1. Light struggles, to put it mildly, with Schobel. The only thing that can derail this juggernaut is an injury to you know who. Let it not be this week, O Lord. 2. The Bills are extremely young, but they have a solid coach and alot of pluck. They're young, dumb and full of &$% and it's so early in the year they don't realize they have no chance. It usually takes about 9 weeks for reality to sink in on even the worst teams. The Bills historically play well in Foxboro, especially the 1st matchup of the year vs. the Pats. 3. The Pats are coming off an emotional high, an intense week with playoff caliber pressure and may feel a let down; it's human nature to experience peeks and valleys early before the rhythm of the season settles in. Also the home crowd may go back to being subpar: the bright lights are off, the scandal is a fading memory and a less than inspiring opponent is on the docket. 4. The Bills' red zone D has been top notch, stifling the Broncos and Steelers, two offenses with excellent weaponry. 5. The Kevin Everett tragedy, and now triumph, understandably weighed on the Buffalo squad and may have affected their preparations, contributing a bit to last week's blowout in Pittsburgh. This week, with news of Kevin's expected recovery, the Bills should be more focused, less distracted. 6. Lee Evans, IMO, is a top 10 receiver in the league. He has historically been shut down during games vs the Pats. This is a consequence of his erratic QB and lack of supporting cast. Also, Evans also has done almost noithing, zilch, the first 2 games of the year. It's about time a player of Evans' quality showed a little something, so the bill may come due this Sunday. With all those concerns in mind, I still take the Pats +16. Final: Pats 30 Bills 13.