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Patriots 5 point underdogs

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by JoeSixPat, Jan 8, 2007.

  1. JoeSixPat

    JoeSixPat Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    I'm not all that surprised - happy in fact to see that the Patriots are underdogs coming into SD... the Patriots players LOVE that!

    http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/

    What will be interesting to me is to see how the line changes (or doesn't) change as I recognize the las vegas line is strictly designed to ensure that an equal number of people are betting for both teams. If too many people take the Pats with that spread (and I think MANY people will) expect it to shift.


    No disrespect to the Chargers, but in many ways I am more confident of winning this game than I was coming into the Jets.

    Some of the intangibles for the Jets worried me - the fact that Mangini knows our team inside and out. The fact that the Jets had absolutely nothing to lose coming into the game, being major over achievers - and conversely that the pressure on the Patriots and coaching staff to win was significant - even beyond the one and done playoff environment.

    With the Chargers, its the opposite in many ways - the SD defense is not as good as the Ravens (though we shouldn't underestimate them) we are underdogs and really have nothing to lose.

    All the pressure is on SD to come through - and a ton of pressure on the Coaching staff to show they can win a playoff game.

    So I for one, love the underdog status!
     
  2. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I thought it would be 7 and I think it may creep up. SD is the "cool" team right now and I think at -5 the money will lean that way.
     
  3. ribanez

    ribanez Rookie

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    I think if oddsmakers truly looked at the way both teams are playing, the line would be even if not in the Pats favor. It's just hard for an oddmaker to make a 14-2 team an underdog at home.
     
  4. Michael

    Michael Moderator Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    It was higher but they lowered it after yesterday's game.
     
  5. TeamPats

    TeamPats On the Game Day Roster

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    I made a bet with a friend of mine during the game of what the spread would be for the SD game. I said 5 points he said 7 or higher. Home field is 3 points which has the Pats at a 2 point underdog on a neutral field, this is perfectly fair. I am interested to watch how that line dances around this week because so far as I am hearing every media member slurping the Pats more then SD much to our shagrin.
     
  6. patsfan13

    patsfan13 Hall of Fame Poster PatsFans.com Supporter

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    SD should be favored based on the regulatr season. The biggest advantage the Chargers have is the bye week, OTOH the Pats has another week for the O to get in sync and BB will cook up another great game plan for this week.
     
  7. Fogbuster

    Fogbuster Pro Bowl Player

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    Not at all surprising. If I was making book, I'd offer the same line.

    SD is clearly the "sexy" pick. Gotta make room for the "hot, new, 'next Tom Brady' " in Rivers. Etc.

    We'll see. Does Tom have enough left in the tank? Will the O-line give him time and make some holes for Corey, LM, and our little Faulk? Will our D rise to the challenge and do what it must??

    Tune in next Sunday and find out.


    //
     
  8. MrTibbs

    MrTibbs Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    The pressure is all on the Chargers. Marty's horrid playoff record, Chargers have won 10 straight, a one year starting QB's first playoff game. There are a lot of things the Chargers must overcome besides the playoff experienced Patriots.
     
  9. JoeSixPat

    JoeSixPat Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    Well its 5 now - I think Las Vegas will find that everyone's putting their money on the Patriots and it will move significantly.
     
  10. fleabassist1

    fleabassist1 In the Starting Line-Up

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    Enough panicing yet?
     
  11. patsox23

    patsox23 Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    The Chargers are a formidable team, 14-2, coming off a well-earned BYE and they have a more talented roster with fewer injuries. I think we'll win, but they certainly deserve the respect Vegas and the pundits are giving them.
     
  12. upstater1

    upstater1 Pro Bowl Player

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    I haven't had a good chance to see the Chargers play this year. I think a lot will depend on what kind of chemistry Rivers has with his receivers. The Patriots will take away the middle of the field for them (though gates is likely to find openings underneath). If they adjust well, then the Patriots will have trouble stopping all phases of their offense's game.

    Obviously the Patriots are going to come out throwing in the no huddle on their first possession (away game, loud, spread out SD's blitzers).

    This really is Rivers' game to win, because LaDanian will get his yards regardless. If he can be limited to no gain more than 10 yards, then I'm perfectly happy to see the Chargers get stumped in the red zone and settle for field goals.
     
  13. Haterproof

    Haterproof Third String But Playing on Special Teams

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    That stadium is very quiet when the Chargers are getting their Asses kicked.We should take the crowd out of the game very early.There's nothing intimidating about their stadium.
     
  14. kotong

    kotong Banned

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    ----------------------
    When was the last time you've been to the Q this season? If you're quoting games of years' past then the last 3 years it's been so different.

    Remember, your team is the road team on Sunday. The Chargers are UNDEFEATED at home and their combined losses are only for 7 points - both road games. The last 2 games they played LT didn't need to score.

    If you're the betting variety I'd say the spread is probably not accurate. It should be 12. All the key players they've lost to injury are now healthy: McCardell, Floyd, Castillo, Oben... Bill B will have his head spinning on Sunday.

    :D
     

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