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No favored team has beaten a spread of 20 or more points in 20 Years

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by PATRIOTSFANINPA, Nov 29, 2011.

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  1. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    1991 was the last time a team was favored by 20 or more points AND actually COVERED the spread (Bills over the Colts)

    The 2007 Patriots went 0-4 against a 20 point or more spread

    So for those who are expecting to notch an easy 40-7 game or similar to that,might want to realize that teams rarily ever cover a spread this high.

    Be happy with a 21-14 win

    Patriots-Colts 21-point spread is an NFL rarity
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2011
  2. ALP

    ALP Rookie

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    sometimes things just end up being right

    i think we cover the spread, otherwise the spread is covered at the moment brady is taken out of the game


    after that the garbage points may break the spread....
  3. The Brandon Five

    The Brandon Five Rookie

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    The Saints beat them by 55 points. It's not outside the realm of possibility to cover here. Let's hope that the team isn't over-confident going into the game (like a certain game against an inferior opponent in Feb. 2008).
  4. IcyPatriot

    IcyPatriot ---- JAG ----- PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #87 Jersey

    History has no place in this game.
    What does have place is how much or how little empathy Bill will have for the Colts / Polian.
  5. signbabybrady

    signbabybrady Rookie

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    #24 Jersey

    I dont bet so I dont care we were 0-4 but I do find it impressive that we were 20 point favorites 4 times that year.
  6. Dufflebagz

    Dufflebagz Rookie

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    You're saying the spread has an effect on the outcome of the game?
  7. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    The point is that many good teams have tried over the years to win like Vegas expects,but failed to cover the spread

    Pretty much means the Colts +21 is a good bet .... Whether the 20 year thing ends is going to be seen sunday

    I think the move to Orlovski all of a sudden coming into this game means the Colts actually WANT to win this game (even though its not very likely),its a big coincidence that these moves come on the heels of the Pats game.
  8. TriplecHamp

    TriplecHamp Rookie

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    #24 Jersey

    Be happy with a 21-14 win? lol we jags fans now?
  9. Dufflebagz

    Dufflebagz Rookie

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    I highly doubt that players look at the spread and try to cover.
  10. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    I am not saying they do...its just about history and what has transpired in situations like this...Nothing More,Nothing Less

    The article explains it if you read it.
  11. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    So you are saying you would be pissed if the Pats WON 21-14?

    Spoiled a bit,are we? :cool:

    Maybe some here want a complete slaughter and nothing else,I will hope for a W no matter what the score is...Thats all
  12. PatsChamp88

    PatsChamp88 Rookie

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    #75 Jersey

    Cool I don't care what the spread is let's crush them then they can fire someone else as a scapegoat
  13. Deus Irae

    Deus Irae PatsFans.com Retired Jersey Club PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Disable Jersey

    It's a 7 game streak and 4 of the 7 games were in 2007. That's not much of a sample to be worried about if you're thinking of taking the Patriots and giving the points.
  14. TriplecHamp

    TriplecHamp Rookie

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    #24 Jersey

    one of the worst teams in recent history (maybe of all time) goes on the road and plays the pats (who are playoff bound and looking at the first overall seed) within a TD and you want me to be happy....sorry but Id really question this team if we cant beat the atrocious colts handily. I understand its the NFL and anything can happen but c'mon man.
  15. Gainzo

    Gainzo Rookie

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    I don't gamble but would love to see a 20-30 point win on Sunday. I remember sitting in the stands in 2005 when Manning and Harrison ripped the Pats to shreds.

    That was a flawed Pats team and the 2011 Colts deserve a similar beatdown.
  16. Bravo777

    Bravo777 Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    I'd be happy with a nice 59 - 0 win.
  17. Wolfpack

    Wolfpack Banned

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    Not only are the Colts far and away the worst team in the league, they are arguably among the worst teams of the past decade. I would be extremely disappointed with a 21-14 win at home against such a pathetic team because that would tell me the 2011 Patriots just aren't good enough for the big time.
  18. TriplecHamp

    TriplecHamp Rookie

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    #24 Jersey

    some food for thought every team the Colts have played have scored more than 21 points outside of the atrocious Jags offense last week. EVERY SINGLE TEAM outside of 1.
    Some of those QB's: Colt McCoy, Josh Freeman, Matt Cassel, Tim Hasselbeck.
  19. ewg_gestalt

    ewg_gestalt Rookie

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    Hey, I'd be happy with a 21-14 win—if, say, BB gives TFB, Wes, and GRONK the day off and Mallett were the QB under center the whole game.
  20. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    Well....you do remember the 2004 2-11 Dolphins who beat the 12-1 Patriots on MNF?

    Anything can happen......I personally think there is NO chance the Colts come within 14 points unless Addai runs for 200 and Brady gets sacked 8 times, but any given sunday.
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2011
  21. ausbacker

    ausbacker Brady > Manning. PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #51 Jersey

    I've tried to rationalize game scores and I can't not see the Patriots putting up 40+ on the Colts and keeping them under 14.

    The Patriots are starting to hit their stride in all 3 facets of the game. This should be a blow out and a blow out early.
  22. NEP4Life

    NEP4Life Rookie

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    Is this thread implying I should bet the house on the Colts? :confused:

    Added: A fun bet, of course. A house of matchsticks. :)
    Last edited: Nov 29, 2011
  23. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    So, let's root for the spread to come down to 19.

  24. robbomango

    robbomango Rookie

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    Saints vs colts spread 13.5 score 62-7

    just by putting the 21 point spread out there is enough to make will the score closer

    hook the suckers having a similar team wax the clots by a 55 point differential first then drop the boom with the pats not covering a 21 pointer.

    unless Pete Rose is quarterbacking and Tim Donaghy is reffing It's possible.

    I don't gamble, enlighten me:confused:
  25. brdmaverick

    brdmaverick Rookie

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    This is an interesting stat, and it goes to show that even though a team may be capable of beating a team by 20+ points, that is not there target. They may be happy with a 14 pt win and thus not be full pedal to the metal all game.
  26. Ice_Ice_Brady

    Ice_Ice_Brady Rookie

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    The important thing to note is that none of the favorites have lost the game.

    But, this should be a cold reminder about the 2007 season. Yes, we have certainly idealized that team's regular season and thought they were invincible. And yes, at times they certainly were the greatest of all-time... but you can see that as the spreads got more ridiculous, the team seemed to falter down the stretch, and into the playoffs, where their invincibility was broken. They nearly lost two games where they were favored by over 20 points, and both were to terrible quarterbacks.
  27. MoLewisrocks

    MoLewisrocks PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    As long as this gives the OP reason to once again bet against the home team this week I'm not worried about how much we will then beat them by... There is something in the water in PA...
  28. robbomango

    robbomango Rookie

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    That sounds good in theory but TB and BB never put that concept to practice if they can help it.
  29. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    Algae :cool:
  30. robbomango

    robbomango Rookie

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    also if that's true then why would anyone put money against such a historic loser? I hate hearing stuff like this lol.
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