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Projecting Maroney's future

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by PonyExpress, Dec 25, 2007.

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  1. PonyExpress

    PonyExpress Rookie

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    According to Football Outsiders, Maroney ranks in the top 10 in the 3 major categories by which they measure rbs: DPAR (defense adjusted total production), DVOA (defense adjusted production per play), and success percentage (consistency). The following list includes every other lead rb who accomplished that trifecta over a full season, from 2000 thru 2007:

    Note: the numbers in parentheses represent (# probowls, # 1,000 yard seasons)

    M Faulk 2000, 2001 (7/7)
    J. Bettis 2000 (6/8)
    C. Martin 2004 (5/10)
    E. James 2000, 2005 (4/7)
    C. Dillon 2004 (4/7)
    P. Holmes 2001, 2002, 2003 (3/4)
    T. Barber 2005 (3/6)
    S. Alexander 2005 (3/5)
    G. Hearst 2001 (2/4)
    R. Smith 2000 (2/4)
    B. Westbrook 2007 (2/2)
    L. Johnson 2004, 2005 (2/2)
    C. Portis 2002, 2003 (1/5)
    R. Johnson 2005 (1/3)
    C. Garner 2002 (1/2)
    J. Addai 2006 (1/2)
    M. Anderson 2000, 2005 (0/2)

    Everyone of those 17 players made a probowl as a rb, except the Broncos Mike Anderson. Among those 17, there were 47 pro bowl berths and 80 1,000 yard seasons, an average of 3 pro bowls and 5 1,000 yards seasons per player. As a floor, we have Mike Anderson, a sturdy system back, Charlie Garner, a versatile Roger Craig-style weapon in the WC Offense, and Rudi Johnson, a tough between the tackles plugger. As a ceiling we have Marshall Faulk, Curtis Martin and Jerome Bettis, HOF players.

    The fact that 94% of the rbs on this list went on to at least 1 pro bowl, and everyone of them had at least 2 1,000 yard seasons, bodes well for Maroney's future.

    Based on this year's performance, his young age, and the select company on that list, IMO it is safe to project Maroney as a future pro bowl player with several 1,000 yard seasons in front of him.
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2007
  2. MrBigglesWorth

    MrBigglesWorth Rookie

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    I'm just glad they have him as the wild card in the playoffs in case of weather. IMO I think the Pats will pass all day long as the weather permits.

    It's good to have him ready to go.

    I still think his best game was against baltimore.
  3. sebman2112

    sebman2112 Rookie

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    Is it alright with you if I use this info on another Patriots message board? I'll even link back to your original post.
  4. PonyExpress

    PonyExpress Rookie

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    There's no copyright, share and share alike.:)
  5. sieglo

    sieglo Rookie

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    Great post, but in the words of Winston Wolf, "Let's not go sucking each others' dicks quite yet."

    None of these guys had the advantage of working with the greatest passing offense in history. That's a pretty big variable which makes your conclusion highly speculative.

    For the record, I am a huge Maroney fan and I think he's developing into an exceptional player.
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2007
  6. PonyExpress

    PonyExpress Rookie

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    Actually, E. James, J. Addai, M. Faulk, C. Garner and R. Smith all operated with historic passing offenses.
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2007
  7. DarrylS

    DarrylS PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    What it seems they have done with Maroney, is preserve him to the end of the year and postseason... past couple of games his role has increased, as has his N south running... I would prefer going into the tournament with a healthy, fresh back than with a tired beat up back.. he seems to be gaining confidence at the right time. He seems to be hitting the hole quicker and with more determination. To look at him individually is ok, but have to look at him in terms of his role on the team..
  8. jczxohn1

    jczxohn1 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Forcing a hungry Maroney into a 15-carry, small-space, between the tackles game may seem counter-intuitive, but performances such as his against Miami will boost his confidense and make defenses think twice with him in the backfield. When Brady has fewer options at WR, we will no doubt see a more complete game out of Maroney, involving him in a more open-space game.
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