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Morning Huddle 10/22: Making Sense of Brady's Sack Total; Chandler Jones' Good Start


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Morning Huddle 10/22 - Trying to Make Sense of Brady's Sack Total, Chandler Jones Off to a Good Start, Today's Links
By: Ian Logue

Here's this morning's edition for Tuesday October 22nd, 2013....

 
Re: Morning Huddle 10/22 - Trying to Make Sense of Brady's Sack Total, Chandler Jones

hah -- rest of the actual headline is "Chandler Jones off to a good start."

Funny how much difference a few words can make!



Edit: For those late in joining this thread: The original headline on the forum page ended at "Chandler Jones Off." Just having fun.
 
Re: Morning Huddle 10/22 - Trying to Make Sense of Brady's Sack Total, Chandler Jones

The reason for the sacks are as follows...

1. Longer developing routes by inexperienced NFL WR's, causing Brady to hold the ball longer.

2. Awful interior pass protection.

3. Playing teams with good to excellent DL's.

With that being said, it's no surprise that Brady is on pace to be sacked more this season than he has in any other season. It's also one of the myriad of reasons why this offense has been pedestrian (and that's putting it lightly) since the start of the season. The "Brady is declining" crowd should pay close attention here.
 
Re: Morning Huddle 10/22: Making Sense of Brady's Sack Total; Chandler Jones' Good St

I consider Jones having 7.5 sacks.
 
Re: Morning Huddle 10/22 - Trying to Make Sense of Brady's Sack Total, Chandler Jones

The reason for the sacks are as follows...

1. Longer developing routes by inexperienced NFL WR's, causing Brady to hold the ball longer.

2. Awful interior pass protection.

3. Playing teams with good to excellent DL's.

With that being said, it's no surprise that Brady is on pace to be sacked more this season than he has in any other season. It's also one of the myriad of reasons why this offense has been pedestrian (and that's putting it lightly) since the start of the season. The "Brady is declining" crowd should pay close attention here.

1. Missing Welker and Woodhead. Hopefully, Vereen and Amendola coming back can give him a quick dump-off target to avoid the sack.

2. Yup. I'm still baffled Cannon didn't see that LB on New Orleans right in front of him. Wendell has just gotten over-powered a few times. Need Connolly to stay healthy.

3. Meh. Excuse
 
Re: Morning Huddle 10/22: Making Sense of Brady's Sack Total; Chandler Jones' Good St

Some numbers from that piece this morning for those who may not have read it:

As it is, they're already on pace to allow 46 sacks this year. That's five more than they've ever given up in a given season, with their highest total being the 41 they allowed back in 2001, which was the year Brady first replaced Drew Bledsoe and that total was accumulated over just 15 games. Other than that, they've never allowed more than 32, which came back in 2011. From there you'd have to go all the way back to 2003 when New England gave up the same total.

While this team currently has a myriad of issues on the offensive side of the football, looking at the numbers it starts to make sense. Brady's been sacked on first down eight times this season, three more than he was in that situation all of last year. That's played a part in the fact of the 169 second downs they've attempted this year, they've faced 2nd-and-7 or longer 108 times (64% of their plays). They've also failed to gain a yard rushing the football on 2nd down 14 times this year, which now typically translates into long yardage situations on third down. As it stands at this point, the Patriots overall are just 35-of-105 converting on third down this season.

Looking closer you can see one glaring issue as the Patriots have faced 3rd-and-7 or longer on 51 plays (49%). Since that situation usually turns it into an obvious passing down, teams are teeing off on him and he's seen a lot of pressure as a result. Of those 51 plays, they've converted just 13, and Brady's been sacked on 5 of them. They've brought him down 10 times on third down so far this year, just four shy of the 14 sacks in that situation all of last season.

Thought those stats were interesting when I was digging around last night, and definitely concerning. The long yardage stats were the ones that were interesting because they didn't experience the same problems in 2012 and seemed to be in manageable downs for the most part. That hasn't obviously been the case this season to this point.
 
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