http://www.footballoutsiders.com/2007/01/12/ramblings/game-previews/4829/ Here's the intro. I love these guys, actual good stuff and not random crap that you read elsewhere : "Weâ€™ll start this with the same announcement that has started every Patriots playoff preview Iâ€™ve written during the four years of Football Outsiders: Iâ€™m a Patriots fan. If you want to look for hints of bias in the preview, you are welcome to do so. However, it is not my personal rooting interest that leads me to say that New England is just as good as San Diego. Itâ€™s the numbers. This is not like last year, when the Patriots werenâ€™t even in the DVOA top ten and Patriots fans were slightly deluded, counting on Bill Belichickâ€™s magic beans to hand-deliver them a third straight championship. The 2006 Patriots are one of the leagueâ€™s elite teams again. This team is not as good as the 2004 team that won the Super Bowl, but it is as good as the 2003 team that won the Super Bowl, and as good as the current Chargers." LOTS more at the link.