodell, aka Hitler, would be epic.

 

[BelichickFan]

I have been saying for a while that if the Pats intend to trade Garoppolo, the Brady suspension is going to blow up in Goodell's face. Without the game and a half that Garoppolo played, the Pats would have trouble even getting the second round pick back. Now they might not only recoup the first and fourth rounders they lost (at higher draft positions), but might get even more.

And even if we don't trade him (though I think we will), once he's healthy again he is already a much more able backup than he would have been without this experience should anything happen to TB12.

 

[IllegalContact]

in fact, 2 weeks from today, the Pats may realize they have 3 QB's who can play

 

[Wax Frog]

If THAT happens, the video where the news gets broken to Goodell, aka Hitler, would be epic.

Yeah, but I'm not sure I can take many more "Steiner...uhh, Steiner"s

 

[supafly]

You haven't heard of the site? Led by Nate Silver...not that obscure, really.

Not even close to obscure. Nate Silver is the man. I follow his political analysis a bit more closely than sports, but if you haven't heard of fivethirtyeight.com, you're living under a rock.

 

[BTTA]

What?

fivethirtyeight .com? Who?

Yeah that doesn't make sense

The Elo points explanation really isn't that hard to understand.

 

[reflexblue]

You guys are actually seeming a little too baffled here, kind of taking the fun out of it. (Although I see you're Simple Jack's brother, so...)

Again, it's all kinds of formulas and things if you're into that. I mean, I don't see the Pats winning 1.2 times over the next two games, for example.

Maybe hes really simple jack

 

[oldrover]

The Elo points explanation really isn't that hard to understand.

So then when I read it, why do I hear "Mr. Blue Sky"?

 

[resdubwhite]

538 part of the ESPN stable right.

oh **** em then.

 

[supafly]

538 part of the ESPN stable right.

oh **** em then.

Did not realize there was any association to ESPN.

 

[resdubwhite]

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