Found this today stumbling around the web today. Not sure how many of you read Football Outsiders but they are a bunch a stats nerd that take an objective look at teams/games from a statistical perspective. FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | AFC Conference Championship Preview As typical, it's about as deep a look into the guts of a football game as you can get without having to wear protective gear. A great analysis. For those that don't want to tax the brain that hard on a Saturday night. I'll summarize. Contrary to what some moron mediots say, statistically, the most favorable matchups in this game belong to the Patriots. They predict a hard fought win. My apologies if this has been posted elsewhere. Though it was interesting enough to deserve its own thread.