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Predict the stats for Ravens-Patriots game

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by neuronet, Jan 21, 2012.

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  1. neuronet

    neuronet Rookie

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    #87 Jersey

    This is a predict the stats game where you have to predict 14 stats from the game tomorrow, and person with the best aggregate score wins. Just post (in this thread, before kickoff) your predictions for the following stats, and the person with the best aggregate score (as defined below) wins! If you win, you get bragging rights for the week.

    1 Patriots total points:
    2 Ravens total points:
    3 # Patriots third down conversions:
    4 # Ravens third down conversions:
    5 Patriots time of posession (minutes):
    6 Ravens TOP (minutes):
    7 Patriots rushing yards:
    8 Ravens rushing yards:
    9 Pats passing yards:
    10 Ravens passing yards:
    11 Pats number of sacks:
    12 Ravens number of sacks:
    13 # Pats turnovers:
    14 # Ravens turnovers:

    To facilitate comparisons between different units (e.g.,sacks and yards), instead of just adding the numbers I will do some math voodoo (see below) so your score for each category will be on a scale of 0 to Infinity, where 0 is when you hit it right on. Then, I'll take the average for all the values. Person with average closest to zero (no mistakes) wins.

    For the nerds, for each statistic, I'll calculate:
    |estimate-actual|/actual​
    where |x| is the absolute value.
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2012
  2. neuronet

    neuronet Rookie

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    1 Patriots total points: 24
    2 Ravens total points: 20
    3 # Patriots third down conversions: 10
    4 # Ravens third down conversions: 14
    5 Patriots time of posession (minutes): 26
    6 Ravens TOP (minutes): 34
    7 Patriots rushing yards: 110
    8 Ravens rushing yards: 170
    9 Pats passing yards: 280
    10 Ravens passing yards: 200
    11 Pats number of sacks: 2
    12 Ravens number of sacks: 4
    13 # Pats turnovers: 1
    14 # Ravens turnovers: 2
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2012
  3. Big-T

    Big-T On the Roster

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    1 Patriots total points: 27
    2 Ravens total points: 10
    3 # Patriots third down conversions: 12
    4 # Ravens third down conversions: 6
    5 Patriots time of posession (minutes): 25
    6 Ravens TOP (minutes): 35
    7 Patriots rushing yards: 68
    8 Ravens rushing yards: 135
    9 Pats passing yards: 276
    10 Ravens passing yards: 115
    11 Pats number of sacks: 5
    12 Ravens number of sacks: 2
    13 # Pats turnovers: 3
    14 # Ravens turnovers: 1
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2012
  4. neuronet

    neuronet Rookie

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    Note I changed it from 'first downs' to 'third down conversions'. People that do first downs, I'll use that stat for your score. I changed it because it seems strange: each posession you get a first down, so it is not something you earn. :)
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2012
  5. kurtinelson

    kurtinelson Rookie

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    #37 Jersey

    Thanks for hosting the game Neuronet

    1 Patriots total points: 31
    2 Ravens total points:24
    3 # Patriots first downs:20
    4 # Ravens first downs: 15
    5 Patriots time of posession (minutes):34
    6 Ravens TOP (minutes):26
    7 Patriots rushing yards:110
    8 Ravens rushing yards:130
    9 Pats passing yards: 290
    10 Ravens passing yards:200
    11 Pats number of sacks: 3
    12 Ravens number of sacks:2
    13 # Pats turnovers:1
    14 # Ravens turnovers: 2
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