I really would like an explanation for this, considering: Last six games, dating back to 2007: 12- Ravens 31, Patriots 30 11*- Patriots 23, Ravens 20 10- Patriots 23, Ravens 20 (OT) 09*- Ravens 33, Patriots 14 09- Patriots 27, Ravens 21 07- Patriots 27, Ravens 24 Even with a bunch of powerhouse offenses, including the '07 team, the Patriots have only once beat the Ravens by more than a field goal, and that was still by less than a touchdown. -In case anyone hasn't heard yet, Rob Gronkowski is out. Not that the Pats can't play effective football and win, but it seems like a near fantasy that they are going to score 30+ and likewise hold the Ravens to under 20, with the way the Ravens have been playing. They can do this if they get a lot of breaks and turnovers, but that should not be factored into a point spread. I do like the Patriots chances to win, and I wouldn't be shocked if they covered, but from an analytical side, looking at "if you played this game 100 times..." I can't find an explanation for a spread this large. Can anyone figure this out?