When the Ravens pass
Joe Flacco is a two-face. He can look like Joe Montana one minute and Joe Bag of Doughnuts the next. A classic drop-back quarterback, the 6-foot-6-inch, 238-pounder has tremendous size and an exceptionally strong arm. But he lacks athleticism and foot speed and rarely makes plays outside the pocket. When he gets into a groove, he’s hard to stop; you can practically see his confidence growing. But when he gets rattled early, that can snowball, too. It’s important for the Patriots to get in Flacco’s face (and head) early to protect their young secondary. Flacco’s development had been hindered by a subpar receiving corps, but that’s not the case this season. The Ravens have a true No. 1 in Anquan Boldin. A tough, physical, and consistent performer, Boldin runs smooth routes, is fearless over the middle, and has hands like vise grips. Derrick Mason still gets off the line quickly and he’s nearly impossible to cover because he changes directions and speeds fluidly. T.J. Houshmandzadeh is a traditional possession receiver with quick feet and strong hands. Tight end Todd Heaps is a clutch receiver but lacks strength and is always nicked up. Patriot safeties Patrick Chung (he’s versatile) and Brandon Meriweather (he’s rangy) need to provide consistent help to the corners.
Edge: Ravens
RAVENS’ KEY PLAYER: Anquan Boldin
Nobody really enjoys covering this 6-foot-1-inch, 218-pound wide receiver because he has tremendous strength, runs precise patterns, and catches everything thrown his way. Oh, and he’s one of the best blocking receivers in the game.
How he beats you: With concentration and consistency. Boldin is a smooth route runner, knows how to get open, and runs like a rampaging fullback after the catch.
How to shut him down: With extra punishment. The safeties will play two-deep to keep Boldin in front of them and then they’ll lower the boom after he makes the catch.
PATRIOTS’ KEYS TO VICTORY:
1. Branch office: Get Deion Branch involved early and let him get into a groove. If he can loosen up the middle of the field, it will open up the running game.
2. Stay balanced: No team comes out of the tunnel with more emotion than the Ravens, and running on them early is tough. But abandoning the run completely would be a mistake.
3. Return policy: The special teams have been fabulous. It’s often an overlooked part of the game, but a big return or hit can really swing the momentum. Just ask the Dolphins.
RAVENS’ KEYS TO VICTORY:
1. Time management: Ray Rice and Willis McGahee must pound the ball and keep the clock moving; that will keep the Patriots’ pass-first offense off the field.
2. Max protect: Matt Birk and his buddies have to keep Joe Flacco upright. If the big, stiff QB holds the ball too long, even the Patriots’ suspect pass rush will get to him.
3. Mob mentality: Stopping Wes Welker is a must. He’s the most dangerous of Tom Brady’s weapons. Taking Welker out his game forces the rest of the cast to step up.
Prediction: Ravens 24, Patriots 19