The Jags were 12-4, going 9-1 against teams with 6-10 or worse records. Going 3-3 vs teams with winning records (all 11-5 or better). When you look at the Jville team, there isnt anything they d extremely well or extremely poorly. You could single out, statistically pass D as a strength, but the fact that the numbers were built playing Houston tiwce, SF, Cleveland, Tenn twice, Bmore, etc kind of taints the numbers. If the Patriot D manhandles the run like it has over the last one month + the Jags will have a very long day on offense. There will be a ton of pass rush pressure if that happens. Defensively the Jags are good, not great vs both the run and pass. Their 12-4 record can be trashed for playing so many poor teams, but looking inside the numbers tells a better story. They are +11 in turnover ratio. Quite simply, the Jags have won a lot of close games, being very average on offense, pretty good on defense, but winning the turnover battle. They will have to protect the ball and take it away from the Pats to beat a Belichick team with more talent in Foxboro. My instinct of the game is that both teams will slug it out on the ground with not a ton of success. Brady will find plays, and get points on the board, and the Pat D will will control the game with pressure in pass defense. Seems like about a 23-10 game to me. Then of course, as is BBs trend, we vault that game plan and come up with an entirely different one for the Colts or Broncos.