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Patriots Point Spreads for (almost) the whole season

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by SoCal Bong, May 8, 2013.

  1. SoCal Bong

    SoCal Bong Rookie

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    At Cantor sports books in Las Vegas (numerous locations) you can bet any game of the 2013 season except week 17 which they don't offer due to the uncertainty of which teams will be resting players or have reason to win.

    Note that the Pats are not the underdog in a single game.

    Which games look like the best and worst Pats bets to you right now?

    New England Patriots (-7) at Buffalo Bills
    New York Jets at New England Patriots (-8)
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots (-7.5)
    New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons (PK)
    New England Patriots (-1.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
    New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots (-4, -115)
    New England Patriots (-4) at New York Jets
    Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-7)
    Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-4)
    New England Patriots (-3) at Carolina Panthers
    Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-1.5)
    New England Patriots at Houston Texans (PK)
    Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-8.5)
    New England Patriots (-2) at Miami Dolphins
    New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (PK)
  2. Joker

    Joker PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    obviously they don't read Patsfans message board....or else every one of those spreads would be the Pats GETTING points....
  3. jmt57

    jmt57 Moderator Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Right now the Pats at home minus 8 points against the Jets in week two looks like the safest bet to me.

    Forget the Jets of a couple of years when they won playoff games in back to back seasons; right now that team looks as if they are worse than last year, and will win fewer games.

    That is a team that is quite definitely in rebuild mode, and those type of teams typically start out badly. It's not like they are an over the hill, over rated team based on previous results that is making one last shot and does the reverse (starts out good, runs out of gas, and plummets at the end of the season).

    If I had to pick one, and only one game that the Pats should win easily, then I would go with the Pats over the Jets in week two.
    Last edited: May 8, 2013
  4. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    The JEST should be double-digit underdogs against the bye.
  5. VinnyPatrollie

    VinnyPatrollie Rookie

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    #26 Jersey

    I'd bet the house vs. Jets on BOTH games, home and away.
  6. woolster22

    woolster22 Rookie

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    Tampa at home week 3. Sanchez/idiot will be playing to solidify their starting job and might actually have agme aginst the new look young secondary. Who knows what brady and the new toys will look like. Hopefully boyce is the second coming of randy, but I'm not holding my breathe...

    Divisional opponents early have been speedbumps in the past. Bills tromping in week one after milloy was sent packing sticks out.

    Of course since I have posted this we smoke the bills and jets early, lose to tampa, and lose to jets/bills in the second meetings.
  7. BradyBranch39

    BradyBranch39 Rookie

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    this looks pretty damn safe to me:

    New England Patriots (-3) at Carolina Panthers
  8. Master Yates

    Master Yates Rookie

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    Pats vs Steelers is a gift. -4 at home to a team on the decline, easy money.

    Ones to stay away from; on road vs Falcons, Ravens, Bengals and Texans. Not saying they won't win some of those, but you are probably looking at 2-2 in these 4 games. Not a way to win money on sports.

    Also, be wary of divisional games with large spreads, these teams know each other very well. They will cover some of those, but probably a split vs spread.

    After Steelers, I like beating Denver at home and Carolina on the road. Cleveland and Saints at home look to be decent plays too.

  9. fxkane

    fxkane Rookie

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    I agree with all of the above. Esp. paragraph 2. Stay away from those four.
  10. SoCal Bong

    SoCal Bong Rookie

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    Casears Entertainment sports books are offering a new season win futures bet.

    Patriots - 11 wins
    Over +200
    Exact +180
    Under +120
  11. Brady_to_Moss

    Brady_to_Moss Revis Island is here PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #95 Jersey

    pats -4 at jets? YES PLEASE
  12. sb1

    sb1 Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    Don't like our chances @ Atlanta at all. Not a good matchup IMO. Feels like we might be on the wrong end of a double digit loss....
  13. Brady_to_Moss

    Brady_to_Moss Revis Island is here PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #95 Jersey

    and it begins
  14. AndyJohnson

    AndyJohnson PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    That was 10 years ago
  15. supafly

    supafly PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    Giving any points on the road is typically a no-no in terms of your basic sportsbetting "rules;" however I've been known to go up to -3 myself on the road.

    If you give any more than -3 on the road you'll often find that the temptation doesn't pay off. A prime example of a case where giving pts on the road may be warranted would be the MNF game at Carolina, where we're currently -3.

    I definitely agree that giving double digit points is another one that I tend to back off of, especially when a divisional opponent is related (unless it's 2007 of course).
  16. supafly

    supafly PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    Just one more tip from my vast experience with sportsbetting...

    "Buying" an additional half-point or even a whole point can often pay off, even if you end up winning a few dollars less since the juice will be increased.

    I can't even tell you how many games I've bought points for where the spread was 2.5 or 3.5 that have paid off for me. This is yet another wonderful technological advance that allows many of us to wager with online books that our past generation wasn't privvy to, as they were often stuck with whatever the spread was.

    The ability to change the spread a bit is a blessing to any sportsbettor. Take advantage of it as much as possible. Yes, you may win a few dollars less (obviously depending on what your wager is), but winning less is much better than losing any day.

    I have found that the key numbers statistically/historically are 3,4,6,and 7 when it comes to the outcomes of games.
  17. NEPettyOfficer72

    NEPettyOfficer72 Rookie

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    Are you serious? First off, Tom Brady will be Tom Brady against their defense, our running game should dominate them, our coach should outcoach their coach, Vereen, Amendola, Ridley, Gronk, Ballard, Dobson, Boyce and Thompkins, is plenty to score with. I can even see a few swing passes to Leon Washington here and there. Matt Ryan I'm sure will be going against a much improved NE defense and will be facing Aqib Talib and Alfonzo Dennard on the outside, but Jamie Collins, a 2nd year Chandler Jones and Don'ta Hightower rushing after him. This game will be a good one, but I can't possibly see how you had the balls to just say that.
  18. Deus Irae

    Deus Irae PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Disable Jersey

    Of all the NFC powerhouses, Atlanta is probably the one the Patriots best match up against. Even on the road, the Patriots are the play there.
  19. borg

    borg Rookie

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    Three rookie WRs
    One returning WR (Edelman)
    JAG TEs while waiting out Gronk
    Dennard suspension (potentially)
    BB's bend but don't break D philosophy
    Regression to the norm re: D turnovers
    ......
    Betting against NE doesn't seem too far fetched
  20. Jackson 2

    Jackson 2 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #12 Jersey

    Go ahead and do it. You'll end up sitting outside your local WalMart with a tin cup and a monkey.

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