loofasisgeek
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CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.This is probably their last best chance to win another game. They hosts the Bengals this week. I don't know if the Bengals will actually show up, but after that they have Tampa (who will need the game) and @ Cleveland (who will also need that game).
They'll likely be fighting Seattle for the 3rd/4th seed. Admittedly it's not a huge difference but a higher seed gets them a little better chance at a home NFCCG if both top two seeds are beaten. It's worth playing for, however unlikely.TB can clinch div. title this week.
good.. we are almost a lock at #2...
I don't think we're a lock for #2 even if SF loses all their remaining games. There will be others also with a 3-13 record, and the opponents' strength of schedule tiebreaker that currently favors us could easily change. For example, if most of SF's 13 opponents win most of their remaining games, and most of the Jets' 13 opponents lose most of their remaining games, the Jets would move ahead of SF in draft order.
But we'll still be in the top 4 or 5 if SF loses all their games. But if they win one, we could slip to 8 or 9.
SF is almost guarennteed the worst SOS.
From GBDR:
# Team W-L Opponents' W-L %
1 Miami 0-13 .548
2 New England (from San Francisco) 3-10 .481
3 St. Louis 3-10 .514
4 Atlanta 3-10 .519
5 New York Jets 3-10 .524
These are the SOS of all 16 opponents, No way that the Jets SOS goes down, as they have some team in their division that has yet to lose a game (and will not) . St, Louis and SF are in the same division so they play basically the same schedule EXCEPT TWO GAMES.
So if the 49ers go 0-3. the pick will stay at #2.,
FWIW, the difference in records between SF and STL is 7 games (100-108 v. 107-101).
And, as someone else pointed out, the Pats will help out their own cause with respect to the JEST.
If those numbers are true, then SF is a lock for the worst SOS. Consider that those numbers would only change if Dallas and Green Bay lost out and New Orleans and the Giants win out. The most they could swing is six either way, because all of their other opponents ar the same. So even if Dallas and Green Bay didn't win another game, the St. Louis' opponents would be 107-107 and if New Orleans and the Giants win out (which we all know isn't going to happen) San Fran's oppenents record would be 106-108. Still giving San Fran the worst SOS.
The Jets aren't even close with a SOS of 109-99, so bottom line if SF loses out, they will hand us the second pick in the '08 draft, unless anyone here thinks that Miami can win out and in that case it would be the #1 pick.