Picks @ spread

[PonyExpress]

Just for fun...

Week 1
Pitt +1 over Miami
StL +4 1/2 over Den
NYJ +2 1/2 over Ten
Buff +9 1/2 over NE
Cin +2 1/2 over KC (*)
Bal +3 over TB
Det +6 over Sea
Atl + 5 1/2 over Car
Phi -5 over Hou
Cle -3 over NO
Dal +2 over JC
Chi -3 1/2 over GB (*)
Ari -8 over SF (*)
NYG +3 1/2 over Indy
Was -4 1/2 over Min
SD -3 over Oak
Note: * = best bet. (pick 3 a week)

 

[ClosingTime]

I'll play....but what do the * stand for?

Den -4.5 over StL
NYJ +2 1/2 over Ten
NE -9 1/2 over Bills
KC -2 1/2 over Cinn (*)
Bal +3 over TB
Sea -6 over Detroit
Atl + 5 1/2 over Car
Phi -5 over Hou
NO +3 over Browns
Dal +2 over JC
Chi -3 1/2 over GB (*)
Ari -8 over SF
Indy -3 1/2 over NYG (*)
Was -4 1/2 over Min
SD -3 over Oak

 

[PonyExpress]

(*) stands for best bets. I'm taking Cinci, Chi, and Ariz as mine. Let's pick 3 a week. Also, I know you picked the Steelers just like me on Thursday, so you can add that one on for symmetry.

 

[OldEnglandPatriot]

Here are mine

Week 1
Pitt +1 over Miami ( see my post 'betting the Steelers')
StL +4 1/2 over Den*
NYJ +2 1/2 over Ten
Buff +9 1/2 over NE
Cin +2 1/2 over KC
TB -3 over BAL*
Det +6 over Sea
CAR -5.5 over ATL
Phi -5 over Hou
NO +3 over CLE
Dal +2 over JC
Chi -3 1/2 over GB
Ari -8 over SF
NYG +3 1/2 over Indy*
MIN +4.5 over WASH
SD -3 over Oak

 

[OldEnglandPatriot]

Hey, PonyExpress and ClosingTime... good work.

12 for Pony and me, 10 for Closing. However, Pony got three out of three 'best bets', Closing got 2 of 3 and I got only 1 of 3.

In the games where we were unanimous we called correctly 6 of 7.
Of the remaining 9, the 'majority opinion' was right 7 times - gold stars for the lone pickers of Indy (ClosingTime) and Minnesota (me).

We should keep doing this.

 

[PonyExpress]

It looks to me like I went 11-5, 2-1 on best bets. A good start, blind luck no doubt. In Vegas you break even at 54% success rate, so it's something to keep an eye on.

 

[PonyExpress]

Week 2

Mia -6.5 over Buf
Min +1.5 over Car
Cin -10 over Cle
Chi -8.5 over Det
Hou +13.5 over Indy
NO -2 over GB
NYG +3 over Phi
Bal -12 over Oak*
TB + 5.5 over Atl
Sea -7 over Ari
StL -3 over SF
KC + 10.5 over Den
NE -6 over NYJ*
Ten +11.5 over SD
Dal -6 over Wash
JK +1.5 over Pitt*

Season: 11-5/Best Bets: 2-1*

 

[horryfor3]

Hey guys. You probably don't remember me. I'm the football-illiterate girl!

Would it be a pain in the butt to have one of you guys explain ^^^^ all that to me?


I owe you for putting up with me!

 

[OldEnglandPatriot]

Here are mine...

Buf +6.5 over Miami
Min +1.5 over Car
Cin -10 over Cle
Det +8.5 over Chi
Indy +13.5 over Hou
NO -2 over GB
NYG +3 over Phi
Bal -12 over Oak
TB + 5.5 over Atl
Sea -7 over Ari*
StL -3 over SF*
KC + 10.5 over Den*
NE -6 over NYJ
Ten +11.5 over SD
Dal -6 over Wash
Pitt -1.5 over Jax

 

[ClosingTime]

Hey guys. You probably don't remember me. I'm the football-illiterate girl!

Would it be a pain in the butt to have one of you guys explain ^^^^ all that to me?


I owe you for putting up with me!

Anything for a lady.
The Patriots are favored by 6 point agaisnt the Jets, so the line is NE (-6) vs the Jets. Or it could be written as Jets (+6) vs NE. So if you pick NE, they have to win by more that 6 points for you to win the bet. If they win by exactly 6 points it is a draw and if the win by fewere than 6 points or lose outright you lose.
Now show us your tits.

 

[ClosingTime]

Yuo really need to start denoting the HOME team.

MIAMI -6.5 over buffalo
Car -1.5 over MIN
CIN -10 over Cle
Det +8.5 over CHI
Hou +13.5 over INDY
NO -2 over GB*
PHI -3 over Nyg
Oak +12 over Baltimore
tb + 5.5 over ATL
Sea -7 over Ari
stl -3 over SF*
kc + 10.5 over DEN
NYJ +6 over ne
SD -11.5 over Tenn
Dal -6 over Wash
Pitt -1.5 over JAX*

 

[OldEnglandPatriot]

incorrect spread

Hey PonyE and ClosingT, we have a mistake in our lines.

Minnesota are 1.5 point favourites, not 1.5 dogs, versus Carolina.

Shall we leave our calls at the stated line in Pony's original list, or alter them?

For me, it's such a tough call that I'm going with whoever gets the 1.5 points.

 

[PonyExpress]

Re: incorrect spread

Hey PonyE and ClosingT, we have a mistake in our lines.

Minnesota are 1.5 point favourites, not 1.5 dogs, versus Carolina.

Shall we leave our calls at the stated line in Pony's original list, or alter them?

For me, it's such a tough call that I'm going with whoever gets the 1.5 points.

Stay with the lines. The Sports Guy's column, published friday, has Minn as 2 point dogs.

 

[Johnny Mac]

Re: incorrect spread

Rams at -3 is a lock.

 

[ClosingTime]

I take Carolina regardless.

 

[desi-patsfan]

what are the chances Indy doesnt cover?

 

[ClosingTime]

what are the chances Indy doesnt cover?

Well if Vegas did their jobs right, the chances are 1:1. I think Houston didn't look too bad last week and the Colts looked awfully rusty. 13.5 is a lot of points.

 

[OldEnglandPatriot]

I think Indianapolis will cover, more likely than not, but in terms of actually betting I wouldn't touch it with a bargepole. 13.5 points is too many to feel comfortable with.

I've taken the under in that game though.

 

[PonyExpress]

An interesting trend league wide in Week 1 was unders across the board. Very low scoring, ineffectual offense. We may finally be seeing defensive adjustments to the Ty LAw rule in full effect.

 

[ClosingTime]

Pony, this happens most seasons. By in large defenses are more together early in the season than the offenses. That is part of the reason I like Houtson +13.5. REmeber last year the Colts for the first half of the season were playing in some tight games, not blowing teams out. Part of that was a slight move to a more ball control offense, a switch they would have been wise to stick with.