I see it being traded to get a lower 4th and either a 5th or 6th rounder....
Being it was Minnesota’s pick, it is at the top of the round and has potential if they Pats want to trade down and pick up picks in rounds 5 and 6. Here are a few possibilities, based on teams with lots of picks who might be willing to trade a few to move up. The Pats’ 4th round pick has projected value of 102 points. I used a 10% range +/- for even value which most teams (Oakland excluded) have followed for this year’s trades..
1) SEATTLE- They only made 2 picks so far and have 8 picks left ( a 4, 3 5’s 2 6’s and 2 7’s) Their pick #123 (4th rounder value 49 pts) and #138 (5th rounder value 37 pts) approximate the value of #102 and lets them move up while garnering the Pats another pick.
2) GREEN BAY- They have 10 picks today ( 2 4s, 3 5’s, 2 6’s. and 3 7’s) that they likely won’t use. Their pick #109 ( 4th round 76 pts) #193 ( 6th round 14 pts) total 90 points.
3) TAMPA BAY- Given Schiano and Belichick’s friendship, I could see one here. Their pick #112 (4th 70 points) and pick #181 ( 6th round 19 pts) are the closest so far 92 vs. 89...
4)ARIZONA- Their pick #110 (4th round 74 pts) and #174 (6th round 21 pts) give 95 total points so the Pats might have to throw in a 7th rounder to get back into round 6.…
5) ATLANTA- If they wanted to move up in the round, they have the ammo to do it. They have picks #127 (4th 45 pts) and #133 (4th 39.5 pts) and that’s 84.5 pts. They would still a 5 and 2 7’s if Atl moved up to get the player they wanted.
6) SAN FRANCISCO- They have 7 picks going into today and like GB, I can’t see them using hem all. If they package pick #128 (4th round 44 points) and pick #131 (4th round 41 points), those 85 points could let them move up and still have 5 more picks…
7) I don’t see the annual Reid-Belichick trade happening because the Chiefs have so many needs, they need more picks and are not situated to make it happen with NE.. Which means it will probably happen if the Pats see someone they want at the top of round #4.….
And I didn’t even consider the possibility of trading into next year……