This brings up a question. Is a rumor of a possible trade "false" if the trade doesn't happen? By all accounts Green Bay WAS talking trade for Moss, and Favre was pissed that it didn't come through. So a rumor that the Packers were actively in the market for Moss should count as a gold star, no?
Rumors of "interest" and "talks" etc. will never yield a perfect record in terms of actual trades, signings and draft picks. Circumstances change; deals fall through. (Maybe the Patriots would indeed have drafted LB David Harris if they hadn't gotten a trade offer to their liking. How the heck do we know?) So even if Florio's rumors were 100% accurate as rumors we'd be able to point to "rumblings" of "discussions" that didn't pan out as reason to discount his site. I don't discount it myself -- I accept its vast limitations but appreciate its strengths.
Yes, but RayClay's point is excellent.
What was that Damon Runyon/Bob Hope movie where Bob Hope is a tipster at the race-course who tells his marks "only pay me if you win"? Of course, he's tipping all the horses to different people ... [Edit: The Lemon Drop Kid?]
I have no way of telling how authoritative Florio's rumours are because, as you say, a negative outcome doesn't invalidate the rumour. On the other hand, covering all the bases doesn't impress me either.
Here's my personal opinion of PFT:
- Florio has developed an incredible pipeline and breaks a LOT of stories. I think we take too much for granted in that regard--there's a ton we wouldn't know if PFT hadn't brought it too the surface. For instance, I think he deserves a lot of credit for the better public understanding of contracts today, especially puffed-up numbers.
Yes. Whatever its limitations, it's a terrific site and a "must read". Its information on behind-the-scenes manoeuvring (e.g. who is in the frame for what coaching job) has been consistently excellent, although his record with Patriots stories has not been particularly good.
- Florio knows a lot more about the business of football than he does about the game of football. When he tries to make predictions or weigh in on the various merits of players, I quickly scroll away.
- Florio has a massive ego and a yen for drama that sometimes gets in the way of sound judgment.
He's running a great web site so he's entitled to be pleased with himself, but I do think that that is a big problem.
He likes to pontificate (and his moral judgements often seem to me questionable), he likes to show off his legal knowledge (which often seems to me to lead him to be hair-splitting and petty-minded) and he likes to speculate -- especially, to identify conspiratorial back-stories.
That is what annoys me most about the site. Given that we can't authenticate his stories, the fact that he presents his speculations (wouldn't it make sense for X to be the case?) alongside his rumours (someone who knows tells me that X is the case, but I can't tell you who it is) is misleading. As often as not, you can't tell where one ends and the other begins.
- Florio has become so influential in league inner circles that he's now at risk of sabotage. I'm certain that some folks are starting to plant disinformation with him at this point, and he has no way of telling the wheat from the chaff. This will do him in if he doesn't get a handle on it.