Grading the collective pundits

Discussion in ' - Patriots Fan Forum' started by patchick, Oct 16, 2006.

  1. patchick

    patchick Moderatrix Staff Member Supporter

    Sep 13, 2004
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    Pundit bashing is one of the most popular pastimes of NFL fans. We call them idiots, mock their predictions and then dance in glee when their forecasts fail to come true. I mean, we all knew the Dolphins weren't going to the Superbowl, right? What were those idiots thinking?

    Of course, they have to do their thinking in public so they can get called on it later. What if somebody tracked all of our predictions? Would we fare any better?

    Before the season a popular thread here asked for predictions of the surprise rise and fall teams of the year -- playoff teams that would collapse, and also-rans that would surge to power. So I kept track. I made a spreadsheet tallying all our predictions, and I just decided to check up on the results. Each team's rise/fall score is calculated by comparing this season's winning percentage to last years, then I summed up the votes in the rising and falling categories. And the result is...<drumroll>...

    We're at flat chance. Our picks in each group are doing pretty much the same as last year. The top pick for a falling team was Pittsburgh (we're geniuses!), the top pick for a rising team was Arizona (we're idiots!)

    Which is a good reminder that predicting the future is a tough job . And as they say, that's why they play the games. Just be glad you didn't make your prediction on national television. ;)
  2. Bostonian1962

    Bostonian1962 In the Starting Line-Up

    Oct 27, 2004
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    Great points! I personnally don't care about all the folks that get stuff wrong. I most like to blast the ones that are arrogant, or state something as fact, or blast my teams. Example: Jason Seahorn blasted the Patriots and was POSITIVE the Dolphins would win the AFC East. The stuff he and a couple of his cohorts were saying was so over the top, and disrespectful of the Patriots, that I do take pleasure in the start of the season.
  3. Oswlek

    Oswlek Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

    Aug 20, 2006
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    Seems like a good spot for a gratuitous self-pat on the back. :cool3: :rocker:

    This is post #4 and I have several others that expand upon the Miami point.
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2006
  4. Mike the Brit

    Mike the Brit Minuteman Target Supporter

    Sep 13, 2004
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    Thre thread I remember was picking the top four teams (2 AFC, 2 NFC).

    I picked us and the Colts for the AFC. That doesn't look too bad, though Denver is obviously in front of us at this stage.

    For the NFC, I picked the best two teams in the NFC East, which I saw as the Eagles and the Giants. Oopsie! I didn't think the Bears' offense would improve that much, thought the Seahawks were going to play like they did in the Superbowl and jumped off the Carolina bandwagon. All three are much better bets for the NFC championship game, I now think.

    Still, I remember having a discussion with Patsfanfrom1974 who picked the 'boys and the Skins. We agreed to wait and see how the season panned out. Let's just say, I'm not swapping picks with him!

    Oh, and picking Arizona for a team on the rise was crazy from the get-go. You ought to listen to your Uncle NEM -- anyone who has followed him over the years knows that two things always suck in his universe: the Cardinals and whoever is calling the offensive plays for the Patriots. Whatever you think about the second, he has a point about the first.

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