I've read like 20 people say it stops mattering in a 3 way tie but that makes no sense to me and unless I'm reading the rules wrong head to head absolutely matters. I've bolded the important sections. NFL Tie-Breaking Procedures In short, I don't know quite why anyone would have us ahead of the Ravens yet. If the Ravens beat the Broncos they'll have beaten both the Patriots and Broncos meaning that they bested both of those teams so in a theoretical 3 way tie at 12-4 where the Broncos lose to the Ravens and the Patriots lose one more along with Baltimore dropping one more the Ravens would get the #2 seed. Where Head to Head stops mattering is if there are 3 or more teams and no one team has beaten all of the other division winners they are tied with. Then it would moved to conference record and the Patriots have only 1 conference loss (Baltimore) so they are in good shape for that record as things stand. Someone clue me in if I'm off base or reading this wrong but I still think it's pretty clear and it's what makes the most sense. Why should a team who is in a 3 way tie with two other teams it has beaten lose a tiebreaker to either of them? The whole point of seeding is that the 'better' teams get the higher seeding and the closest method we have to determining who is better is head to head competition, obviously.