ctpatsfan77 said:
FWIW, the AFC would look something like this:
1.
IND (5-0, feh)
2.
NE (4-1)*
3.
BAL (4-1)* v. 6.
CIN (3-1)**
4.
SD (3-1) v. 5.
DEN (3-1)**
[*,** These might be reversed; I don't feel like figuring out the tiebreakers right now.
]
Simple question: how much change do you expect to see between now and Week 17?
Not that it really matters; the schedule is typically unbalanced after only 5 weeks. But the Pats have a better conference record that Baltimore (4-1 vs 3-1), so the Pats would be seeded 2nd.
Denver has a better conference record than San Diego (3-0 vs 3-1) and would thus be the 4th seed.
Cincinnati and San Diego have equal conference records at 3-1. The next criterion would be common opponents, Pittsburgh, whom they both beat. Like I say, this gets pointless after only the 5th week. Lets just call Cincinnati and San Diego the wild card teams.
The NFC is even more kludgy...
1. Chic 5-0
2. Phil - NO - SL all 4-1
5. Atla - Seat both 3-1
On top of having equal conference records, Phil, NO and SL all have equal 1-0 records against common opponents (Green Bay).
Atla and Seat tie for the wildcard at 3-1 league and conference records, and are 1-0 against common opponents (Arizona).
So really, "if the playoffs started today..." really is a meaningless concept, at least in determining seedings and pairings.
BTW, the NFC leads the AFC 9-6.