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Midway Stats and Projections Going Forward

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by ivanvamp, Nov 10, 2012.

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  1. ivanvamp

    ivanvamp In the Starting Line-Up

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    Here are some statistics and what I project will be those stats by season's end.

    Brady
    Stats: 209-320 (65.3%), 2408 yds, 16 td, 3 int
    Proj: 420-635 (66.1%), 4735 yds, 35 td, 7 int

    Ridley
    Stats: 150 att, 716 yds, 4.8 ypc, 5 td
    Proj: 280 att, 1380 yds, 4.9 ypc, 9 td

    Vereen
    Stats: 17 att, 72 yds, 4.2 ypc, 2 td
    Proj: 70 att, 301 yds, 4.3 ypc, 6 td

    Welker
    Stats: 60 rec, 736 yds, 12.3 ypc, 2 td
    Proj: 101 rec, 1202 yds, 11.9 ypc, 4 td

    Gronkowski
    Stats: 43 rec, 580 yds, 13.5 ypc, 7 td
    Proj: 90 rec, 1233 yds, 13.7 ypc, 15 td

    Hernandez
    Stats: 17 rec, 143 yds, 8.4 ypc, 2 td
    Proj: 52 rec, 470 yds, 9.0 ypc, 6 td

    Lloyd
    Stats: 37 rec, 435 yds, 11.8 ypc, 3 td
    Proj: 60 rec, 750 yds, 12.5 ypc, 5 td

    Jones
    Stats: 6 sacks, 33 tackles+assists, 3 FF
    Proj: 11 sacks, 55 tackles+assists, 5 FF, 1 DTD

    Mayo
    Stats: 1 sack, 1 INT, 3 FF, 78 tackles+assists
    Proj: 1 sack, 2 INT, 4 FF, 135 tackles+assists


    I think the Pats as a team will end up with the #1 offense in the league in points (averaging about 34 ppg by season's end) and yards (averaging over 450 ypg). I think they'll end up with a defense that's around #10 in scoring (give or take a few) and #22-24 in yards allowed.

    I think they go 7-1 in their last 8 and make it to the playoffs as the #2 seed somehow, with a 12-4 record.
     
  2. Metaphors

    Metaphors In the Starting Line-Up

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    Brady Completion Percentage:
    2009: 65.7
    2010: 65.9
    2011: 65.6
    2012: 65.3

    That is just silly consistency. I'll put him down for 65.6% for the end of 2012 and feel pretty confident.
     
  3. ivanvamp

    ivanvamp In the Starting Line-Up

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    Yeah, that is pretty amazing.
     
  4. manxman2601

    manxman2601 Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    #24 Jersey

    You see!. He's regressing.
     
    Last edited: Nov 11, 2012
  5. Patsfanin Philly

    Patsfanin Philly Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    #95 Jersey

    I know you're kidding and not to sound like Giselle but if there were a few less drops (team is tied for 7th most with 20)

    Football | NFL | Team Leaders - Passes Dropped - washingtonpost.com
    even drop to the league average of 16.5 ( roughly 2 a game) his numbers would be higher...
     
  6. Metaphors

    Metaphors In the Starting Line-Up

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    I'm sure it isn't unprecedented (I think Manning had a similar stretch a few years back) but consider the offensive lineup changes over those 4 years:

    2009 First Game (2012 First Game)

    QB Brady (Brady)
    RB Taylor (Ridley)
    WR Moss (Lloyd)
    WR Welker (Welker)
    TE Watson (Gronkowski)
    TE Baker (Hernandez)
    OT Light (Solder)
    OG Mankins (Mankins)
    C Koppen (Wendell)
    OG Neal (Connolly)
    OT Kaczur (Vollmer)

    The offense has almost been completely revamped over the last 4 years...transitioning from an attacking, 3-wide, run-as-a-diversion offense to a balanced, multiple, 2-TE scheme. Yet Brady has stayed amazingly consistent over that period of transition.
     
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