I can't argue with respecting his capabilities. However, I have a little problem with judging him as 'top notch'. My reply to your next comment gives some indication why.
You have picked what is probably a great instance to see why Manning has a serious (so far fatal) flaw.
The instance you give occurred with 31 seconds left on the clock and the Colts in a time out. It was 2nd and 2. A field goal from that position would be 46 yards - it's not very fair to say even for Vanderjagt that this is a high odds field goal. So here is the crux. The Colts still had 2 remaining time outs. So what does any top notch QB do ? First option is probably the running play with the QB under center so that the defense does not have a 'gimmee' as to what the play will be. Surely with two downs remaining and two time outs, there is plenty of time to at least run the ball on 2nd down and see if you can pick up a few yards and a first down. At the very least, you cut the field goal range down from 46 yards. If you are concerned that the Steelers will jam the run, perhaps you fake the handoff and hit a receiver on a short pass pattern of some sort - probably preferably a sideline pattern so that the receiver can go out of bounds and stop the clock. Is there any doubt that Manning and Harrison and the other receivers have a high probability of completing such a pattern ??
So what does Manning do? Here's where you see his 'I am going to be the one to do it' flaw that has cost him crunch time game after game. Manning goes into the shotgun !! !! Talk about telgraphing to the defense. And then instead of going for a high probability short gain and the first down with lot's of time left, he goes for the glory play of a TD pass. And it's defensed. So now it's 3rd down
25 seconds left). So even on 3rd down, what is your best play ? There is still plenty of time and it seems like the best play is still a run to try to get 2 yards and a 1st down. My choice would be an outside run by James with which he will probably get at least 2 yards 95% of the time or better - or again, a sideline pass with handoff faked to James to tie up some defenders. And with the outside run, he can probably get out of bounds and stop the clock to take time pressure away and keep the two time outs. It's still critical to reduce the field goal range. So what does Manning do ?? ?? ?? He goes into the shotgun again !! !! And again, the play is set up to go for the long reception or TD. Results ? Incompletion without even a DB getting credit for a pass defensed. Now where are you at ? He looks good personally because he engineered the drive to get them barely within FG range, but at the end he has put his TEAM in about as rotten a situation as he could. It's a 46 yard FG attempt AND, even if they make it, the Steelers will get the ball with perhaps 10 to 15 seconds on the clock - maybe enough to get within field goal range.
So your example gives a really pertinent look at Peyton Manning and his decision making in crunch time. It tells you a lot and why I just can't rate him as a 'top notch' QB. I feel that Brady and a few others give their TEAM a better chance to win - and winning in the playoffs is what it is all about. Peyton gets the adulation and personal glory and his team gets the playoff losses.
To me, you have just painted a pretty clear picture. You could even add that he (the Colts) got the NFL to do a rule emphasis on contact with receivers that was to Manning's huge benefit. With all of this, as you indicate, he has still flunked in playoff time. This year they had the bye and home field advantage and still flunked it.
Well, it remains to be seen how well they do this season. First, they have a neat schedule. This year they play the NFC East for 4 games, the AFC East for 4 games, plus Cincinatti and Denver. That should make things interesting. It's also possible that the Jags have progressed in their steady fashion to the point where they could challenge for a win in one of their games with the Colts. As commented in this thread, they have lost a couple of starting defensive players. And given the odds about what percentage of first round running backs become as good as James, I wouldn't bet on Addai giving them enough of a strong running game to keep defenses honest. Who knows. We'll just have to see.
That's an interesting comment. The issue of the trainers has come up before. But there are a couple reflections that may be pertinent. The Colts play more of a finesse game than physical as compared to the Pats or the NFL East as examples. So maybe there is a little less of a chance for injuries to happen. The other thing is that you have to look at the Patriots injuries and discount things like broken bones and obviously horrendous hits on knees that no amount of training regimen can protect against. I would also discount most ankle and knee injuries because there is little that can be done to 'strengthen' these joints. There is little support that can be had from musculature mechanically. It's basically a matter of how blessed a person is with respect to strength of ligaments and tendons that they are born with. I did an analysis about 3/4 the way through the last season and there were only 2 to 4 injuries that you could even consider might have been influenced by training regimens. Just a thought.