Strength of Schedule for Playoff Teams

[WeezyFbaby]

Just for fun was bored at work, put together the total win loss of every playoffs opposing schedule:

Seattle 125-130-1
Carolina 126-129-1
Philly 115-139-2
GB 115-139-2
SF 126-129-1
NO – 132-124

Denver 120-136
Ne England 121-135
Cincy – 122-133-1
Indy 124 – 131
KC 107 – 149
SD 127 – 129


Pretty crazy that NO played the toughest schedule despite ATL and Tbay being in their div. Also would put the Pats 8th for most difficult. Crazy how easy KC GB and Philly had it this year in terms of opponents.

Just a fun little break down! Enjoy!

 

[mgteich]

So, New Orleans is the only team whose opponents won more game than they lost.

Just for fun was bored at work, put together the total win loss of every playoffs opposing schedule:

Seattle 125-130-1
Carolina 126-129-1
Philly 115-139-2
GB 115-139-2
SF 126-129-1
NO – 132-124

Denver 120-136
Ne England 121-135
Cincy – 122-133-1
Indy 124 – 131
KC 107 – 149
SD 127 – 129


Pretty crazy that NO played the toughest schedule despite ATL and Tbay being in their div. Also would put the Pats 8th for most difficult. Crazy how easy KC GB and Philly had it this year in terms of opponents.

Just a fun little break down! Enjoy!

 

[SalemPats]

Just for fun was bored at work, put together the total win loss of every playoffs opposing schedule:

Seattle 125-130-1
Carolina 126-129-1
Philly 115-139-2
GB 115-139-2
SF 126-129-1
NO – 132-124

Denver 120-136
Ne England 121-135
Cincy – 122-133-1
Indy 124 – 131
KC 107 – 149
SD 127 – 129


Pretty crazy that NO played the toughest schedule despite ATL and Tbay being in their div. Also would put the Pats 8th for most difficult. Crazy how easy KC GB and Philly had it this year in terms of opponents.

Just a fun little break down! Enjoy!

Wow, great stat. Do you have one of how these teams did against teams over .500

 

[WeezyFbaby]

Wow, great stat. Do you have one of how these teams did against teams over .500

Give me a little time and ill post it just need to crunch the numbers

 

[Palm Beach Pats Fan]

You should use the record of your opponents only in the games other than the ones in which they played you. In other words, your schedule shouldn't be judged weaker because of your own victories.

Jeff Sagarin's computer rankings are pretty sophisticated, taking into account the opponent's overall record, where the game was played, their record at the time of the game, their performance soon before and soon after you played them, margin of victory, etc.

He ranks NFL teams and also gives his own SOS measurement.

Toughest schedules, ranked easiest to hardest, remaining teams
New England #25
Denver #21
San Diego #16
Carolina #13
Indianapolis #12
San Francisco #9
New Orleans #8
Seattle #7

(please don't shoot the messenger)


USA Today | Sports | NFL

This year we have not been faring too well in his rankings. Most years we do. Probably the eeking out of so many close games against some so-so opponents is a factor

 

[SalemPats]

key Wins: Saints, Denver, Ravens, Steelers
Key Losses: Bengals, Panthers

I think we did pretty good against top teams. We stole the Saints game, but had the Panthers game stolen from us

 

[mgcolby]

I took a look at the AFC Wests's record against non division opponents with a winning record:

Denver 1-2
KC: 1-2
SD: 2-1
Oak: 0-2

3 of the 4 wins were against the Eagles early in the season.

 

[WeezyFbaby]

So i did the totals for opponents with a .500 or better record.

Denver 6-3
NE 6-4
Cin 6-4
Indy 4-4
KC 2-5
SD 6-3

Seattle 4-3
Carolina 5-3
Philly 4-4
GB 3-5
SF 4-4
NO 6-4


I know none of this is exact science or complex formulas but kind of cool nonetheless.

Thanks for the link Palm Beach Fan obviously alot more complex than mine haha!!

 

[tatepatsfan]

So i did the totals for opponents with a .500 or better record.

Denver 6-3
NE 6-4
Cin 6-4
Indy 4-4
KC 2-5
SD 6-3

Seattle 4-3
Carolina 5-3
Philly 4-4
GB 3-5
SF 4-4
NO 6-4


I know none of this is exact science or complex formulas but kind of cool nonetheless.

Thanks for the link Palm Beach Fan obviously alot more complex than mine haha!!

What I find most interesting is how well San Diego did against teams that went .500 or better: 6-3, but more remarkably, how poorly they did against "bad" teams: 3-4.

 

[jmt57]

Wow, great stat. Do you have one of how these teams did against teams over .500

Quality Wins by each remaining playoff team, as well as losses to teams that are .500 or better; all lowercase and italics denotes a .500 8-8 team.

Seattle (H): 49ers, Saints
Seattle (A): Carolina, Arizona
Losses: at Indy, at SF, vs Arizona

Carolina (H): Patriots, jets, Saints
Carolina (A): SF, miami
Losses: vs Seattle, at Arizona, at NO

San Fran (H): Green Bay, Arizona, Seattle
San Fran (A): Arizona
Losses: at Seattle, at Indy, Carolina, at NO

New Orleans (H): Arizona, miami, dallas, SF, Carolina
New Orleans (A): chicago
Losses: at Patriots, at jets, at Seattle, at Carolina


Denver (H): ravens, Philly, KC
Denver (A): dallas, SD, KC
Losses: at Colts, at Patriots, vs San Diego

Patriots (H): jets, Saints, miami, steelers, Denver
Patriots (A): baltimore
Losses: at Cincy, at jets, at Carolina, at miami

Colts (H): Seattle, Denver
Colts (A): San Fran, KC
Losses: vs miami, at San Diego, at Arizona, at Cincinnati

San Diego (H): dallas, Colts, Kansas City
San Diego (A): Philly, Kansas City, Denver
Losses: vs Denver, at miami, vs Cincinnati



Records versus teams .500 or better:
6-4 -- New Orleans
5-3 -- Carolina
4-3 -- Seattle
4-4 -- San Francisco

6-3 -- San Diego
6-3 -- Denver
6-4 -- New England
4-4 -- Indianapolis

 

[jmt57]

Taking it one step further: looking at this weekend's game strictly from the perspective of who those teams fared at home or on the road, as the case may be:

Full Record: Indianapolis Colts (11-5) at New England Patriots (12-4)
H/A Record: Colts (5-3) at Patriots (8-0)
H/A vs .500+: Colts (2-3) at Patriots (5-0)


Full Record: San Diego Chargers (9-7) at Denver Broncos (13-3)
H/A Record: Chargers (4-4) at Broncos (7-1)
H/A vs .500+: Chargers (3-1) at Broncos (3-1)


Full Record: San Francisco 49ers (12-4) at Carolina Panthers (12-4)
H/A Record: Niners (6-2) at Panthers (7-1)
H/A vs .500+: Niners (1-2) at Panthers (3-1)


Full Record: New Orleans Saints (11-5) at Seattle Seahawks (13-3)
H/A Record: Saints (3-5) at Seahawks (7-1)
H/A vs .500+: Saints (1-4) at Seahawks (2-1)

 

[captain stone]

So i did the totals for opponents with a .500 or better record.

Denver 6-3
NE 6-4
Cin 6-4
Indy 4-4
KC 2-5
SD 6-3

Seattle 4-3
Carolina 5-3
Philly 4-4
GB 3-5
SF 4-4
NO 6-4

The first thing I noticed is KC's & GB's poor record vs good teams. Kinda shows that
they weren't really that good after all.

 

[Triumph]

You should use the record of your opponents only in the games other than the ones in which they played you. In other words, your schedule shouldn't be judged weaker because of your own victories.

Jeff Sagarin's computer rankings are pretty sophisticated, taking into account the opponent's overall record, where the game was played, their record at the time of the game, their performance soon before and soon after you played them, margin of victory, etc.

He ranks NFL teams and also gives his own SOS measurement.

Toughest schedules, ranked easiest to hardest, remaining teams
New England #25
Denver #21
San Diego #16
Carolina #13
Indianapolis #12
San Francisco #9
New Orleans #8
Seattle #7

(please don't shoot the messenger)


USA Today | Sports | NFL

This year we have not been faring too well in his rankings. Most years we do. Probably the eeking out of so many close games against some so-so opponents is a factor

I think that Football Outsiders does a better job on strength of scheduled because they break out defense vs offense and offense vs defense. Some teams have outstanding defenses, but struggle on offense. The 2012 AZ Cards was a prime example. The same with a high scoring offense, but a defense that cant hold a lead.

The Pats played some good defenses in 2013. 8th in strength of schedule compared to Denvers 30th ranked schedule. FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2013 OFFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

The Pats played some bad offenses too. Baltimore, Houston, NJ x 2, Bluffalo x 2, Tampa, Miami x 2. Cincinnati really did not set the woods on fire offensively.
FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | 2013 DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY RATINGS

 

[1960Pats]

I came up with my own SOS and Power Rankings. I also added in the record of all playoff teams vs all the other playoff teams, including round 1;

AFC - PR - SOS - W-L
Denver - 1 - 21 - 4-3
NE Pats - 5 - 24 - 2-2
Cincy - 7 - 27 - 4-1
Indy - 9 - 14 - 5-2
KC - 10 - 32 - 1-6
SD - 12 - 22 - 6-2

NFC - PR - SOS - W-L
Seattle - 2 - 13 - 2-3
San Fran - 3 - 17 - 3-4
Carolina - 4 - 11 - 3-2
Saints - 6 - 4 - 3-3
Philly - 11 - 31 - 1-4
GB - 18 - 30 - 0-4

 

[Gronkandez]

The first thing I noticed is KC's & GB's poor record vs good teams. Kinda shows that
they weren't really that good after all.

GB was playing with Matt Flynn and some other backup for much of the year. Both teams were absolutely good this year. KC would still be alive if they didn't lose serveral guys to injury (namely Jamal Charles, their best offensive weapon).

 

[moosekill]

GB was playing with Matt Flynn and some other backup for much of the year. Both teams were absolutely good this year. KC would still be alive if they didn't lose serveral guys to injury (namely Jamal Charles, their best offensive weapon).

Or perhaps KC wasn't that good and neither were the Colts?

 

[BlueThunder]

If ANY team has a reason to play the injury card...it's the Pats !


Next Man Up ! :rocker: :rocker: :rocker:

 

[captain stone]

GB was playing with Matt Flynn and some other backup for much of the year. Both teams were absolutely good this year. KC would still be alive if they didn't lose serveral guys to injury (namely Jamal Charles, their best offensive weapon).

KC would still be alive if they didn't have Walrus Byatch Andy Reid as their HC.