This thread is to discuss the matchups in the upcoming playoff game. Some examples are QB v QB, OL v OL, OL v DL, player v player, coach v coach, etc. I'll start with Jax DL v. NE OL. CHFF Analysis The New England offensive line was #1 in offensive hog index (per CHFF). They gained 4.1 YPA rushing - 14th in the league, had a negative pass play 4.86% of dropbacks (a NPP is a sack/INT) - 2nd in the league, and had a 48.2% success rate on 3rd down - good for 2nd in the league. The Jacksonville defensive line was tied for 12th in defensive hog index (again, per CHFF). They allowed 4.12 YPA on the ground - 17th in the league, forced the opposing offense into a negative pass play 9.83% of the time - 10th in the league, and allowed opposing offenses to convert a 3rd down 39.8% of the time - 16th in the league. Going by CHFF's numbers, the Patriots best in the league offensive line should have a fairly successful day against a slightly better than average Jacksonville defensive front. Sack Analysis (But they are just Miniburgers!) Jaguars The Jaguars sacked opposing QBs 37 times this year, good for 9th in the league (2.3 per game - tied with 3 other clubs). Below is a breakdown of how Jacksonville fared against top-rated offensive lines (top rated meaning rated 10 or better in CHFF's offensive hog index) vs. Jacksonville's success against average and bottom-rated offensive lines. How has Jacksonville fared against top rated offensive lines this year in terms of sacks? (There are 12 teams in the top 10 due to a 3-way tie at tenth) Denver (10t in CHFF Offensive Hogs Index) - 3 sacks Indianapolis (5) - 2 sacks New Orleans (8) - 2 sacks San Diego (10t) - 0 sacks Indianapolis (5) - 1 sack Against top-10 rated lines, the Jaguars totalled 8 sacks in 5 games, good for an average of 1.6 sacks/game. In 11 games against Ten (x2), Houston (x2), Atlanta, KC, TB, Buffalo, Carolina, Pitt, and Oakland, they registered 29 sacks; good for 2.6 sacks/game. So, in 69% of their games against lower-rated offensive lines, the Jaguars accounted for 78% of their sacks. In 31% of their games against higher rated offensive lines, the Jaguars accounted for 22% of their sacks. Patriots New England quarterbacks have been sacked 21 times this year (1.3 per game) - good for 5th in the league. Below is a breakdown of how New England fared against top 10 rated defensive fronts (Again going by CHFF -- this time by the defensive hog index). Here is a list of how NE performed against each one: San Diego (5t) - 2 sacks Dallas (7t) - 3 sacks Washington (9t) - 1 sack Baltimore (2) - 3 sacks Giants (1) - 1 sack In 5 games against top-10 defensive hogs, the Patriots allowed 10 sacks or 2 per game. In 11 games against the 22 teams not in the top 10, New England allowed 11 sacks, or 1 per game. Sack Conclusion Jacksonville's defensive front garners half as many sacks per game against top-10 rated offensive fronts (Pats are #1). The Patriots offensive line allows half as many sacks per game to sub-10 rated defensive fronts (Jags are #12). Overall Conclusion The stats point to the Patriots offensive line outplaying the Jacksonville defensive front Saturday night. Personally, I think Jacksonville will need to bring more than their 4 down linemen to pressure Brady. Unfortunately for Jacksonville, in games against defensive fronts not rated in the top 10, he has boasted a QB rating of over 100 eight times.