Umm . . . if you're arguing that the Pats will have trouble winning more than 11 games, then: (A) you're already assuming the Pats are probably going to lose to San Diego anyways, so what difference would not having Belichick make? (B) aren't you're also arguing that the JEST (or, even more improbably, the Bills or Dolphins) can do better in their 12 games against common opponents than the Patriots can? About the only difference a suspension would have made is whether or not the Pats have a first-round bye, not whether they make the playoffs or not.