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FG% as a function of distance

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by ctpatsfan77, Dec 13, 2013.

?

Leaguewide, from 2011 to 2013, the FG% for 33-37 yard kicks is closest to:

Poll closed Dec 20, 2013.
  1. 75%

    3.0%
  2. 80%

    15.2%
  3. 85%

    18.2%
  4. 90%

    12.1%
  5. 95%

    48.5%
  6. 100%

    3.0%
  1. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #3 Jersey

    This was inspired by a post on another thread.

    I happened to look this up on Pro-Football-Reference, so it's not quite as spectacular a feat of detective work as it sounds. ;)

    In any case, here's the question I'm asking above:

    Over the last three years, what percentage of field goals from 33–37 yards out (i.e., from between the opponent's 16 to the opponent's 20) have been converted, leaguewide?

    I'll post the answer a little later. I'm just curious as to what you think the correct answer is.
     
  2. PatsFan24

    PatsFan24 In the Starting Line-Up

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    I guessed 85% but have no idea
     
  3. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #3 Jersey

    :bump2: C'mon, take a guess, folks. :)

    I'll give the answer when I see at least 20 people have guessed.
     
  4. cstjohn17

    cstjohn17 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #54 Jersey

    If I had an ounce of motivation I would look this up myself... but I don't so there it is...
     
  5. kennyb

    kennyb Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    I guessed 90%.
     
  6. FourierSeries

    FourierSeries Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    #12 Jersey

    I'm assuming the answer is counterintuitive? So while most of us are expecting it to be around 90-95% it's actually 75-80%? Otherwise I don't see the point of this thread.
     
  7. Galeb

    Galeb Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    #91 Jersey

    Normally I probably would have put 90%. I put 95% because this season isn't finished yet so there is a significant amount of cold weather kicks removed from the average sample.
     
  8. chasa

    chasa In the Starting Line-Up

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    #87 Jersey

    21 votes are in dooo ittttt
     
  9. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #3 Jersey

    :D

    Believe it or not, the three-year average for kicks in the mid-30s is . . .

    85.4%

    Even though we tend to think of kicks of <40 yards as "automatics" and "must makes," they're not. It's really only <30 that it starts moving into "inexcusable" territory.
     

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