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Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 15 NE @ BUF

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by alamo, Dec 23, 2009.

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  1. alamo

    alamo praedica numerum! PatsFans.com Supporter

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    The board was pretty evenly split on whether this weeks game would be low-scoring or high-scoring. In the low-scoring camp there were quite a few who were pretty close to the final score, but just one predicted it perfectly.

    Sean Pa Patriot has been playing in this contest a long time, only one week missed since 2006. That's over 70 weeks... without a win... until now.

    Congratulations to this week's Predict the Score winner, Sean Pa Patriot, with a perfect score!

    Code:
     1. Sean Pa Patriot      Patriots 17 - 10   Score  0
     2. bostonia3333         Patriots 17 - 13   Score  3
        chris_in_sunnyvale   Patriots 17 - 13   Score  3
        IcyPatriot           Patriots 15 -  9   Score  3
        muzz                 Patriots 20 - 10   Score  3
     6. Bill B.              Patriots 19 - 12   Score  4
        fumbrunner           Patriots 21 - 10   Score  4
        Liverpool_Patriot    Patriots 16 - 13   Score  4
        NJPatsfan26          Patriots 21 - 10   Score  4
        PATRIOTSFANINPA      Patriots 17 - 14   Score  4
    11. 12to81               Patriots 23 - 10   Score  6
        CampPen33            Patriots 14 - 13   Score  6
    13. bakes781             Patriots 21 -  7   Score  7
        everlong             Patriots 24 - 10   Score  7
    15. chrisfx811           Patriots 20 - 16   Score  9
        derF                 Patriots 24 - 12   Score  9
        DisgruntledTunaFan   Patriots 20 - 16   Score  9
        jbb9s                Bills    18 - 18   Score  9
        neuronet             Bills    18 - 16   Score  9
        Tunescribe           Patriots 19 - 17   Score  9
    21. BradfordPatsFan      Patriots 23 - 14   Score 10
        CheekyDave           Patriots 20 - 17   Score 10
        cstjohn17            Patriots 24 - 13   Score 10
        jgpatriot            Patriots 20 - 17   Score 10
        Mack Herron          Patriots 20 - 17   Score 10
        Mix                  Patriots 20 - 17   Score 10
        NEWNYJETS            Patriots 20 - 17   Score 10
        Ochmed Jones         Bills    16 - 13   Score 10
        PatriotsInGA         Patriots 27 - 10   Score 10
        pats1                Patriots 24 - 13   Score 10
        PrairiePat           Patriots 27 - 10   Score 10
        Reek                 Patriots 20 - 17   Score 10
        wilfork is beastin'  Patriots 24 - 13   Score 10
        Willie55             Patriots 24 - 13   Score 10
    35. 102 Pat              Patriots 24 - 14   Score 11
        Pat the Pats Fan     Patriots 21 - 17   Score 11
        PatsChick87          Patriots 20 - 18   Score 11
        SmokeShowin          Patriots 24 - 14   Score 11
        taltos               Bills    21 - 17   Score 11
        TedyB54              Patriots 24 - 14   Score 11
    41. chech1965            Patriots 28 -  9   Score 12
        Feep50               Bills    20 - 19   Score 12
        makoute              Patriots 23 - 16   Score 12
    44. ausbacker            Patriots 24 - 16   Score 13
        Jimke                Bills    12 -  6   Score 13
        PatRiot              Patriots 27 - 13   Score 13
        pwes                 Patriots 23 - 17   Score 13
        vyrago               Patriots 24 - 16   Score 13
    49. borg                 Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        Calciumee            Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        cavtroop             Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        celticboy04          Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        ddell1                                  Score 14
        drew4008             Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        Ghost of Ben Dreith                     Score 14
        Ginger_Ale                              Score 14
        IndianPat            Bills    21 - 20   Score 14
        italian pat patriot  Patriots 27 - 14   Score 14
        jmt57                Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        MrTibbs              Patriots 27 - 14   Score 14
        PatriotPat           Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        PatsDeb              Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        PatsFanSince74       Patriots 21 - 20   Score 14
        smg93                Patriots 24 - 17   Score 14
        StraightCashHomey81  Patriots 27 - 14   Score 14
    66. bbabin               Patriots 28 - 14   Score 15
        Calhoun44            Patriots 26 - 16   Score 15
        Garbanza             Bills    24 - 16   Score 15
        Its_The_Patriots     Patriots 28 -  6   Score 15
        JSn                  Patriots 28 - 14   Score 15
        Mike the Brit        Patriots 26 - 16   Score 15
        Poker                Patriots 31 -  9   Score 15
        resdubwhite          Patriots 23 - 19   Score 15
        shakadave            Patriots 22 - 20   Score 15
        xmarkd400x           Patriots 25 - 17   Score 15
    76. alvinnf              Patriots 26 - 17   Score 16
        dtbrks               Patriots 23 - 20   Score 16
        Ford Prefect         Bills    23 - 20   Score 16
        PATSNUTme            Patriots 27 - 16   Score 16
        tatepatsfan          Patriots 27 - 16   Score 16
    81. bigfandan            Bills    27 - 17   Score 17
        DaBronxPats14        Patriots 31 - 13   Score 17
        DarrylS              Patriots 31 - 13   Score 17
        LXPX                 Patriots 27 - 17   Score 17
        PatsWickedPissah     Patriots 27 - 17   Score 17
        rabthepat            Patriots 24 - 20   Score 17
        Stokes               Bills    24 - 20   Score 17
        Two Eight            Patriots 27 - 17   Score 17
    89. Brady to Brown       Patriots 28 - 17   Score 18
        Gwedd                Patriots 31 - 14   Score 18
        KDPPatsfan85         Patriots 24 - 21   Score 18
        PatsFanJess          Patriots 24 - 21   Score 18
        Ryan                 Patriots 35 - 10   Score 18
    94. Mossachusetts        Patriots 33 - 13   Score 19
    95. A.C Vegas            Patriots 34 - 13   Score 20
        Bostonian1962        Patriots 27 - 20   Score 20
        BradysBunch12        Patriots 31 - 16   Score 20
        Metaphors            Patriots 34 -  7   Score 20
        Patsfanin Philly     Patriots 34 - 13   Score 20
        Robdude              Patriots 32 - 15   Score 20
    101.BradyFTW!            Patriots 27 - 21   Score 21
        Horace's Ivories     Patriots 28 -  0   Score 21
        Oceanviewer1         Patriots 31 - 17   Score 21
        Schmo                Patriots 38 - 10   Score 21
        SpiderFox53          Patriots 31 - 17   Score 21
    106.billdog3484          Patriots 34 - 16   Score 23
        wiggins!             Patriots 26 - 24   Score 23
    108.JR4                  Bills    27 - 24   Score 24
        Kulko                Patriots 31 - 20   Score 24
        Seymour93            Patriots 34 - 17   Score 24
        signbabybrady        Patriots 31 -  0   Score 24
        thechris             Bills    27 - 24   Score 24
    113.buff-dan             Patriots 35 - 20   Score 28
        ScrewDrvr            Patriots 28 - 27   Score 28
    115.BernardPollard       Patriots 35 - 21   Score 29
    116.alamo                Patriots 34 - 24   Score 31
    117.fgssand              Patriots 44 -  0   Score 37
    118.khayos               Patriots 52 -  7   Score 38
    
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2009
  2. alamo

    alamo praedica numerum! PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Re: Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 14 NE @ BUF

    There are two ways to look at the season standings right now.

    One way is as a two-man race, a very close two-man race. pats1 trails borg by just 2 points, and is 20 points ahead of third place.

    On the other hand, it looks like the contest has at least 3 weeks to go, and 30 points can can be made up with one or two good weeks. There's a pack lurking back there, 10th place is only 29 out.

    So stay tuned as Pats and Patsfans make their playoff drive...

    This week's average score was 14, your score if you missed your one allowed week and gained a * next to your name.

    Code:
     1. borg                 This week 14 Prev 152 ( 1.) Total 166
     2. pats1                This week 10 Prev 158 ( 2.) Total 168
     3. jgpatriot            This week 10 Prev 178 ( 4.) Total 188 *
        LXPX                 This week 17 Prev 171 ( 3.) Total 188 *
     5. bostonia3333         This week  3 Prev 186 (10.) Total 189
     6. jbb9s                This week  9 Prev 184 ( 9.) Total 193
        jmt57                This week 14 Prev 179 ( 6.) Total 193
        smg93                This week 14 Prev 179 ( 6.) Total 193
        bbabin               This week 15 Prev 178 ( 4.) Total 193
    10. fumbrunner           This week  4 Prev 191 (15.) Total 195
    11. chrisfx811           This week  9 Prev 193 (17.) Total 202
        Calciumee            This week 14 Prev 188 (12.) Total 202
        PatsFanSince74       This week 14 Prev 188 (12.) Total 202
    14. CheekyDave           This week 10 Prev 193 (17.) Total 203
        italian pat patriot  This week 14 Prev 189 (14.) Total 203
    16. SmokeShowin          This week 11 Prev 193 (17.) Total 204 *
    17. makoute              This week 12 Prev 194 (20.) Total 206
        xmarkd400x           This week 15 Prev 191 (15.) Total 206 *
    19. Tunescribe           This week  9 Prev 198 (23.) Total 207
        Bostonian1962        This week 20 Prev 187 (11.) Total 207
    21. cavtroop             This week 14 Prev 194 (20.) Total 208
    22. chris_in_sunnyvale   This week  3 Prev 207 (35.) Total 210
    23. alamo                This week 31 Prev 180 ( 8.) Total 211
    24. BradfordPatsFan      This week 10 Prev 203 (30.) Total 213
        PatsChick87          This week 11 Prev 202 (29.) Total 213 *
        MrTibbs              This week 14 Prev 199 (27.) Total 213
    27. PatsDeb              This week 14 Prev 200 (28.) Total 214 *
        dtbrks               This week 16 Prev 198 (23.) Total 214
    29. cstjohn17            This week 10 Prev 205 (31.) Total 215 *
        NEWNYJETS            This week 10 Prev 205 (31.) Total 215
        PatsWickedPissah     This week 17 Prev 198 (23.) Total 215
    32. Liverpool_Patriot    This week  4 Prev 213 (45.) Total 217
    33. Pat the Pats Fan     This week 11 Prev 207 (35.) Total 218
    34. Ginger_Ale           This week 14 Prev 206 (33.) Total 220 *
        billdog3484          This week 23 Prev 197 (22.) Total 220
    36. NJPatsfan26          This week  4 Prev 218 (49.) Total 222
        PatriotPat           This week 14 Prev 208 (38.) Total 222
    38. pwes                 This week 13 Prev 211 (43.) Total 224 *
    39. shakadave            This week 15 Prev 210 (41.) Total 225
    40. drew4008             This week 14 Prev 212 (44.) Total 226
        DarrylS              This week 17 Prev 209 (40.) Total 226
    42. Schmo                This week 21 Prev 207 (35.) Total 228
    43. Bill B.              This week  4 Prev 226 (54.) Total 230
    44. ddell1               This week 14 Prev 217 (47.) Total 231 *
        BradyFTW!            This week 21 Prev 210 (41.) Total 231
    46. PatsFanJess          This week 18 Prev 214 (46.) Total 232 *
        Seymour93            This week 24 Prev 208 (38.) Total 232 *
    48. everlong             This week  7 Prev 226 (54.) Total 233
        JSn                  This week 15 Prev 218 (49.) Total 233
    50. Two Eight            This week 17 Prev 217 (47.) Total 234
        ScrewDrvr            This week 28 Prev 206 (33.) Total 234
    52. PATRIOTSFANINPA      This week  4 Prev 231 (60.) Total 235
    53. Willie55             This week 10 Prev 226 (54.) Total 236
        PATSNUTme            This week 16 Prev 220 (51.) Total 236
    55. Ryan                 This week 18 Prev 223 (53.) Total 241
    56. PrairiePat           This week 10 Prev 232 (62.) Total 242 *
    57. bakes781             This week  7 Prev 236 (64.) Total 243
    58. Mike the Brit        This week 15 Prev 229 (58.) Total 244
        JR4                  This week 24 Prev 220 (51.) Total 244
    60. IndianPat            This week 14 Prev 231 (60.) Total 245
    61. Patsfanin Philly     This week 20 Prev 227 (57.) Total 247
    62. tatepatsfan          This week 16 Prev 233 (63.) Total 249
    63. Calhoun44            This week 15 Prev 237 (65.) Total 252
    64. taltos               This week 11 Prev 244 (69.) Total 255
    65. Mix                  This week 10 Prev 246 (72.) Total 256
        vyrago               This week 13 Prev 243 (68.) Total 256
    67. Metaphors            This week 20 Prev 238 (67.) Total 258
    68. 102 Pat              This week 11 Prev 250 (74.) Total 261
    69. Stokes               This week 17 Prev 245 (70.) Total 262
    70. Its_The_Patriots     This week 15 Prev 248 (73.) Total 263
    71. Sean Pa Patriot      This week  0 Prev 265 (80.) Total 265 *
    72. SpiderFox53          This week 21 Prev 245 (70.) Total 266 *
    73. Ford Prefect         This week 16 Prev 253 (75.) Total 269 *
    74. Poker                This week 15 Prev 256 (76.) Total 271
    75. Ghost of Ben Dreith  This week 14 Prev 259 (78.) Total 273 *
    76. Gwedd                This week 18 Prev 258 (77.) Total 276
    77. Robdude              This week 20 Prev 259 (78.) Total 279 *
    78. CampPen33            This week  6 Prev 292 (84.) Total 298 *
        Horace's Ivories     This week 21 Prev 277 (81.) Total 298
    80. PatRiot              This week 13 Prev 286 (83.) Total 299 *
    81. A.C Vegas            This week 20 Prev 283 (82.) Total 303
    82. Jimke                This week 13 Prev 303 (86.) Total 316 *
    83. fgssand              This week 37 Prev 302 (85.) Total 339
    84. khayos               This week 38 Prev 499 (88.) Total 537
    
     
  3. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Thanks to Alamo for keeping this going. Great contest this year.

    PFS74 has been slowly creeping up the board, a couple of slots a week. While the pundits on HSPN are saying the best he can hope for at 36 points behind in Week 16 is a top five finish, they are underestimating the competitive fires that burn within his Patriots heart, so great is his confidence that his team has six more games to play.
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2009
  4. jbb9s

    jbb9s In the Starting Line-Up

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    Re: Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 14 NE @ BUF

    i think last year, i made up between 18 and 24 points on everyone in front of me on the last game of the season so this is wide open. at the end, if you are a risk taker, you need to start predicting some statistical anomalies since that is the only way to make up large point spreads with only a week or 2 left.

    Also, thanks a lot for putting this contest on for another year. Do you think in the offseason you would be willing to consider rule changers to people that miss a week.? I feel like anyone who misses a week should be penalized the same as anyone else all season but awarding an average for that week specifically could actually be better than recording a guess of your own. On the contrary, if you miss a week and the score is in line with predictions, the avg could be 7 or something like that. Maybe you just take the 15 best scores and if you guess all 16 then that player gets to drop 1. If you miss, you obviously can't drop. Another choice would be to avg the entire season's weekly score and then plug that into every misser's score at the end of the last game....
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2009
  5. PatsFanSince74

    PatsFanSince74 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Re: Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 14 NE @ BUF

    If he's going to make any changes, I hope Alamo opens if for discussion. I kind of like the current system. If for no other reason than that it is simple.

    Regarding your suggestions, I understand the second but would argue that it would wreck the horserace all season (which is one of the really fun features of the contest) because we wouldn't know until the last week what the average of averages was. Plus, it's just too darn complicated. Speaking of complicated, I don't even understand what your first suggestion is. :confused:

    I also think being able to tactically skip a week where you feel there is excessive randomness at play isn't a bad feature of the game. You give up the chance for a big gain by nailing the answer despite the uncertainties but can settle for the average, which might be very high or moderate.
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2009
  6. alamo

    alamo praedica numerum! PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Re: Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 14 NE @ BUF

    I will definitely post a discussion thread and/or poll, though I can't guarantee any changes will be made. Simplicity is good and any change has to be easily understandable.

    Anything based on season averages would have to be recomputed weekly so the standings would adjust a little at a time. This might make things too complicated to understand though, people would ask "I was off by 20 points this week but my score changed by 22, why???" (due to the missed week score recalculation).

    I kind of like the "worst score is dropped" but it would also have to be recomputed weekly. And I am afraid that one bad game by the Pats, New Orleans for example this season, will lead to half the board registering their worst score of the season and thus negate the benefits. Dropping one score only helps if you get a 30 when the entire board gets a 10, if everyone gets a 30 dropping it is a wasted effort.

    Agreed, but its use is limited since if you can tell with any certainty which week skipping would benefit you, you could also probably do well enough that week to get a better than average score. The first 3 years I had a rule "no skipping allowed in the final week" but I dropped it, it seemed an unnecessary complication considering until you get to the SB you don't actually know which week will be the final week.

    At season end I might try a couple of these ideas and recompute the standings as if they had been implemented, as a test.

    Glad you like the contest!
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2009
  7. Sean Pa Patriot

    Sean Pa Patriot Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    #12 Jersey

    I would like to thank the academy , the coaches , the players... for this honor...:D
     
  8. jbb9s

    jbb9s In the Starting Line-Up

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    Re: Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 14 NE @ BUF

    the "confusing" suggestion was simply that your 15 scores count. If you put in a guess for all 16 games then you get to drop your lowest. If you miss a week, you don't get to drop your worst score.

    I had no idea that people actually skipped a week on purpose because they think it is better to strategically take the average. I thought it was for people that were travelling and missed a week or just forgot or whatnot. Interesting.....

    If I win again, I request that the results are posted before Alamo's 3 month winter vacation as there is no reason why the celebration should be held up.

    Again, thanks Alamo for putting this on each year.
     
  9. Bostonian1962

    Bostonian1962 In the Starting Line-Up

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    Patriots 28 - Jax 21
     
  10. Gwedd

    Gwedd PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #61 Jersey

    Dude... wrong thread... :D


    On another note, I'm very happy to see that, although I'm not near the head of the pack, I'm still remaining consistent with about 18 points per guesstimate.. sigh... :rolleyes:
     
  11. fgssand

    fgssand PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #17 Jersey

    Re: Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 14 NE @ BUF

    Damn Khayos.......I wanted last!!
     
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