1. Sintim
2. Barwin
3. Matthews (tie) - Matthews has a slight early edge because he's played some 3-4, but over time both level out.
3. English (tie)
5. Cushing
6. Maybin
Since compiling the ranking I came up with the other day, it occured to me that there's a way I might more closely set a value on where NE might choose to draft one or more of the Linebackers I've listed as Day One values by using Shawn Crable and Philadelphia MLB Stewart Bradley for a comparison.
-- Connor Barwin is my #1 OLB choice. He moves very well in space and brings added value on Special Teams (4 blocked kicks) and as a TE.
---- NE was planning to use #69 to draft Shawn Crable before San Diego offered them a 2nd rounder in this draft (#47), they eventually used #78 for him. I note that Crable was not used on Special Teams last season and he does not have the versatility of another position.
---- Crable had a total of 16 sacks, 43 TFL, and 9 PBU in four years at Michigan.
---- Barwin had 11 sacks, 15.5 TFL, and 7 PBU in his one year at DE.
---- Crable weighed in at the combine 6'4 7/8" 245.
---- Barwin weighed in at the Senior Bowl 6'3 3/8" 253, he won't need to bulk up much to set the edge in the run game.
---- Comparing their PBU numbers I have to think the slightly shorter Barwin is going to beat Crable's 28" vertical jump and is quicker to diagnose the QB's release and get his hands up - it may be his two years of Big East basketball taught him to front up and defend jump shots well.
---- With this comparison I'm of the mind that Barwin should be valued at least one round earlier than Crable. #69 is the 5th pick in the 3rd round, which basically sets Barwin's value anywhere in the 2nd round and perhaps the latter part of the 1st round.
-- Clint Sintim is my #1 SILB candidate in this draft. He can backstop OLB while developing inside, giving him added value.
---- Stewart Bradley was being targeted by NE in the 3rd round of the 2007 draft, the Pats had #91, he was taken at #87 by Philadelphia and won the starting job at MLB as an injury replacement that year and hasn't given it up.
---- Bradley was my #1 ILB target in that draft, while NE is reaping the benefit of trading that #91 pick to Oakland (it's the #47 pick this year after trading with SD), it sure would have been nice to have had Stewart at ILB these past two seasons.
---- In comparison, I believe his 3-4 OLB experience should put Sintim's value solidly in the second round - which is where I had Bradley back then, and where I think NE would probably assess his value today. Assuming BB/NC also believe Sintim has SILB potential, and his athleticism at the Combine is sufficient, it could also raise him to the latter part of the 1st.
-- Clay Matthews has exposure to the 3-4, like Crable he's a bit on the lighter side and will need to build up. He's a lock for STs and should be able to contribute at least that much as a rookie. Using Crable it appears his comparitive value to NE is no better than the latter part of the second.
-- Brian Cushing has experience playing some 3-4, but IMHO is not best suited for LB in NE. His injury history is a concern too. He also has the shortest arms of any of the potential Day One Linebackers on my list. Draftniks have him with a first round value, but I grade him below Matthews.
-- Larry English has twice the career sack numbers and a third again more TFL than Crable, his 3 career PBU reflect his 6'2" stature in comparison to Crable's 6'5". He's a better pure edge rusher than Crable and did it with more consistency, but did it at a lower level of competition. He was an ILB and FB in high school, so it may be possible to move him back inside, but despite some coverage assignments in zone blitzes, he'll need at least a year, probably two, to transition back inside after playing with his hand in the dirt. I rank him higher than the USC boys and below Barwin and Sintim.
Using Crable and Bradley for comparison, I'm updating my ranking list to read:
1. Barwin
2. Sintim
3. English
4. Matthews
5. Cushing
I was never high on Maybin and have since read one report where he's trying to bulk up enough to be considered a 4-3 DE rather than an OLB - I'll be monitoring him for now.
All subject to change based on Combine/Pro-Day measurables and any other news that comes out in the next two months.